Tusker vs Ulinzi Stars: match statistics
Tusker vs Ulinzi Stars: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Tusker played Ulinzi Stars in Kenyan Premier League (Kenya). The match was played on 5 December 2025. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Tusker: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Ulinzi Stars: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Tusker scores 0.82 and concedes 0.91 goals per match. Ulinzi Stars scores 0.91 and concedes 1.00. League average: 1.99 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Tusker 45%, Ulinzi Stars 55%. Over 2.5: Tusker 27%, Ulinzi Stars 36%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 32%.
xG, shots and style
Tusker has higher xG: 1.61 vs 1.51. Tusker: 13.2 shots per match, Ulinzi Stars: 11.1.
Match halves
Tusker: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.45. Ulinzi Stars: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.27.
Goals by minute
Tusker: 76-90+ (4 goals). Ulinzi Stars: 0-15 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Kenyan Premier League: 1.99 goals per match, BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 32%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Tusker | Ulinzi Stars | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.18 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ulinzi Stars is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Tusker · 1.6 pts / match - Ulinzi Stars
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ulinzi Stars is 11% better for: goals scored per match.
0.82 goals / match - Tusker · 0.91 goals / match - Ulinzi Stars
Tusker is 10% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.91 goals / match - Tusker · 1 goals / match - Ulinzi Stars
Tusker scores in 73% of matches (8 of 11 matches), while Ulinzi Stars keeps a clean sheet in 36% (4 of 11 matches).
Ulinzi Stars scores in 73% of matches (8 of 11 matches), while Tusker keeps a clean sheet in 36% (4 of 11 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Tusker
Over / Under - Ulinzi Stars
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Tusker is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.91 pts / match - Tusker · 0.82 pts / match - Ulinzi Stars
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tusker - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Ulinzi Stars - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 80% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Tusker
Ulinzi Stars
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kenyan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Tusker | Liga | Ulinzi Stars | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.73 | 1.99 | • 1.91 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 45% | 43% | ▲ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 27% | 32% | ▲ 36% |
| Clean sheets | • 36% | 36% | • 36% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 64% | 41% | ▼ 36% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 45% | 42% | ▼ 36% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Tusker vs Ulinzi Stars?
The Kenyan Premier League match finished Tusker 1:0 Ulinzi Stars. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Tusker vs Ulinzi Stars?
Tusker score 0.82 goals per game on average and Ulinzi Stars 0.91. The Kenyan Premier League average is 1.99 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 32% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Tusker's matches and 55% of Ulinzi Stars's.
What form are Tusker and Ulinzi Stars in?
Over the last 5 games Tusker have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Ulinzi Stars 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tusker vs Ulinzi Stars?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Tusker vs Ulinzi Stars: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.