Tusker vs Homeboyz: match statistics
Homeboyz display significantly better offensive form, averaging 1 goal per away match compared to Tusker's mere 0.73 goals at home. The hosts have a negative goal difference (-6) in home matches and an alarming defeat rate of 45% at their own stadium. Homeboyz show better efficiency with a 40% win rate in away matches and a balanced goal difference (0) on the road. The xG statistics also favor the visitors (0.96 vs 0.84), suggesting higher quality of chances created. The recent form of both teams (Tusker: lwwlw, Homeboyz: lldww) is comparable; however, Homeboyz's more solid statistical fundamentals in away matches give them the edge in this encounter.
Tusker vs Homeboyz: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Tusker played Homeboyz in Kenyan Premier League (Kenya). The match was played on 8 March 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Tusker: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Homeboyz: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Tusker scores 0.91 and concedes 1.04 goals per match. Homeboyz scores 1.48 and concedes 1.17. League average: 2.08 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Tusker 43%, Homeboyz 61%. Over 2.5: Tusker 35%, Homeboyz 43%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 35%.
xG, shots and style
Homeboyz has higher xG: 1.56 vs 1.49. Tusker: 11.7 shots per match, Homeboyz: 9.6.
Match halves
Tusker: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.26. Homeboyz: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.30.
Goals by minute
Tusker: 0-15 (11 goals). Homeboyz: 0-15 (24 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Kenyan Premier League: 2.08 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 35%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Homeboyz display significantly better offensive form, averaging 1 goal per away match compared to Tusker's mere 0.73 goals at home. The hosts have a negative goal difference (-6) in home matches and an alarming defeat rate of 45% at their own stadium. Homeboyz show better efficiency with a 40% win rate in away matches and a balanced goal difference (0) on the road. The xG statistics also favor the visitors (0.96 vs 0.84), suggesting higher quality of chances created. The recent form of both teams (Tusker: lwwlw, Homeboyz: lldww) is comparable; however, Homeboyz's more solid statistical fundamentals in away matches give them the edge in this encounter.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Tusker | Homeboyz | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 49% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Homeboyz is 57% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Tusker · 2.2 pts / match - Homeboyz
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Homeboyz is 63% better for: goals scored per match.
0.91 goals / match - Tusker · 1.48 goals / match - Homeboyz
Tusker is 13% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.04 goals / match - Tusker · 1.17 goals / match - Homeboyz
Tusker scores in 74% of matches (17 of 23 matches), while Homeboyz keeps a clean sheet in 22% (5 of 23 matches).
Homeboyz scores in 78% of matches (18 of 23 matches), while Tusker keeps a clean sheet in 35% (8 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Tusker
Over / Under - Homeboyz
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Homeboyz is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.13 pts / match - Tusker · 1.22 pts / match - Homeboyz
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tusker - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Homeboyz - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 80% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (11 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (24 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Tusker
Homeboyz
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kenyan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Tusker | Liga | Homeboyz | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.96 | 2.08 | ▲ 2.65 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 46% | ▲ 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 35% | 35% | ▲ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 35% | 33% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 39% | 24% | ▲ 26% |
| Goal after half-time | • 26% | 26% | ▲ 30% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Tusker 0 - 1 - 0 Homeboyz. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Tusker vs Homeboyz?
The Kenyan Premier League match finished Tusker 2:0 Homeboyz. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Tusker vs Homeboyz?
Tusker score 0.91 goals per game on average and Homeboyz 1.48. The Kenyan Premier League average is 2.08 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 35% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Tusker's matches and 61% of Homeboyz's.
What form are Tusker and Homeboyz in?
Over the last 5 games Tusker have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Homeboyz 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tusker vs Homeboyz?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Tusker vs Homeboyz: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.