Ulinzi Stars vs Murang'a SEAL: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a close contest with an advantage for the draw. Ulinzi Stars show poor home form with just 14% wins and a negative goal difference (-1), alongside only 1 win in their last 5 matches. Murang'a SEAL is in much better shape with 1.8 points per match in the last 5 games, remaining unbeaten in that period (2 wins, 3 draws). The visitors have a better away record (29% wins, positive goal difference +2) and a higher average of goals scored away (1.43 vs 1.00). However, Murang'a SEAL's high away draw percentage (57%) and similar xG values for both teams suggest that a share of the points is the most likely outcome. A slight possession advantage for the visitors (52% vs 50%) and better form are not enough to decisively favor either side.
Ulinzi Stars vs Murang'a SEAL: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ulinzi Stars played Murang'a SEAL in Kenyan Premier League (Kenya). The match was played on 29 January 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Ulinzi Stars: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Murang'a SEAL: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ulinzi Stars scores 0.89 and concedes 1.06 goals per match. Murang'a SEAL scores 1.28 and concedes 1.06. League average: 1.99 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ulinzi Stars 50%, Murang'a SEAL 61%. Over 2.5: Ulinzi Stars 39%, Murang'a SEAL 44%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 33%.
xG, shots and style
Ulinzi Stars has higher xG: 1.47 vs 1.45. Ulinzi Stars: 10.6 shots per match, Murang'a SEAL: 11.3.
Match halves
Ulinzi Stars: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.17. Murang'a SEAL: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Ulinzi Stars: 0-15 (11 goals). Murang'a SEAL: 0-15 (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Kenyan Premier League: 1.99 goals per match, BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 33%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates a close contest with an advantage for the draw. Ulinzi Stars show poor home form with just 14% wins and a negative goal difference (-1), alongside only 1 win in their last 5 matches. Murang'a SEAL is in much better shape with 1.8 points per match in the last 5 games, remaining unbeaten in that period (2 wins, 3 draws). The visitors have a better away record (29% wins, positive goal difference +2) and a higher average of goals scored away (1.43 vs 1.00). However, Murang'a SEAL's high away draw percentage (57%) and similar xG values for both teams suggest that a share of the points is the most likely outcome. A slight possession advantage for the visitors (52% vs 50%) and better form are not enough to decisively favor either side.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ulinzi Stars | Murang'a SEAL | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Murang'a SEAL is 275% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Ulinzi Stars · 3 pts / match - Murang'a SEAL
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Murang'a SEAL is 44% better for: goals scored per match.
0.89 goals / match - Ulinzi Stars · 1.28 goals / match - Murang'a SEAL
Ulinzi Stars scores in 67% of matches (12 of 18 matches), while Murang'a SEAL keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 matches).
Murang'a SEAL scores in 78% of matches (14 of 18 matches), while Ulinzi Stars keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ulinzi Stars
Over / Under - Murang'a SEAL
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Murang'a SEAL is 41% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.83 pts / match - Ulinzi Stars · 1.17 pts / match - Murang'a SEAL
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ulinzi Stars - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Murang'a SEAL - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (11 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (11 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ulinzi Stars
Murang'a SEAL
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kenyan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Ulinzi Stars | Liga | Murang'a SEAL | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 1.94 | 1.99 | ▲ 2.33 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 43% | ▲ 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 39% | 33% | ▲ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 28% | 36% | ▼ 28% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 28% | 30% | ▲ 56% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 22% | 32% | ▲ 61% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Ulinzi Stars 1 - 0 - 0 Murang'a SEAL. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ulinzi Stars vs Murang'a SEAL?
The Kenyan Premier League match finished Ulinzi Stars 1:2 Murang'a SEAL. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ulinzi Stars vs Murang'a SEAL?
Ulinzi Stars score 0.89 goals per game on average and Murang'a SEAL 1.28. The Kenyan Premier League average is 1.99 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 33% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Ulinzi Stars's matches and 61% of Murang'a SEAL's.
What form are Ulinzi Stars and Murang'a SEAL in?
Over the last 5 games Ulinzi Stars have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Murang'a SEAL 5-0-0 (3.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ulinzi Stars vs Murang'a SEAL?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Ulinzi Stars vs Murang'a SEAL: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.