Ulinzi Stars vs Gor Mahia: match statistics
Gor Mahia is displaying decidedly better form with a streak of five consecutive wins and an impressive 15-5-3 record for the season. The visiting team averages 1.64 goals per away match while conceding just 0.55, resulting in a +12 goal difference. Ulinzi Stars are in a crisis—winless in their last five matches (0-1-4), with a mere 9% home win rate and a negative goal difference of -2 on their own turf. Gor Mahia also dominates in possession (55% vs 48%) and shooting efficiency (3.91 vs 3.09 shots on target per match). The gap in quality between the two sides is evident, which, combined with the visitors' excellent form (64% away win rate), strongly supports their certain victory.
Ulinzi Stars vs Gor Mahia: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ulinzi Stars played Gor Mahia in Kenyan Premier League (Kenya). The match was played on 7 March 2026. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
Ulinzi Stars: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Gor Mahia: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ulinzi Stars scores 0.87 and concedes 1.13 goals per match. Gor Mahia scores 1.70 and concedes 0.70. League average: 2.07 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ulinzi Stars 57%, Gor Mahia 43%. Over 2.5: Ulinzi Stars 39%, Gor Mahia 43%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 34%.
xG, shots and style
Gor Mahia has higher xG: 1.53 vs 1.45. Ulinzi Stars: 10.3 shots per match, Gor Mahia: 10.7.
Match halves
Ulinzi Stars: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.13. Gor Mahia: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.35.
Goals by minute
Ulinzi Stars: 0-15 (15 goals). Gor Mahia: 0-15 (27 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Kenyan Premier League: 2.07 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 34%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Gor Mahia is displaying decidedly better form with a streak of five consecutive wins and an impressive 15-5-3 record for the season. The visiting team averages 1.64 goals per away match while conceding just 0.55, resulting in a +12 goal difference. Ulinzi Stars are in a crisis—winless in their last five matches (0-1-4), with a mere 9% home win rate and a negative goal difference of -2 on their own turf. Gor Mahia also dominates in possession (55% vs 48%) and shooting efficiency (3.91 vs 3.09 shots on target per match). The gap in quality between the two sides is evident, which, combined with the visitors' excellent form (64% away win rate), strongly supports their certain victory.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ulinzi Stars | Gor Mahia | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.41 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Gor Mahia is 550% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Ulinzi Stars · 2.6 pts / match - Gor Mahia
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Gor Mahia is 95% better for: goals scored per match.
0.87 goals / match - Ulinzi Stars · 1.7 goals / match - Gor Mahia
Gor Mahia is 61% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.13 goals / match - Ulinzi Stars · 0.7 goals / match - Gor Mahia
Ulinzi Stars scores in 70% of matches (16 of 23 matches), while Gor Mahia keeps a clean sheet in 48% (11 of 23 matches).
Gor Mahia scores in 87% of matches (20 of 23 matches), while Ulinzi Stars keeps a clean sheet in 22% (5 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ulinzi Stars
Over / Under - Gor Mahia
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Gor Mahia is 75% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.87 pts / match - Ulinzi Stars · 1.52 pts / match - Gor Mahia
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ulinzi Stars - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Gor Mahia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 65%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (15 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (18). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (27 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ulinzi Stars
Gor Mahia
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kenyan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Ulinzi Stars | Liga | Gor Mahia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.00 | 2.07 | ▲ 2.39 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 57% | 46% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 39% | 34% | ▲ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 33% | ▲ 48% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 22% | 24% | ▲ 30% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 17% | 26% | ▲ 35% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Ulinzi Stars 0 - 1 - 0 Gor Mahia. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ulinzi Stars vs Gor Mahia?
The Kenyan Premier League match finished Ulinzi Stars 1:3 Gor Mahia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ulinzi Stars vs Gor Mahia?
Ulinzi Stars score 0.87 goals per game on average and Gor Mahia 1.70. The Kenyan Premier League average is 2.07 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Ulinzi Stars's matches and 43% of Gor Mahia's.
What form are Ulinzi Stars and Gor Mahia in?
Over the last 5 games Ulinzi Stars have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Gor Mahia 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ulinzi Stars vs Gor Mahia?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Ulinzi Stars vs Gor Mahia: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.