Tusker vs Bandari: match statistics
Tusker has displayed significantly better form over their last five matches, averaging 2.4 points per match with four victories, compared to Bandari's 1.2 points per match. The hosts hold a clear advantage in offensive efficiency, scoring an average of 0.71 goals per home match against Bandari's mere 0.25 goals on the road. xG statistics also favor Tusker (0.85 vs 0.58), indicating superior quality in chance creation. Bandari has not recorded a single away win this season, drawing 75% of their matches, which confirms their defensive setup. Although the hosts have a weaker home record compared to their overall form, their recent run of four wins and just one loss in five matches gives them a tangible edge. Considering all factors, I expect a victory for Tusker, though Bandari's defensive approach could make for a tight contest.
Tusker vs Bandari: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Tusker played Bandari in Kenyan Premier League (Kenya). The match was played on 16 January 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Tusker: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Bandari: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Tusker scores 0.81 and concedes 0.94 goals per match. Bandari scores 0.81 and concedes 0.63. League average: 1.91 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Tusker 31%, Bandari 38%. Over 2.5: Tusker 25%, Bandari 19%. League level: BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 30%.
xG, shots and style
Tusker has higher xG: 1.51 vs 1.29. Tusker: 11.9 shots per match, Bandari: 9.0.
Match halves
Tusker: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.38. Bandari: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.31.
Goals by minute
Tusker: 76-90+ (5 goals). Bandari: 76-90+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Kenyan Premier League: 1.91 goals per match, BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 30%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Tusker has displayed significantly better form over their last five matches, averaging 2.4 points per match with four victories, compared to Bandari's 1.2 points per match. The hosts hold a clear advantage in offensive efficiency, scoring an average of 0.71 goals per home match against Bandari's mere 0.25 goals on the road. xG statistics also favor Tusker (0.85 vs 0.58), indicating superior quality in chance creation. Bandari has not recorded a single away win this season, drawing 75% of their matches, which confirms their defensive setup. Although the hosts have a weaker home record compared to their overall form, their recent run of four wins and just one loss in five matches gives them a tangible edge. Considering all factors, I expect a victory for Tusker, though Bandari's defensive approach could make for a tight contest.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Tusker | Bandari | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 26% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.20 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Tusker is 13% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Tusker · 1.6 pts / match - Bandari
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Bandari is 49% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.94 goals / match - Tusker · 0.63 goals / match - Bandari
Tusker scores in 69% of matches (11 of 16 matches), while Bandari keeps a clean sheet in 50% (8 of 16 matches).
Bandari scores in 56% of matches (9 of 16 matches), while Tusker keeps a clean sheet in 44% (7 of 16 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Tusker
Over / Under - Bandari
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Bandari is 24% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.06 pts / match - Tusker · 1.31 pts / match - Bandari
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tusker - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Bandari - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Tusker
Bandari
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kenyan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Tusker | Liga | Bandari | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.75 | 1.91 | ▼ 1.44 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 31% | 41% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 25% | 30% | ▼ 19% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 44% | 38% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 50% | 32% | • 31% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 38% | 35% | ▲ 44% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Tusker vs Bandari?
The Kenyan Premier League match finished Tusker 1:2 Bandari. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Tusker vs Bandari?
Tusker score 0.81 goals per game on average and Bandari 0.81. The Kenyan Premier League average is 1.91 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 30% of games. Both teams score in 31% of Tusker's matches and 38% of Bandari's.
What form are Tusker and Bandari in?
Over the last 5 games Tusker have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Bandari 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tusker vs Bandari?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Tusker vs Bandari: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.