Újpest vs Diósgyőr: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a very balanced chance for both teams, suggesting a draw as the most likely outcome. Újpest shows poor home form with only a 27% win rate at home and a goal difference of -5, yet they possess an advantage in ball possession (57%) and a higher xG (1.69 vs 1.16). Diósgyőr has an abysmal away record with 64% losses and a goal difference of -10, but the recent form of both teams is similar (1.4 vs 1.6 PPG). The key factor is that neither team has kept a clean sheet in their matches, indicating defensive issues on both sides. Taking into account Újpest's poor home form and Diósgyőr's disastrous away results, the safest prediction is a draw, although a slight advantage is given to the hosts due to playing in front of their own crowd and better xG statistics.
Újpest vs Diósgyőr: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Újpest play Diósgyőr in NB I (Hungary). The match date is 21 February 2026 at 18:30. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Újpest: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Diósgyőr: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Újpest scores 1.45 and concedes 1.73 goals per match. Diósgyőr scores 1.18 and concedes 1.97. League average: 3.00 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Újpest 61%, Diósgyőr 70%. Over 2.5: Újpest 67%, Diósgyőr 67%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 60%.
xG, shots and style
Újpest has higher xG: 1.54 vs 1.21. Újpest: 12.7 shots per match, Diósgyőr: 11.0.
Match halves
Újpest: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.79. Diósgyőr: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.61.
Goals by minute
Újpest: 16-30 (10 goals). Diósgyőr: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NB I: 3.00 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 60%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 2-0-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Statistical analysis indicates a very balanced chance for both teams, suggesting a draw as the most likely outcome. Újpest shows poor home form with only a 27% win rate at home and a goal difference of -5, yet they possess an advantage in ball possession (57%) and a higher xG (1.69 vs 1.16). Diósgyőr has an abysmal away record with 64% losses and a goal difference of -10, but the recent form of both teams is similar (1.4 vs 1.6 PPG). The key factor is that neither team has kept a clean sheet in their matches, indicating defensive issues on both sides. Taking into account Újpest's poor home form and Diósgyőr's disastrous away results, the safest prediction is a draw, although a slight advantage is given to the hosts due to playing in front of their own crowd and better xG statistics.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Újpest | Diósgyőr | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Újpest is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Újpest · 0.6 pts / match - Diósgyőr
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Újpest is 23% better for: goals scored per match.
1.45 goals / match - Újpest · 1.18 goals / match - Diósgyőr
Újpest is 14% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.73 goals / match - Újpest · 1.97 goals / match - Diósgyőr
Újpest scores in 64% of matches (21 of 33 matches), while Diósgyőr keeps a clean sheet in 9% (3 of 33 matches).
Diósgyőr scores in 76% of matches (25 of 33 matches), while Újpest keeps a clean sheet in 9% (3 of 33 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Újpest
Over / Under — Diósgyőr
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Újpest - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Diósgyőr - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 18%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -6 | -6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Újpest
Diósgyőr
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NB I).
Teams vs league
| Újpest | Liga | Diósgyőr | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.18 | 3.00 | ▲ 3.15 |
| Both teams scored | • 61% | 60% | ▲ 70% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 60% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 9% | 22% | ▼ 9% |
| Goal before half-time | • 70% | 70% | ▲ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 82% | 87% | ▲ 94% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Újpest 2 - 0 - 0 Diósgyőr. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Újpest vs Diósgyőr?
The NB I match finished Újpest 2:1 Diósgyőr. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Újpest and Diósgyőr?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Újpest won 2, Diósgyőr won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Újpest vs Diósgyőr?
Újpest score 1.45 goals per game on average and Diósgyőr 1.18. The NB I average is 3.00 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 61% of Újpest's matches and 70% of Diósgyőr's.
What form are Újpest and Diósgyőr in?
Over the last 5 games Újpest have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Diósgyőr 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Újpest vs Diósgyőr?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.