Turan vs Sumqayıt: match statistics
Statistical analysis points to a balanced competition. Turan presents stable home form with a 43% win rate on home soil; however, their recent results (2 wins in the last 5 matches) are underwhelming. Sumqayıt demonstrates better form in recent meetings (3 wins in the last 5, PPG 2.0) and higher away effectiveness (43% win rate). The visitors hold the advantage in possession (49% vs 42%) and boast a superior away goal difference (+2 vs +1 for the hosts). A key factor is the even xG level of both teams and comparable scoring efficiency. Given that Sumqayıt loses less frequently away (29%) than Turan does at home (43%), combined with the visitors' fresher form, I anticipate a tight clash leaning slightly towards a draw or an away upset.
Turan vs Sumqayıt: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Turan played Sumqayıt in Premyer Liqası (Azerbaijan). The match was played on 25 January 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Turan: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Sumqayıt: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Turan scores 1.27 and concedes 0.80 goals per match. Sumqayıt scores 1.44 and concedes 1.38. League average: 2.51 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Turan 40%, Sumqayıt 50%. Over 2.5: Turan 47%, Sumqayıt 50%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Sumqayıt has higher xG: 1.31 vs 1.21. Turan: 9.6 shots per match, Sumqayıt: 9.9.
Match halves
Turan: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.80. Sumqayıt: half-time lead 6%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Turan: 31-45+ (5 goals). Sumqayıt: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premyer Liqası: 2.51 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis points to a balanced competition. Turan presents stable home form with a 43% win rate on home soil; however, their recent results (2 wins in the last 5 matches) are underwhelming. Sumqayıt demonstrates better form in recent meetings (3 wins in the last 5, PPG 2.0) and higher away effectiveness (43% win rate). The visitors hold the advantage in possession (49% vs 42%) and boast a superior away goal difference (+2 vs +1 for the hosts). A key factor is the even xG level of both teams and comparable scoring efficiency. Given that Sumqayıt loses less frequently away (29%) than Turan does at home (43%), combined with the visitors' fresher form, I anticipate a tight clash leaning slightly towards a draw or an away upset.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Turan | Sumqayıt | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Sumqayıt is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Turan · 1.4 pts / match - Sumqayıt
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sumqayıt is 13% better for: goals scored per match.
1.27 goals / match - Turan · 1.44 goals / match - Sumqayıt
Turan is 72% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.8 goals / match - Turan · 1.38 goals / match - Sumqayıt
Turan scores in 80% of matches (12 of 15 matches), while Sumqayıt keeps a clean sheet in 25% (4 of 16 matches).
Sumqayıt scores in 75% of matches (12 of 16 matches), while Turan keeps a clean sheet in 53% (8 of 15 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Turan
Over / Under - Sumqayıt
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Turan is 81% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.47 pts / match - Turan · 0.81 pts / match - Sumqayıt
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Turan - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Sumqayıt - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 6% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 80% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Turan
Sumqayıt
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premyer Liqası).
Teams vs league
| Turan | Liga | Sumqayıt | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.07 | 2.51 | ▲ 2.81 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 40% | 45% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 47% | 47% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 53% | 32% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 60% | 65% | ▼ 56% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 80% | 77% | ▲ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Turan 1 - 0 - 0 Sumqayıt. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Turan vs Sumqayıt?
The Premyer Liqası match finished Turan 2:1 Sumqayıt. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Turan vs Sumqayıt?
Turan score 1.27 goals per game on average and Sumqayıt 1.44. The Premyer Liqası average is 2.51 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Turan's matches and 50% of Sumqayıt's.
What form are Turan and Sumqayıt in?
Over the last 5 games Turan have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Sumqayıt 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Turan vs Sumqayıt?
The statistical background for Turan vs Sumqayıt — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.