Tusker vs Posta Rangers: match statistics
Tusker is exhibiting clearly superior form over the last five fixtures, securing 2.4 points per match with four victories, whereas Posta Rangers manages only 1.6 points per match. The hosts hold an advantage in offensive efficiency at home, averaging 4.57 shots on target per match compared to just 2.67 for the visitors on the road. Posta Rangers faces severe attacking struggles away, failing to score in 67% of away games, which, combined with a -7 away goal difference, places them in a precarious position. Furthermore, the visitors concede an average of 1.33 goals per away match; this, coupled with a lower xG (0.7 vs 0.85 for the hosts), points to a Tusker advantage. Despite the hosts having a weaker home record than anticipated, their current momentum and offensive metrics favor a home victory in this encounter.
Tusker vs Posta Rangers: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Tusker played Posta Rangers in Kenyan Premier League (Kenya). The match was played on 24 January 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Tusker: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Posta Rangers: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Tusker scores 0.89 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Posta Rangers scores 0.89 and concedes 1.17. League average: 1.98 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Tusker 39%, Posta Rangers 44%. Over 2.5: Tusker 33%, Posta Rangers 39%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 32%.
xG, shots and style
Tusker has higher xG: 1.49 vs 1.30. Tusker: 11.6 shots per match, Posta Rangers: 9.4.
Match halves
Tusker: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.33. Posta Rangers: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.22.
Goals by minute
Tusker: 0-15 (7 goals). Posta Rangers: 0-15 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Kenyan Premier League: 1.98 goals per match, BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 32%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Tusker is exhibiting clearly superior form over the last five fixtures, securing 2.4 points per match with four victories, whereas Posta Rangers manages only 1.6 points per match. The hosts hold an advantage in offensive efficiency at home, averaging 4.57 shots on target per match compared to just 2.67 for the visitors on the road. Posta Rangers faces severe attacking struggles away, failing to score in 67% of away games, which, combined with a -7 away goal difference, places them in a precarious position. Furthermore, the visitors concede an average of 1.33 goals per away match; this, coupled with a lower xG (0.7 vs 0.85 for the hosts), points to a Tusker advantage. Despite the hosts having a weaker home record than anticipated, their current momentum and offensive metrics favor a home victory in this encounter.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Tusker | Posta Rangers | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.22 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Tusker is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Tusker · 0.6 pts / match - Posta Rangers
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tusker is 17% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Tusker · 1.17 goals / match - Posta Rangers
Tusker scores in 72% of matches (13 of 18 matches), while Posta Rangers keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 matches).
Posta Rangers scores in 56% of matches (10 of 18 matches), while Tusker keeps a clean sheet in 39% (7 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Tusker
Over / Under - Posta Rangers
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Posta Rangers is 25% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.06 pts / match - Tusker · 1.33 pts / match - Posta Rangers
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tusker - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Posta Rangers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (7 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Tusker
Posta Rangers
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kenyan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Tusker | Liga | Posta Rangers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 1.89 | 1.98 | • 2.06 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 39% | 43% | • 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 33% | 32% | ▲ 39% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 39% | 36% | ▼ 28% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 44% | 31% | ▲ 39% |
| Goal after half-time | • 33% | 34% | ▲ 39% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Tusker 0 - 0 - 1 Posta Rangers. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Tusker vs Posta Rangers?
The Kenyan Premier League match finished Tusker 1:1 Posta Rangers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Tusker vs Posta Rangers?
Tusker score 0.89 goals per game on average and Posta Rangers 0.89. The Kenyan Premier League average is 1.98 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 32% of games. Both teams score in 39% of Tusker's matches and 44% of Posta Rangers's.
What form are Tusker and Posta Rangers in?
Over the last 5 games Tusker have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Posta Rangers 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tusker vs Posta Rangers?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Tusker vs Posta Rangers: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.