UD Las Palmas vs Ceuta: match statistics
UD Las Palmas demonstrates solid home form with a 43% win rate and an impressive goal difference of +8 at their own stadium. The hosts score an average of 1.36 goals per match at home while conceding just 0.79 goals, indicating a stable defense. Ceuta performs significantly worse in away matches – winning only 21% of games, conceding an average of 1.71 goals, and having a negative goal difference of -10 on the road. Las Palmas also dominates in xG statistics (1.41 vs 1.09 for Ceuta) and holds an advantage in ball possession (55% vs 49%). The recent form of both teams (Las Palmas: 1 win and 4 draws, Ceuta: 3 wins) suggests that the hosts are difficult to beat at home, although their series of draws may indicate a more cautious approach. Considering all factors, Las Palmas' home advantage makes them the favorite for this match.
UD Las Palmas vs Ceuta: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
UD Las Palmas play Ceuta in Segunda División (Spain). The match date is 8 March 2026 at 14:00. Final score: 4:0.
Current form
UD Las Palmas: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Ceuta: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
UD Las Palmas scores 1.32 and concedes 0.95 goals per match. Ceuta scores 1.21 and concedes 1.50. League average: 2.63 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: UD Las Palmas 57%, Ceuta 55%. Over 2.5: UD Las Palmas 43%, Ceuta 55%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
UD Las Palmas has higher xG: 1.34 vs 1.23. UD Las Palmas: 11.9 shots per match, Ceuta: 10.5.
Match halves
UD Las Palmas: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 0.61. Ceuta: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
UD Las Palmas: 46-60 (12 goals). Ceuta: 0-15 (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Segunda División: 2.63 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
UD Las Palmas demonstrates solid home form with a 43% win rate and an impressive goal difference of +8 at their own stadium. The hosts score an average of 1.36 goals per match at home while conceding just 0.79 goals, indicating a stable defense. Ceuta performs significantly worse in away matches – winning only 21% of games, conceding an average of 1.71 goals, and having a negative goal difference of -10 on the road. Las Palmas also dominates in xG statistics (1.41 vs 1.09 for Ceuta) and holds an advantage in ball possession (55% vs 49%). The recent form of both teams (Las Palmas: 1 win and 4 draws, Ceuta: 3 wins) suggests that the hosts are difficult to beat at home, although their series of draws may indicate a more cautious approach. Considering all factors, Las Palmas' home advantage makes them the favorite for this match.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| UD Las Palmas | Ceuta | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ceuta is 25% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - UD Las Palmas · 2 pts / match - Ceuta
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
UD Las Palmas is 9% better for: goals scored per match.
1.32 goals / match - UD Las Palmas · 1.21 goals / match - Ceuta
UD Las Palmas is 58% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.95 goals / match - UD Las Palmas · 1.5 goals / match - Ceuta
UD Las Palmas scores in 77% of matches (34 of 44 matches), while Ceuta keeps a clean sheet in 29% (12 of 42 matches).
Ceuta scores in 74% of matches (31 of 42 matches), while UD Las Palmas keeps a clean sheet in 32% (14 of 44 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — UD Las Palmas
Over / Under — Ceuta
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
UD Las Palmas is 19% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.66 pts / match - UD Las Palmas · 1.4 pts / match - Ceuta
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
UD Las Palmas - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Ceuta - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (12 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (11 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
UD Las Palmas
Ceuta
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Segunda División).
Teams vs league
| UD Las Palmas | Liga | Ceuta | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.27 | 2.63 | • 2.71 |
| Both teams scored | • 57% | 56% | • 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 43% | 50% | ▲ 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 32% | 26% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 64% | 68% | ▲ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 66% | 75% | ▼ 60% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: UD Las Palmas 0 - 1 - 0 Ceuta. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of UD Las Palmas vs Ceuta?
The Segunda División match finished UD Las Palmas 4:0 Ceuta. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before UD Las Palmas vs Ceuta?
UD Las Palmas score 1.32 goals per game on average and Ceuta 1.21. The Segunda División average is 2.63 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 57% of UD Las Palmas's matches and 55% of Ceuta's.
What form are UD Las Palmas and Ceuta in?
Over the last 5 games UD Las Palmas have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Ceuta 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for UD Las Palmas vs Ceuta?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for UD Las Palmas vs Ceuta: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.