UCV vs Estudiantes Mérida: match statistics
UCV is in excellent form with six wins in six matches this season and an impressive 17:5 goal difference. The hosts have won all of their last five fixtures, maintaining a perfect record at home (100% win rate in home matches). Estudiantes Mérida is in significantly weaker form with a 2-1-3 record and inconsistent results over their last five games. Although the visitors show decent goal-scoring efficiency away from home (averaging 2.33 goals), their average xG (0.99) is lower than UCV's (1.36), indicating a lower quality of chances created. The difference in form, efficiency, and consistency of results clearly favors the hosts, who should control the flow of the match and secure another three points.
UCV vs Estudiantes Mérida: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
UCV played Estudiantes Mérida in Primera División (Venezuela). The match was played on 14 March 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
UCV: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match. Estudiantes Mérida: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
UCV scores 2.83 and concedes 0.83 goals per match. Estudiantes Mérida scores 1.67 and concedes 1.50. League average: 2.43 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: UCV 67%, Estudiantes Mérida 67%. Over 2.5: UCV 83%, Estudiantes Mérida 83%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 45%.
xG, shots and style
UCV has higher xG: 1.39 vs 1.20. UCV: 14.2 shots per match, Estudiantes Mérida: 10.8.
Match halves
UCV: half-time lead 83%, second-half goals 1.00. Estudiantes Mérida: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
UCV: 31-45+ (6 goals). Estudiantes Mérida: 16-30 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.43 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 45%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
UCV is in excellent form with six wins in six matches this season and an impressive 17:5 goal difference. The hosts have won all of their last five fixtures, maintaining a perfect record at home (100% win rate in home matches). Estudiantes Mérida is in significantly weaker form with a 2-1-3 record and inconsistent results over their last five games. Although the visitors show decent goal-scoring efficiency away from home (averaging 2.33 goals), their average xG (0.99) is lower than UCV's (1.36), indicating a lower quality of chances created. The difference in form, efficiency, and consistency of results clearly favors the hosts, who should control the flow of the match and secure another three points.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| UCV | Estudiantes Mérida | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.55 | 0.50 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
UCV is 150% better for: last-5 form.
3 pts / match - UCV · 1.2 pts / match - Estudiantes Mérida
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
UCV is 69% better for: goals scored per match.
2.83 goals / match - UCV · 1.67 goals / match - Estudiantes Mérida
UCV is 81% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.83 goals / match - UCV · 1.5 goals / match - Estudiantes Mérida
UCV scores in 100% of matches (6 of 6 matches), while Estudiantes Mérida keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 matches).
Estudiantes Mérida scores in 83% of matches (5 of 6 matches), while UCV keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - UCV
Over / Under - Estudiantes Mérida
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
UCV is 60% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.67 pts / match - UCV · 1.67 pts / match - Estudiantes Mérida
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
UCV - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 83% of matches and wins 100%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Estudiantes Mérida - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 100% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 0% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +7 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
UCV
Estudiantes Mérida
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| UCV | Liga | Estudiantes Mérida | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.67 | 2.43 | ▲ 3.17 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 50% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 83% | 45% | ▲ 83% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 31% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 70% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 73% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): UCV 1 - 1 - 0 Estudiantes Mérida. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of UCV vs Estudiantes Mérida?
The Primera División match finished UCV 1:1 Estudiantes Mérida. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between UCV and Estudiantes Mérida?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches UCV won 1, Estudiantes Mérida won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before UCV vs Estudiantes Mérida?
UCV score 2.83 goals per game on average and Estudiantes Mérida 1.67. The Primera División average is 2.43 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 67% of UCV's matches and 67% of Estudiantes Mérida's.
What form are UCV and Estudiantes Mérida in?
Over the last 5 games UCV have a 5-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Estudiantes Mérida 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for UCV vs Estudiantes Mérida?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.