Ulm vs Ingolstadt: match statistics
Ingolstadt appears to be the favorite for this matchup despite playing away. Ulm sits in 18th place in the table with disastrous form - zero wins in their last 5 matches and a staggering 64% home loss rate this season. The hosts have a negative goal difference (-10) in home games and concede an average of 2 goals per match. Ingolstadt displays significantly better away form with a positive goal difference (+5), higher efficiency (15% shot conversion vs 12% for Ulm), and a better scoring average (1.79 vs 1.29). The visitors are less likely to fail to score on the road (7% FTS% vs 21% for Ulm at home), indicating their offensive consistency. The form of both teams in the last 5 matches also favors Ingolstadt (1.0 PPG vs 0.4 PPG for Ulm), making them clear favorites in this clash.
Ulm vs Ingolstadt: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ulm played Ingolstadt in 3. Liga (Germany). The match was played on 15 March 2026. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
Ulm: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Ingolstadt: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ulm scores 1.32 and concedes 2.07 goals per match. Ingolstadt scores 1.64 and concedes 1.36. League average: 3.13 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ulm 71%, Ingolstadt 75%. Over 2.5: Ulm 71%, Ingolstadt 68%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 63%.
xG, shots and style
Ingolstadt has higher xG: 1.62 vs 1.42. Ulm: 11.8 shots per match, Ingolstadt: 13.8.
Match halves
Ulm: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.82. Ingolstadt: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 1.04.
Goals by minute
Ulm: 46-60 (10 goals). Ingolstadt: 76-90+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
3. Liga: 3.13 goals per match, BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 63%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Ingolstadt appears to be the favorite for this matchup despite playing away. Ulm sits in 18th place in the table with disastrous form - zero wins in their last 5 matches and a staggering 64% home loss rate this season. The hosts have a negative goal difference (-10) in home games and concede an average of 2 goals per match. Ingolstadt displays significantly better away form with a positive goal difference (+5), higher efficiency (15% shot conversion vs 12% for Ulm), and a better scoring average (1.79 vs 1.29). The visitors are less likely to fail to score on the road (7% FTS% vs 21% for Ulm at home), indicating their offensive consistency. The form of both teams in the last 5 matches also favors Ingolstadt (1.0 PPG vs 0.4 PPG for Ulm), making them clear favorites in this clash.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ulm | Ingolstadt | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ingolstadt is 150% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Ulm · 1 pts / match - Ingolstadt
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ingolstadt is 24% better for: goals scored per match.
1.32 goals / match - Ulm · 1.64 goals / match - Ingolstadt
Ingolstadt is 52% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.07 goals / match - Ulm · 1.36 goals / match - Ingolstadt
Ulm scores in 86% of matches (24 of 28 matches), while Ingolstadt keeps a clean sheet in 21% (6 of 28 matches).
Ingolstadt scores in 86% of matches (24 of 28 matches), while Ulm keeps a clean sheet in 14% (4 of 28 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ulm
Over / Under - Ingolstadt
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ingolstadt is 61% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.82 pts / match - Ulm · 1.32 pts / match - Ingolstadt
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ulm - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Ingolstadt - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -5 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ulm
Ingolstadt
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Ulm | Liga | Ingolstadt | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.39 | 3.13 | ▼ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 71% | 64% | ▲ 75% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 71% | 63% | ▲ 68% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 22% | • 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 76% | ▼ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 79% | 83% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Ulm 0 - 0 - 1 Ingolstadt. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ulm vs Ingolstadt?
The 3. Liga match finished Ulm 1:3 Ingolstadt. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ulm vs Ingolstadt?
Ulm score 1.32 goals per game on average and Ingolstadt 1.64. The 3. Liga average is 3.13 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Ulm's matches and 75% of Ingolstadt's.
What form are Ulm and Ingolstadt in?
Over the last 5 games Ulm have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Ingolstadt 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ulm vs Ingolstadt?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.