Tulsa Roughnecks vs Sacramento Republic: match statistics
Tulsa Roughnecks vs Sacramento Republic: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Tulsa Roughnecks played Sacramento Republic in USL Championship (United States). The match was played on 4 October 2026. Venue: ONEOK Field. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Tulsa Roughnecks: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Sacramento Republic: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Tulsa Roughnecks scores 1.19 and concedes 0.92 goals per match. Sacramento Republic scores 1.38 and concedes 0.92. League average: 2.73 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Tulsa Roughnecks 42%, Sacramento Republic 54%. Over 2.5: Tulsa Roughnecks 31%, Sacramento Republic 35%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Sacramento Republic has higher xG: 1.51 vs 1.32. Tulsa Roughnecks: 11.0 shots per match, Sacramento Republic: 12.5.
Match halves
Tulsa Roughnecks: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.62. Sacramento Republic: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.81.
Goals by minute
Tulsa Roughnecks: 61-75 (7 goals). Sacramento Republic: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL Championship: 2.73 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 6 previous H2H matches were available: 3-2-1. Average goals 1.17, BTTS 17%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Tulsa Roughnecks win 50% of their home matches and keep a clean sheet in 58% of them, giving the hosts an edge over Sacramento Republic, who win 23% of their away games. However, the visitors are in better form: they have recorded 2 wins and 3 draws in their last five matches, while Tulsa have posted 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss. Sacramento create slightly better chances away from home, averaging 1.38 xG compared with Tulsa’s 1.23 xG at home, but both teams score 1 goal per match in these conditions. The hosts’ defensive record remains an advantage: they concede an average of 0.58 goals at home, while Sacramento concede 1.00 away. Home advantage and a more solid defence give Tulsa a slight edge, although 54% of Sacramento’s away matches end in a draw, making a share of the points a realistic outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
It is slightly more likely that at least one team will fail to score (BTTS - No). Tulsa keep a clean sheet in 50% of their home matches and concede an average of 0.75 goals, while Sacramento score an average of 1.00 goals away from home and fail to score in 31% of their matches. The hosts have the stronger attack, averaging 1.67 goals with a home xG of 1.62, so the greater risk of a blank lies with the visitors. However, the signal is not strong: both teams scored in 60% of each side's last five matches, and Sacramento's recent xG stands at 1.84 per game. Therefore, the pick for at least one team not to score has only a slight edge over the scenario in which both teams find the net.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Under 3.5 goals: this line was kept in 75% of Tulsa’s matches and 85% of Sacramento’s. The hosts concede an average of 0.75 goals, while the visitors score 1.00, limiting Sacramento’s expected output. Tulsa do average 1.67 goals scored, but their average has fallen to 1.00 over their last five matches, while Sacramento conceded 0.80 goals per game over that period. The projected total of 2.35 goals remains well below the four-goal mark, making the 3.5 line a stronger signal than the more finely balanced 2.5 line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Tulsa has a stronger case to lead at the break: it averages 0.92 first-half goals compared with Sacramento’s 0.23, and led at half-time in 5 of 12 matches. Over the full 90 minutes, the home side won 58% of the time, compared with 23% for the visitors, averaging 1.67 goals to Sacramento’s 1.00. Their attacking edge is also reflected in the average xG figures: 1.62 versus 1.38, strengthening the case for them to hold their lead through to full-time. However, 1/1 is not a clear favourite, as Sacramento were level at half-time in 8 of 13 matches and averaged 1.8 points across their last five games, compared with Tulsa’s 1.2.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Tulsa Roughnecks | Sacramento Republic | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Sacramento Republic is 83% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Tulsa Roughnecks · 2.2 pts / match - Sacramento Republic
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sacramento Republic is 16% better for: goals scored per match.
1.19 goals / match - Tulsa Roughnecks · 1.38 goals / match - Sacramento Republic
Tulsa Roughnecks scores in 69% of matches (18 of 26 matches), while Sacramento Republic keeps a clean sheet in 35% (9 of 26 matches).
Sacramento Republic scores in 77% of matches (20 of 26 matches), while Tulsa Roughnecks keeps a clean sheet in 42% (11 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Tulsa Roughnecks
Over / Under - Sacramento Republic
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Tulsa Roughnecks is 32% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.62 pts / match - Tulsa Roughnecks · 1.23 pts / match - Sacramento Republic
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tulsa Roughnecks - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Sacramento Republic - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Tulsa Roughnecks
Sacramento Republic
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).
Teams vs league
| Tulsa Roughnecks | Liga | Sacramento Republic | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.12 | 2.73 | ▼ 2.31 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 42% | 54% | • 54% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 31% | 50% | ▼ 35% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 42% | 27% | ▲ 35% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 62% | 66% | ▼ 58% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 65% | 78% | ▼ 69% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (6): Tulsa Roughnecks 3 - 2 - 1 Sacramento Republic. Average goals 1.17, both teams scored in 17% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Tulsa Roughnecks vs Sacramento Republic?
The USL Championship match finished Tulsa Roughnecks 1:1 Sacramento Republic. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Tulsa Roughnecks and Sacramento Republic?
In the last 6 head-to-head matches Tulsa Roughnecks won 3, Sacramento Republic won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.17 goals, with both teams scoring in 17% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Tulsa Roughnecks vs Sacramento Republic?
Tulsa Roughnecks score 1.19 goals per game on average and Sacramento Republic 1.38. The USL Championship average is 2.73 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Tulsa Roughnecks's matches and 54% of Sacramento Republic's.
What form are Tulsa Roughnecks and Sacramento Republic in?
Over the last 5 games Tulsa Roughnecks have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Sacramento Republic 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tulsa Roughnecks vs Sacramento Republic?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Tulsa Roughnecks vs Sacramento Republic: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.