UCV vs Deportivo La Guaira: match statistics
UCV demonstrates impressive home form with a 75% win rate and an average of 2 goals scored per match at home. The hosts have won 3 of their last 5 matches and remain undefeated at home this season. Deportivo La Guaira is a tough team to beat (undefeated this season), yet their away style is characterized by defensiveness – with as many as 75% of their away matches ending in draws and only 1 goal scored on average per game. UCV's edge in possession at their home ground (52%) and superior shooting efficiency (15% conversion rate), coupled with home support, should tip the scales in their favor. However, given the visitors' defensive solidity and their propensity for draws, there is a significant probability of a draw.
UCV vs Deportivo La Guaira: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
UCV played Deportivo La Guaira in Primera División (Venezuela). The match was played on 21 March 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
UCV: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Deportivo La Guaira: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
UCV scores 2.25 and concedes 1.13 goals per match. Deportivo La Guaira scores 1.13 and concedes 0.38. League average: 2.45 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: UCV 63%, Deportivo La Guaira 25%. Over 2.5: UCV 75%, Deportivo La Guaira 13%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 45%.
xG, shots and style
Deportivo La Guaira has higher xG: 1.45 vs 1.32. UCV: 13.1 shots per match, Deportivo La Guaira: 13.8.
Match halves
UCV: half-time lead 63%, second-half goals 0.75. Deportivo La Guaira: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.63.
Goals by minute
UCV: 31-45+ (7 goals). Deportivo La Guaira: 76-90+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.45 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 45%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 2-1-1. Average goals 3.25, BTTS 75%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
UCV demonstrates impressive home form with a 75% win rate and an average of 2 goals scored per match at home. The hosts have won 3 of their last 5 matches and remain undefeated at home this season. Deportivo La Guaira is a tough team to beat (undefeated this season), yet their away style is characterized by defensiveness – with as many as 75% of their away matches ending in draws and only 1 goal scored on average per game. UCV's edge in possession at their home ground (52%) and superior shooting efficiency (15% conversion rate), coupled with home support, should tip the scales in their favor. However, given the visitors' defensive solidity and their propensity for draws, there is a significant probability of a draw.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| UCV | Deportivo La Guaira | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 28% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.49 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
UCV is 11% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - UCV · 1.8 pts / match - Deportivo La Guaira
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
UCV is 99% better for: goals scored per match.
2.25 goals / match - UCV · 1.13 goals / match - Deportivo La Guaira
Deportivo La Guaira is 197% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.13 goals / match - UCV · 0.38 goals / match - Deportivo La Guaira
UCV scores in 88% of matches (7 of 8 matches), while Deportivo La Guaira keeps a clean sheet in 75% (6 of 8 matches).
Deportivo La Guaira scores in 75% of matches (6 of 8 matches), while UCV keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - UCV
Over / Under - Deportivo La Guaira
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
UCV is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.13 pts / match - UCV · 2 pts / match - Deportivo La Guaira
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
UCV - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 63% of matches and wins 75%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Deportivo La Guaira - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
UCV
Deportivo La Guaira
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| UCV | Liga | Deportivo La Guaira | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.38 | 2.45 | ▼ 1.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 48% | ▼ 25% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 75% | 45% | ▼ 13% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 25% | 32% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 70% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 75% | 70% | ▲ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): UCV 2 - 1 - 1 Deportivo La Guaira. Average goals 3.25, both teams scored in 75% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of UCV vs Deportivo La Guaira?
The Primera División match finished UCV 0:1 Deportivo La Guaira. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between UCV and Deportivo La Guaira?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches UCV won 2, Deportivo La Guaira won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.25 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before UCV vs Deportivo La Guaira?
UCV score 2.25 goals per game on average and Deportivo La Guaira 1.13. The Primera División average is 2.45 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 63% of UCV's matches and 25% of Deportivo La Guaira's.
What form are UCV and Deportivo La Guaira in?
Over the last 5 games UCV have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Deportivo La Guaira 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for UCV vs Deportivo La Guaira?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for UCV vs Deportivo La Guaira: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.