Turan vs Sumqayıt: match statistics
Statistical analysis points to a balanced competition. Turan presents stable home form with a 43% win rate on home soil; however, their recent results (2 wins in the last 5 matches) are underwhelming. Sumqayıt demonstrates better form in recent meetings (3 wins in the last 5, PPG 2.0) and higher away effectiveness (43% win rate). The visitors hold the advantage in possession (49% vs 42%) and boast a superior away goal difference (+2 vs +1 for the hosts). A key factor is the even xG level of both teams and comparable scoring efficiency. Given that Sumqayıt loses less frequently away (29%) than Turan does at home (43%), combined with the visitors' fresher form, I anticipate a tight clash leaning slightly towards a draw or an away upset.
Turan vs Sumqayıt: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Turan play Sumqayıt in Premyer Liqası (Azerbaijan). The match date is 25 January 2026 at 13:00. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Turan: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Sumqayıt: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Turan scores 1.33 and concedes 0.82 goals per match. Sumqayıt scores 1.27 and concedes 1.52. League average: 2.58 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Turan 45%, Sumqayıt 55%. Over 2.5: Turan 45%, Sumqayıt 55%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Turan has higher xG: 1.32 vs 1.27. Turan: 10.6 shots per match, Sumqayıt: 9.7.
Match halves
Turan: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.82. Sumqayıt: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.85.
Goals by minute
Turan: 46-60 (11 goals). Sumqayıt: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premyer Liqası: 2.58 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 2-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 50%.
Match description
Statistical analysis points to a balanced competition. Turan presents stable home form with a 43% win rate on home soil; however, their recent results (2 wins in the last 5 matches) are underwhelming. Sumqayıt demonstrates better form in recent meetings (3 wins in the last 5, PPG 2.0) and higher away effectiveness (43% win rate). The visitors hold the advantage in possession (49% vs 42%) and boast a superior away goal difference (+2 vs +1 for the hosts). A key factor is the even xG level of both teams and comparable scoring efficiency. Given that Sumqayıt loses less frequently away (29%) than Turan does at home (43%), combined with the visitors' fresher form, I anticipate a tight clash leaning slightly towards a draw or an away upset.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Turan | Sumqayıt | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Sumqayıt is 50% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Turan · 1.2 pts / match - Sumqayıt
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Turan is 5% better for: goals scored per match.
1.33 goals / match - Turan · 1.27 goals / match - Sumqayıt
Turan is 85% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.82 goals / match - Turan · 1.52 goals / match - Sumqayıt
Turan scores in 82% of matches (27 of 33 matches), while Sumqayıt keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 33 matches).
Sumqayıt scores in 76% of matches (25 of 33 matches), while Turan keeps a clean sheet in 48% (16 of 33 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Turan
Over / Under — Sumqayıt
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Turan is 67% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.52 pts / match - Turan · 0.91 pts / match - Sumqayıt
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Turan - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 52%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Sumqayıt - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (11 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Turan
Sumqayıt
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premyer Liqası).
Teams vs league
| Turan | Liga | Sumqayıt | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.15 | 2.58 | ▲ 2.79 |
| Both teams scored | • 45% | 46% | ▲ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 45% | 48% | ▲ 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 48% | 31% | ▼ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | • 64% | 65% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | • 73% | 74% | ▲ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Turan 2 - 0 - 0 Sumqayıt. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Turan vs Sumqayıt?
The Premyer Liqası match finished Turan 2:1 Sumqayıt. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Turan and Sumqayıt?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Turan won 2, Sumqayıt won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Turan vs Sumqayıt?
Turan score 1.33 goals per game on average and Sumqayıt 1.27. The Premyer Liqası average is 2.58 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Turan's matches and 55% of Sumqayıt's.
What form are Turan and Sumqayıt in?
Over the last 5 games Turan have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Sumqayıt 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Turan vs Sumqayıt?
The statistical background for Turan vs Sumqayıt — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.