Udinese vs Inter Milan: match statistics
As league leaders, Inter Milan exhibits significantly superior form compared to Udinese, confirmed by a 78% away win rate and an impressive run of 4 victories in the last 5 matches. The hosts are enduring a poor home streak with just a 30% win rate and a negative goal difference (-4), while Inter boasts a 56% clean sheet rate on the road. xG statistics also favor the visitors (1.88 vs 1.54), and their average possession (59% vs 49%) indicates dominance in controlling the game. Udinese has failed to score in 20% of their home matches, whereas Inter has scored in every single away fixture. The disparity in quality is evident, making an Inter victory the most probable outcome.
Udinese vs Inter Milan: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Udinese played Inter Milan in Serie A (Italy). The match was played on 17 January 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Udinese: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Inter Milan: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Udinese scores 1.10 and concedes 1.60 goals per match. Inter Milan scores 2.15 and concedes 0.85. League average: 2.37 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Udinese 60%, Inter Milan 45%. Over 2.5: Udinese 50%, Inter Milan 60%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 44%.
xG, shots and style
Inter Milan has higher xG: 1.95 vs 1.31. Udinese: 12.2 shots per match, Inter Milan: 17.8.
Match halves
Udinese: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.60. Inter Milan: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.30.
Goals by minute
Udinese: 31-45+ (5 goals). Inter Milan: 61-75 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.37 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 44%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
As league leaders, Inter Milan exhibits significantly superior form compared to Udinese, confirmed by a 78% away win rate and an impressive run of 4 victories in the last 5 matches. The hosts are enduring a poor home streak with just a 30% win rate and a negative goal difference (-4), while Inter boasts a 56% clean sheet rate on the road. xG statistics also favor the visitors (1.88 vs 1.54), and their average possession (59% vs 49%) indicates dominance in controlling the game. Udinese has failed to score in 20% of their home matches, whereas Inter has scored in every single away fixture. The disparity in quality is evident, making an Inter victory the most probable outcome.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Udinese | Inter Milan | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Inter Milan is 160% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Udinese · 2.6 pts / match - Inter Milan
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Inter Milan is 95% better for: goals scored per match.
1.1 goals / match - Udinese · 2.15 goals / match - Inter Milan
Inter Milan is 88% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.6 goals / match - Udinese · 0.85 goals / match - Inter Milan
Udinese scores in 80% of matches (16 of 20 matches), while Inter Milan keeps a clean sheet in 50% (10 of 20 matches).
Inter Milan scores in 95% of matches (19 of 20 matches), while Udinese keeps a clean sheet in 20% (4 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Udinese
Over / Under - Inter Milan
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Inter Milan is 54% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.2 pts / match - Udinese · 1.85 pts / match - Inter Milan
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Udinese - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Inter Milan - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 75%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Udinese
Inter Milan
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Udinese | Liga | Inter Milan | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.70 | 2.37 | ▲ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 60% | 47% | ▼ 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 44% | ▲ 60% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 31% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 64% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 80% | 77% | ▲ 90% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Udinese 1 - 0 - 0 Inter Milan. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Udinese vs Inter Milan?
The Serie A match finished Udinese 0:1 Inter Milan. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Udinese vs Inter Milan?
Udinese score 1.10 goals per game on average and Inter Milan 2.15. The Serie A average is 2.37 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Udinese's matches and 45% of Inter Milan's.
What form are Udinese and Inter Milan in?
Over the last 5 games Udinese have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Inter Milan 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Udinese vs Inter Milan?
The statistical background for Udinese vs Inter Milan — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.