Tusker vs Leopards: match statistics
Leopards are showing significantly better form and stability this season. The visitors possess an impressive away record with 43% wins and just 14% losses, while Tusker only wins 29% of home games and loses 43%. Form over the last five matches also favors Leopards – the team has earned 2.2 points per match and remains unbeaten (3W-2D-0L), whereas Tusker, despite a good overall run, has a weaker streak at home (29% CS, negative goal difference -2). Leopards are further characterized by a better away defense (0.86 goals conceded per match vs 1.0 for Tusker at home) and higher offensive efficiency (1.0 goals scored per match away). Considering all statistics, Leopards are the favorites for this match, although the high percentage of draws in their away games (43%) makes a sharing of points very likely as well.
Tusker vs Leopards: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Tusker played Leopards in Kenyan Premier League (Kenya). The match was played on 10 January 2026. Final score: 0:4.
Current form
Tusker: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Leopards: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Tusker scores 0.87 and concedes 0.73 goals per match. Leopards scores 1.07 and concedes 0.67. League average: 1.92 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Tusker 33%, Leopards 40%. Over 2.5: Tusker 20%, Leopards 27%. League level: BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 30%.
xG, shots and style
Tusker has higher xG: 1.55 vs 1.28. Tusker: 12.3 shots per match, Leopards: 7.9.
Match halves
Tusker: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.40. Leopards: half-time lead 7%, second-half goals 0.47.
Goals by minute
Tusker: 76-90+ (5 goals). Leopards: 0-15 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Kenyan Premier League: 1.92 goals per match, BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 30%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Leopards are showing significantly better form and stability this season. The visitors possess an impressive away record with 43% wins and just 14% losses, while Tusker only wins 29% of home games and loses 43%. Form over the last five matches also favors Leopards – the team has earned 2.2 points per match and remains unbeaten (3W-2D-0L), whereas Tusker, despite a good overall run, has a weaker streak at home (29% CS, negative goal difference -2). Leopards are further characterized by a better away defense (0.86 goals conceded per match vs 1.0 for Tusker at home) and higher offensive efficiency (1.0 goals scored per match away). Considering all statistics, Leopards are the favorites for this match, although the high percentage of draws in their away games (43%) makes a sharing of points very likely as well.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Tusker | Leopards | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.20 | 0.43 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Tusker is 20% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - Tusker · 2 pts / match - Leopards
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Leopards is 23% better for: goals scored per match.
0.87 goals / match - Tusker · 1.07 goals / match - Leopards
Leopards is 9% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.73 goals / match - Tusker · 0.67 goals / match - Leopards
Tusker scores in 73% of matches (11 of 15 matches), while Leopards keeps a clean sheet in 47% (7 of 15 matches).
Leopards scores in 67% of matches (10 of 15 matches), while Tusker keeps a clean sheet in 47% (7 of 15 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Tusker
Over / Under - Leopards
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Tusker is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.07 pts / match - Tusker · 1 pts / match - Leopards
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tusker - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Leopards - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 7% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (7 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Tusker
Leopards
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kenyan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Tusker | Liga | Leopards | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.60 | 1.92 | ▼ 1.73 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 41% | • 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 20% | 30% | ▼ 27% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 47% | 37% | ▲ 47% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 53% | 34% | • 33% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 40% | 36% | ▲ 40% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Tusker vs Leopards?
The Kenyan Premier League match finished Tusker 0:4 Leopards. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Tusker vs Leopards?
Tusker score 0.87 goals per game on average and Leopards 1.07. The Kenyan Premier League average is 1.92 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 30% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Tusker's matches and 40% of Leopards's.
What form are Tusker and Leopards in?
Over the last 5 games Tusker have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Leopards 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tusker vs Leopards?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.