Turan vs Mil Mugan FK: match statistics
Turan are third in the table and are in excellent form, having won four of their last five matches without conceding a goal during this period. The hosts boast an impressive home record with a 60% win rate and 50% clean sheets, and their average xG (1.37) exceeds their xG Against (0.89), confirming solidity in both attack and defence. Mil Mugan FK are only ninth in the table and are in terrible form, having failed to win any of their last five matches and averaging just 0.4 points per game. The visitors have a poor away record with 50% losses and as many as 50% of matches without scoring a goal, and their away xG (0.96) is significantly lower than their xG Against (1.66). Considering Turan's advantage in every statistical aspect and the clear disparity in form between the two teams, a home win is the most likely scenario for this match.
Turan vs Mil Mugan FK: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Turan played Mil Mugan FK in Premyer Liqası (Azerbaijan). The match was played on 1 March 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Turan: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Mil Mugan FK: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Turan scores 1.29 and concedes 0.67 goals per match. Mil Mugan FK scores 0.86 and concedes 1.10. League average: 2.44 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Turan 33%, Mil Mugan FK 29%. Over 2.5: Turan 43%, Mil Mugan FK 33%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Turan has higher xG: 1.26 vs 0.93. Turan: 9.9 shots per match, Mil Mugan FK: 7.4.
Match halves
Turan: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 0.67. Mil Mugan FK: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.57.
Goals by minute
Turan: 0-15 (6 goals). Mil Mugan FK: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premyer Liqası: 2.44 goals per match, BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Turan are third in the table and are in excellent form, having won four of their last five matches without conceding a goal during this period. The hosts boast an impressive home record with a 60% win rate and 50% clean sheets, and their average xG (1.37) exceeds their xG Against (0.89), confirming solidity in both attack and defence. Mil Mugan FK are only ninth in the table and are in terrible form, having failed to win any of their last five matches and averaging just 0.4 points per game. The visitors have a poor away record with 50% losses and as many as 50% of matches without scoring a goal, and their away xG (0.96) is significantly lower than their xG Against (1.66). Considering Turan's advantage in every statistical aspect and the clear disparity in form between the two teams, a home win is the most likely scenario for this match.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Turan | Mil Mugan FK | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Turan is 400% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Turan · 0.4 pts / match - Mil Mugan FK
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Turan is 50% better for: goals scored per match.
1.29 goals / match - Turan · 0.86 goals / match - Mil Mugan FK
Turan is 64% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.67 goals / match - Turan · 1.1 goals / match - Mil Mugan FK
Turan scores in 76% of matches (16 of 21 matches), while Mil Mugan FK keeps a clean sheet in 38% (8 of 21 matches).
Mil Mugan FK scores in 48% of matches (10 of 21 matches), while Turan keeps a clean sheet in 57% (12 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Turan
Over / Under - Mil Mugan FK
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Turan is 52% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.67 pts / match - Turan · 1.1 pts / match - Mil Mugan FK
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Turan - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 57%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Mil Mugan FK - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Turan
Mil Mugan FK
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premyer Liqası).
Teams vs league
| Turan | Liga | Mil Mugan FK | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.95 | 2.44 | ▼ 1.95 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 43% | ▼ 29% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 43% | 46% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 57% | 34% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | • 67% | 66% | ▼ 43% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 71% | ▲ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Turan 1 - 0 - 0 Mil Mugan FK. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Turan vs Mil Mugan FK?
The Premyer Liqası match finished Turan 0:0 Mil Mugan FK. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Turan vs Mil Mugan FK?
Turan score 1.29 goals per game on average and Mil Mugan FK 0.86. The Premyer Liqası average is 2.44 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Turan's matches and 29% of Mil Mugan FK's.
What form are Turan and Mil Mugan FK in?
Over the last 5 games Turan have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Mil Mugan FK 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Turan vs Mil Mugan FK?
The statistical background for Turan vs Mil Mugan FK — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.