Tusker vs Murang'a SEAL: match statistics
Murang'a SEAL presents decidedly better form, earning 2.4 points per match in the last five games with four victories, while Tusker has just 0.8 points and only one win. The hosts have won only 20% of their home matches this season, conceding an average of 1.4 goals per game, which, combined with a -7 goal difference in home matches, evidences serious defensive problems. Murang'a SEAL boasts a 45% away win rate, scoring an average of 1.73 goals on the road and maintaining a positive goal difference (+5). Tusker failed to score in 40% of home matches, whereas the visitors have a mere 9% FTS% rate away. The clear advantage in form, offensive efficiency, and defensive stability argues for an away victory, although Tusker's weaker home stance still leaves a chance for a draw.
Tusker vs Murang'a SEAL: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Tusker played Murang'a SEAL in Kenyan Premier League (Kenya). The match was played on 25 February 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Tusker: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Murang'a SEAL: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Tusker scores 0.95 and concedes 1.10 goals per match. Murang'a SEAL scores 1.38 and concedes 1.05. League average: 2.05 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Tusker 48%, Murang'a SEAL 62%. Over 2.5: Tusker 38%, Murang'a SEAL 48%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 33%.
xG, shots and style
Tusker has higher xG: 1.50 vs 1.46. Tusker: 11.7 shots per match, Murang'a SEAL: 11.2.
Match halves
Tusker: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.29. Murang'a SEAL: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.43.
Goals by minute
Tusker: 0-15 (11 goals). Murang'a SEAL: 0-15 (17 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Kenyan Premier League: 2.05 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 33%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Murang'a SEAL presents decidedly better form, earning 2.4 points per match in the last five games with four victories, while Tusker has just 0.8 points and only one win. The hosts have won only 20% of their home matches this season, conceding an average of 1.4 goals per game, which, combined with a -7 goal difference in home matches, evidences serious defensive problems. Murang'a SEAL boasts a 45% away win rate, scoring an average of 1.73 goals on the road and maintaining a positive goal difference (+5). Tusker failed to score in 40% of home matches, whereas the visitors have a mere 9% FTS% rate away. The clear advantage in form, offensive efficiency, and defensive stability argues for an away victory, although Tusker's weaker home stance still leaves a chance for a draw.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Tusker | Murang'a SEAL | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Murang'a SEAL is 114% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Tusker · 3 pts / match - Murang'a SEAL
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Murang'a SEAL is 45% better for: goals scored per match.
0.95 goals / match - Tusker · 1.38 goals / match - Murang'a SEAL
Murang'a SEAL is 5% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.1 goals / match - Tusker · 1.05 goals / match - Murang'a SEAL
Tusker scores in 76% of matches (16 of 21 matches), while Murang'a SEAL keeps a clean sheet in 29% (6 of 21 matches).
Murang'a SEAL scores in 81% of matches (17 of 21 matches), while Tusker keeps a clean sheet in 33% (7 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Tusker
Over / Under - Murang'a SEAL
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Murang'a SEAL is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.05 pts / match - Tusker · 1.14 pts / match - Murang'a SEAL
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tusker - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Murang'a SEAL - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (11 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (17 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Tusker
Murang'a SEAL
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kenyan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Tusker | Liga | Murang'a SEAL | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.05 | 2.05 | ▲ 2.43 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 48% | 46% | ▲ 62% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 38% | 33% | ▲ 48% |
| Clean sheets | • 33% | 34% | ▼ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 38% | 26% | ▲ 48% |
| Goal after half-time | • 29% | 28% | ▲ 52% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Tusker 1 - 0 - 0 Murang'a SEAL. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Tusker vs Murang'a SEAL?
The Kenyan Premier League match finished Tusker 1:0 Murang'a SEAL. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Tusker vs Murang'a SEAL?
Tusker score 0.95 goals per game on average and Murang'a SEAL 1.38. The Kenyan Premier League average is 2.05 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 33% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Tusker's matches and 62% of Murang'a SEAL's.
What form are Tusker and Murang'a SEAL in?
Over the last 5 games Tusker have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Murang'a SEAL 5-0-0 (3.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tusker vs Murang'a SEAL?
The statistical background for Tusker vs Murang'a SEAL — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.