Ulm vs Hoffenheim II: match statistics
Ulm, despite a poor table position, presents decent home form with 31% of matches won at home and only 23% of games without scoring a goal. Hoffenheim II is experiencing a form crisis, failing to win any of their last 5 matches and conceding as many as 13 goals in that period. The visitors admittedly have a better scoring record on the road, yet their 58% loss rate in away matches and the dismal disposition of recent weeks weigh against them. Ulm possesses the advantage in possession in home matches and a better expected goals ratio relative to goals conceded. Taking all factors into account, the hosts have a real chance for victory, although the balanced nature of the encounter does not exclude a draw.
Ulm vs Hoffenheim II: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ulm played Hoffenheim II in 3. Liga (Germany). The match was played on 3 March 2026. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
Ulm: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Hoffenheim II: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ulm scores 1.31 and concedes 2.00 goals per match. Hoffenheim II scores 1.85 and concedes 1.81. League average: 3.13 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ulm 69%, Hoffenheim II 77%. Over 2.5: Ulm 69%, Hoffenheim II 77%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 63%.
xG, shots and style
Hoffenheim II has higher xG: 1.76 vs 1.38. Ulm: 11.3 shots per match, Hoffenheim II: 14.2.
Match halves
Ulm: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.81. Hoffenheim II: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.88.
Goals by minute
Ulm: 76-90+ (9 goals). Hoffenheim II: 0-15 (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
3. Liga: 3.13 goals per match, BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 63%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Ulm, despite a poor table position, presents decent home form with 31% of matches won at home and only 23% of games without scoring a goal. Hoffenheim II is experiencing a form crisis, failing to win any of their last 5 matches and conceding as many as 13 goals in that period. The visitors admittedly have a better scoring record on the road, yet their 58% loss rate in away matches and the dismal disposition of recent weeks weigh against them. Ulm possesses the advantage in possession in home matches and a better expected goals ratio relative to goals conceded. Taking all factors into account, the hosts have a real chance for victory, although the balanced nature of the encounter does not exclude a draw.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ulm | Hoffenheim II | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ulm is 400% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Ulm · 0.2 pts / match - Hoffenheim II
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Hoffenheim II is 41% better for: goals scored per match.
1.31 goals / match - Ulm · 1.85 goals / match - Hoffenheim II
Hoffenheim II is 10% better for: goals conceded per match.
2 goals / match - Ulm · 1.81 goals / match - Hoffenheim II
Ulm scores in 85% of matches (22 of 26 matches), while Hoffenheim II keeps a clean sheet in 19% (5 of 26 matches).
Hoffenheim II scores in 92% of matches (24 of 26 matches), while Ulm keeps a clean sheet in 15% (4 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ulm
Over / Under - Hoffenheim II
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Hoffenheim II is 52% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.81 pts / match - Ulm · 1.23 pts / match - Hoffenheim II
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ulm - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Hoffenheim II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 0% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (11 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ulm
Hoffenheim II
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Ulm | Liga | Hoffenheim II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.31 | 3.13 | ▲ 3.65 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 69% | 64% | ▲ 77% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 69% | 63% | ▲ 77% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 15% | 21% | ▼ 19% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 81% | 76% | ▲ 85% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 77% | 84% | ▼ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Ulm 0 - 1 - 0 Hoffenheim II. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ulm vs Hoffenheim II?
The 3. Liga match finished Ulm 1:3 Hoffenheim II. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ulm vs Hoffenheim II?
Ulm score 1.31 goals per game on average and Hoffenheim II 1.85. The 3. Liga average is 3.13 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 69% of Ulm's matches and 77% of Hoffenheim II's.
What form are Ulm and Hoffenheim II in?
Over the last 5 games Ulm have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Hoffenheim II 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ulm vs Hoffenheim II?
The statistical background for Ulm vs Hoffenheim II — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.