Újpest vs Ferencváros: match statistics
Újpest vs Ferencváros: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Újpest played Ferencváros in NB I (Hungary). The match was played on 3 May 2026. Final score: 0:5.
Current form
Újpest: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Ferencváros: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Újpest scores 1.52 and concedes 1.61 goals per match. Ferencváros scores 1.90 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.98 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Újpest 61%, Ferencváros 61%. Over 2.5: Újpest 65%, Ferencváros 65%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 59%.
xG, shots and style
Ferencváros has higher xG: 1.89 vs 1.57. Újpest: 12.9 shots per match, Ferencváros: 15.7.
Match halves
Újpest: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.81. Ferencváros: half-time lead 52%, second-half goals 0.94.
Goals by minute
Újpest: 16-30 (10 goals). Ferencváros: 31-45+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NB I: 2.98 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 59%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back Ferencváros to win (2) — the visitors hold a clear advantage in key metrics: 19 wins and 59 goals this season versus Újpest’s 11 wins and 47 goals, with Ferencváros 2nd in the table and Újpest 7th. The visitors’ defense is markedly better: Ferencváros concedes 0.75 goals per away match and has 38% clean sheets, while Újpest concedes 1.44 at home with only 6% clean sheets. Quality of chances is comparable by xG (Újpest at home 1.69 vs Ferencváros away 1.68), but the visitors convert chances more efficiently — conversion 13% vs 11% and FTS 6% vs 31% for the hosts. In the last 5 matches Ferencváros averages 2.0 pts per game (3-1-1), Újpest 1.4 pts per game (2-1-2); additionally the hosts have conceded 8 goals in that span versus 5 for the visitors. Given the stronger defense, higher efficiency and more consistent form, I assign a higher probability to a Ferencváros victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams show high BTTS rates: Újpest 67% and Ferencváros 56%, versus a league average of 60%, indicating a propensity for Goal/Goal outcomes. Újpest averages 2.0 goals per match with xG 2.11 and 6.6 shots on target, while Ferencváros records 1.81 goals, xG 1.68 and 5.06 shots on target, so both sides create scoring opportunities. Counterpoint is Ferencváros’ defense: only 0.75 goals conceded on average, 38% clean sheet expected matches and 31 goals conceded this season versus Újpest’s 50, which limits BTTS chances. In the last 5 matches Újpest had BTTS in 40% and conceded 1.6 goals on average, Ferencváros 60% and 1.0 goal, providing a moderate signal for Yes. Considering the home side’s offensive advantage (xG 2.11 vs 1.68), the seasonal 67%/56% BTTS and the league 60%, I tip BTTS - Yes with a 64% probability.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG- and efficiency-based model indicates a goals match: expected home goals calculated as (xG Újpest 2.11 + xG conceded vs Ferencváros 1.32)/2 ≈ 1.72, and away as (xG Ferencváros 1.68 + xG conceded vs Újpest 1.11)/2 ≈ 1.39, total ≈ 3.11. Újpest have 87% of their matches this season over 2.5 goals and 93% over 1.5, while Ferencváros have 44% over 2.5 and 75% over 1.5; this gives a strong signal for the Over, especially since the league average is 2.96. In the last 5 matches Újpest scored 12 goals (2.4 avg.) and Ferencváros 9 (1.8 avg.), and the share of matches where both teams scored is 67% for the hosts and 56% for the visitors, which supports a both-sides-to-score scenario. Given the expected total of 3.11 goals and Újpest’s offensive edge, I recommend betting Over 2.5 goals as the strongest signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is 2/2 (Ferencváros leading at the break and winning the match) — I assign it a 29% probability. Ferencváros led at half-time in 10 away matches (63%), while Újpest led at home in 6 matches (40%); the visitors average 2.25 points at the break versus 1.6 for the hosts, indicating Ferencváros’ advantage in first halves. Additionally, Ferencváros concedes only 0.13 goals on average by half-time and 0.75 goals per match over the season, whereas Újpest concedes 0.6 by half-time and 1.27 per match for the season, so the visitors are more defensively stable. Újpest generates more xG (2.11 vs 1.68) and attempts more shots (17.2 vs 14.31), but the seasonal average points are 1.73 for Újpest and 2.25 for Ferencváros, and the visitors won 69% of their away matches compared to 53% home wins for the hosts. Therefore I allocated 20% to X/2 and 11% to X/X as alternatives, and the total probability of a Ferencváros victory in this projection is 55% (cumulatively 1/2 6% + X/2 20% + 2/2 29%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Újpest | Ferencváros | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ferencváros is 71% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Újpest · 2.4 pts / match - Ferencváros
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ferencváros is 25% better for: goals scored per match.
1.52 goals / match - Újpest · 1.9 goals / match - Ferencváros
Ferencváros is 61% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.61 goals / match - Újpest · 1 goals / match - Ferencváros
Újpest scores in 65% of matches (20 of 31 matches), while Ferencváros keeps a clean sheet in 32% (10 of 31 matches).
Ferencváros scores in 94% of matches (29 of 31 matches), while Újpest keeps a clean sheet in 10% (3 of 31 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Újpest
Over / Under - Ferencváros
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ferencváros is 40% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.39 pts / match - Újpest · 1.94 pts / match - Ferencváros
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Újpest - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Ferencváros - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 52% of matches and wins 61%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (13 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Újpest
Ferencváros
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NB I).
Teams vs league
| Újpest | Liga | Ferencváros | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.13 | 2.98 | • 2.90 |
| Both teams scored | • 61% | 60% | • 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 65% | 59% | ▲ 65% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 10% | 22% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 68% | 70% | • 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 81% | 87% | ▲ 90% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Újpest 0 - 1 - 1 Ferencváros. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Újpest vs Ferencváros?
The NB I match finished Újpest 0:5 Ferencváros. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Újpest and Ferencváros?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Újpest won 0, Ferencváros won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Újpest vs Ferencváros?
Újpest score 1.52 goals per game on average and Ferencváros 1.90. The NB I average is 2.98 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 61% of Újpest's matches and 61% of Ferencváros's.
What form are Újpest and Ferencváros in?
Over the last 5 games Újpest have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Ferencváros 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Újpest vs Ferencváros?
The statistical background for Újpest vs Ferencváros — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.