Turkey vs USMNT: match statistics
Turkey vs USMNT: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Turkey play USMNT in World Cup (International). The match date is 26 June 2026 at 04:00. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Turkey: 1-0-2, 1.00 points/match. USMNT: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Turkey scores 1.00 and concedes 1.67 goals per match. USMNT scores 2.20 and concedes 1.60. League average: 2.96 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Turkey 33%, USMNT 60%. Over 2.5: Turkey 33%, USMNT 60%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Turkey has higher xG: 2.52 vs 1.43. Turkey: 23.7 shots per match, USMNT: 11.8.
Match halves
Turkey: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.33. USMNT: half-time lead 60%, second-half goals 0.60.
Goals by minute
Turkey: 0-15 (1 goals). USMNT: 31-45+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
World Cup: 2.96 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Match description
Typ 1X2: 2. Turkey is eliminated after two defeats without a goal, although it shot as many as 32 against Paraguay. USMNT has won both games and is assured of the top spot, so he can rotate and manage Christian Pulisic's minutes carefully. The USA has a higher baseline, but the difference in motivation and possible lineup changes make this a very uncertain match. Our independent rating is 29% for Turkey, 31% for draw and 40% for USMNT. The most likely outcome profile is 1:1 or 1:2; the bet is 40% and takes into account motivation, rotation and the course of the first two rounds. Status: NOBET
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Turkey | USMNT | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 23% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.19 | 0.58 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
USMNT is 80% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Turkey · 1.8 pts / match - USMNT
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
USMNT is 120% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Turkey · 2.2 goals / match - USMNT
Turkey scores in 33% of matches (1 of 3 matches), while USMNT keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 matches).
USMNT scores in 100% of matches (5 of 5 matches), while Turkey keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 3 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Turkey
Over / Under — USMNT
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
USMNT is 80% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Turkey · 1.8 pts / match - USMNT
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Turkey - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
USMNT - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 60% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.67 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.7 |
| Average goals in match | 1.7 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 67% |
| 2 goals | 33% | 33% |
| 3 goals | 33% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 33% |
| No goal | 67% | 67% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 0% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Turkey
USMNT
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (World Cup).
Teams vs league
| Turkey | Liga | USMNT | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.67 | 2.96 | ▲ 3.80 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 55% | ▲ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 56% | ▲ 60% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 26% | ▲ 40% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 69% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 82% | ▼ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Turkey vs USMNT?
The World Cup match finished Turkey 3:2 USMNT. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Turkey vs USMNT?
Turkey score 1.00 goals per game on average and USMNT 2.20. The World Cup average is 2.96 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Turkey's matches and 60% of USMNT's.
What form are Turkey and USMNT in?
Over the last 5 games Turkey have a 1-0-2 record (1.00 points per game) and USMNT 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Turkey vs USMNT?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.