Ulinzi Stars vs Homeboyz: match statistics
Homeboyz presents clearly better form and achievements this season. The visitors have secured 7 victories with 27 goals scored, while Ulinzi Stars has only 4 wins and 18 goals. The hosts' home form is alarming – just 10% of matches won at home and a winless streak in the last 5 matches overall (0.4 points per match). Homeboyz, despite average recent form (1 point per match), can boast 44% away efficiency and a zero goal difference on the road. The difference in offensive quality is also key – the visitors have a higher xG (0.92 vs 0.81) and average 4.11 shots on target away compared to 3.2 for the hosts. The statistics unequivocally indicate an advantage for Homeboyz in this clash.
Ulinzi Stars vs Homeboyz: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ulinzi Stars played Homeboyz in Kenyan Premier League (Kenya). The match was played on 18 February 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Ulinzi Stars: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Homeboyz: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ulinzi Stars scores 0.86 and concedes 1.10 goals per match. Homeboyz scores 1.48 and concedes 1.24. League average: 2.07 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ulinzi Stars 52%, Homeboyz 62%. Over 2.5: Ulinzi Stars 38%, Homeboyz 48%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 35%.
xG, shots and style
Homeboyz has higher xG: 1.58 vs 1.47. Ulinzi Stars: 10.5 shots per match, Homeboyz: 9.9.
Match halves
Ulinzi Stars: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.14. Homeboyz: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.33.
Goals by minute
Ulinzi Stars: 0-15 (13 goals). Homeboyz: 0-15 (21 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Kenyan Premier League: 2.07 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 35%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Homeboyz presents clearly better form and achievements this season. The visitors have secured 7 victories with 27 goals scored, while Ulinzi Stars has only 4 wins and 18 goals. The hosts' home form is alarming – just 10% of matches won at home and a winless streak in the last 5 matches overall (0.4 points per match). Homeboyz, despite average recent form (1 point per match), can boast 44% away efficiency and a zero goal difference on the road. The difference in offensive quality is also key – the visitors have a higher xG (0.92 vs 0.81) and average 4.11 shots on target away compared to 3.2 for the hosts. The statistics unequivocally indicate an advantage for Homeboyz in this clash.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ulinzi Stars | Homeboyz | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 48% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Homeboyz is 700% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - Ulinzi Stars · 1.6 pts / match - Homeboyz
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Homeboyz is 72% better for: goals scored per match.
0.86 goals / match - Ulinzi Stars · 1.48 goals / match - Homeboyz
Ulinzi Stars is 13% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.1 goals / match - Ulinzi Stars · 1.24 goals / match - Homeboyz
Ulinzi Stars scores in 67% of matches (14 of 21 matches), while Homeboyz keeps a clean sheet in 19% (4 of 21 matches).
Homeboyz scores in 76% of matches (16 of 21 matches), while Ulinzi Stars keeps a clean sheet in 24% (5 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ulinzi Stars
Over / Under - Homeboyz
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Homeboyz is 44% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.86 pts / match - Ulinzi Stars · 1.24 pts / match - Homeboyz
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ulinzi Stars - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Homeboyz - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (13 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (21 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ulinzi Stars
Homeboyz
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kenyan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Ulinzi Stars | Liga | Homeboyz | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.95 | 2.07 | ▲ 2.71 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 52% | 46% | ▲ 62% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 38% | 35% | ▲ 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 34% | ▼ 19% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 24% | 27% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 19% | 29% | ▲ 33% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Ulinzi Stars 0 - 0 - 1 Homeboyz. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ulinzi Stars vs Homeboyz?
The Kenyan Premier League match finished Ulinzi Stars 1:1 Homeboyz. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ulinzi Stars vs Homeboyz?
Ulinzi Stars score 0.86 goals per game on average and Homeboyz 1.48. The Kenyan Premier League average is 2.07 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 35% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Ulinzi Stars's matches and 62% of Homeboyz's.
What form are Ulinzi Stars and Homeboyz in?
Over the last 5 games Ulinzi Stars have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Homeboyz 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ulinzi Stars vs Homeboyz?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.