UCV Moquegua vs Real Garcilaso: match statistics
UCV Moquegua displays solid form at their home ground with a 67% win rate in home matches and a +1 goal difference. The hosts score an average of 1.67 goals per match at home, have won two of their last three home games, and maintain a 33% clean sheet rate. Real Garcilaso, however, has not won a single away match this season (0% effectiveness), losing all three of their most recent away fixtures and scoring just 0.33 goals on average per match on the road. Despite high ball possession (70%), the visitors fail to convert it into goals, as evidenced by 67% of their away matches without a scored goal. The disparity in the hosts' home efficiency and the visitors' dreadful away form points to a UCV Moquegua victory, although Real Garcilaso may offer resistance thanks to solid defense and game control.
UCV Moquegua vs Real Garcilaso: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
UCV Moquegua played Real Garcilaso in Primera División (Peru). The match was played on 21 March 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
UCV Moquegua: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Real Garcilaso: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
UCV Moquegua scores 0.71 and concedes 1.71 goals per match. Real Garcilaso scores 1.00 and concedes 1.14. League average: 2.60 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: UCV Moquegua 29%, Real Garcilaso 57%. Over 2.5: UCV Moquegua 57%, Real Garcilaso 43%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Real Garcilaso has higher xG: 1.43 vs 1.08. UCV Moquegua: 9.9 shots per match, Real Garcilaso: 13.7.
Match halves
UCV Moquegua: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.57. Real Garcilaso: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.57.
Goals by minute
UCV Moquegua: 46-60 (3 goals). Real Garcilaso: 76-90+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.60 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
UCV Moquegua displays solid form at their home ground with a 67% win rate in home matches and a +1 goal difference. The hosts score an average of 1.67 goals per match at home, have won two of their last three home games, and maintain a 33% clean sheet rate. Real Garcilaso, however, has not won a single away match this season (0% effectiveness), losing all three of their most recent away fixtures and scoring just 0.33 goals on average per match on the road. Despite high ball possession (70%), the visitors fail to convert it into goals, as evidenced by 67% of their away matches without a scored goal. The disparity in the hosts' home efficiency and the visitors' dreadful away form points to a UCV Moquegua victory, although Real Garcilaso may offer resistance thanks to solid defense and game control.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| UCV Moquegua | Real Garcilaso | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
UCV Moquegua is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - UCV Moquegua · 1.2 pts / match - Real Garcilaso
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Real Garcilaso is 41% better for: goals scored per match.
0.71 goals / match - UCV Moquegua · 1 goals / match - Real Garcilaso
Real Garcilaso is 50% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.71 goals / match - UCV Moquegua · 1.14 goals / match - Real Garcilaso
UCV Moquegua scores in 43% of matches (3 of 7 matches), while Real Garcilaso keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 matches).
Real Garcilaso scores in 71% of matches (5 of 7 matches), while UCV Moquegua keeps a clean sheet in 29% (2 of 7 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - UCV Moquegua
Over / Under - Real Garcilaso
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Real Garcilaso is 126% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.57 pts / match - UCV Moquegua · 1.29 pts / match - Real Garcilaso
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
UCV Moquegua - second-half results
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Real Garcilaso - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
UCV Moquegua
Real Garcilaso
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| UCV Moquegua | Liga | Real Garcilaso | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.43 | 2.60 | ▼ 2.14 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 29% | 55% | ▲ 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 57% | 49% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 26% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 57% | 65% | ▼ 43% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 80% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of UCV Moquegua vs Real Garcilaso?
The Primera División match finished UCV Moquegua 1:2 Real Garcilaso. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before UCV Moquegua vs Real Garcilaso?
UCV Moquegua score 0.71 goals per game on average and Real Garcilaso 1.00. The Primera División average is 2.60 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 29% of UCV Moquegua's matches and 57% of Real Garcilaso's.
What form are UCV Moquegua and Real Garcilaso in?
Over the last 5 games UCV Moquegua have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Real Garcilaso 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for UCV Moquegua vs Real Garcilaso?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for UCV Moquegua vs Real Garcilaso: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.