Újpest vs MTK: match statistics
Újpest vs MTK: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Újpest play MTK in NB I (Hungary). The match date is 4 April 2026 at 19:30. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Újpest: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. MTK: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Újpest scores 1.45 and concedes 1.73 goals per match. MTK scores 1.67 and concedes 1.88. League average: 3.00 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Újpest 61%, MTK 67%. Over 2.5: Újpest 67%, MTK 70%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 60%.
xG, shots and style
MTK has higher xG: 1.56 vs 1.54. Újpest: 12.7 shots per match, MTK: 13.4.
Match halves
Újpest: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.79. MTK: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 1.09.
Goals by minute
Újpest: 16-30 (10 goals). MTK: 76-90+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NB I: 3.00 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 60%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 1-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I predict a win for Újpest because they concede an average of 1.36 goals per home match versus MTK’s 2.23 away. Újpest posts a higher home xG (1.64) than MTK away (1.37) and attempts more shots (13.57 vs 11.69), indicating superior quality and quantity of chances. In their last 5 matches Újpest scored 5 goals and recorded 2 wins, averaging 1.4 points per game, while MTK scored 4 goals, had no wins and averages 0.6 points per game. Additionally MTK have a -15 goal difference on the road and a 54% away loss rate, and lower possession (48% vs 55%) which hampers their game control. Considering these defensive, xG and form advantages, I assess the probabilities at roughly 60% for the home side, 25% for a draw and 15% for the visitors.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Újpest | MTK | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
MTK is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Újpest · 1.8 pts / match - MTK
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
MTK is 15% better for: goals scored per match.
1.45 goals / match - Újpest · 1.67 goals / match - MTK
Újpest is 9% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.73 goals / match - Újpest · 1.88 goals / match - MTK
Újpest scores in 64% of matches (21 of 33 matches), while MTK keeps a clean sheet in 21% (7 of 33 matches).
MTK scores in 82% of matches (27 of 33 matches), while Újpest keeps a clean sheet in 9% (3 of 33 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Újpest
Over / Under — MTK
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Újpest is 34% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.3 pts / match - Újpest · 0.97 pts / match - MTK
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Újpest - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
MTK - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (19). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Újpest
MTK
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NB I).
Teams vs league
| Újpest | Liga | MTK | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.18 | 3.00 | ▲ 3.55 |
| Both teams scored | • 61% | 60% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 60% | ▲ 70% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 9% | 22% | • 21% |
| Goal before half-time | • 70% | 70% | ▲ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 82% | 87% | ▲ 94% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Újpest 1 - 0 - 1 MTK. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Újpest vs MTK?
The NB I match finished Újpest 2:2 MTK. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Újpest and MTK?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Újpest won 1, MTK won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Újpest vs MTK?
Újpest score 1.45 goals per game on average and MTK 1.67. The NB I average is 3.00 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 61% of Újpest's matches and 67% of MTK's.
What form are Újpest and MTK in?
Over the last 5 games Újpest have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and MTK 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Újpest vs MTK?
The statistical background for Újpest vs MTK — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.