Ulm vs Osnabrück: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Ulm played Osnabrück in 3. Liga (Germany). The match was played on 12 December 2025. Final score: 3:5.

Current form

Ulm: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Osnabrück: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Ulm scores 1.24 and concedes 2.12 goals per match. Osnabrück scores 1.18 and concedes 0.94. League average: 3.16 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Ulm 71%, Osnabrück 35%. Over 2.5: Ulm 76%, Osnabrück 35%. League level: BTTS 65%, Over 2.5 63%.

xG, shots and style

Osnabrück has higher xG: 1.58 vs 1.34. Ulm: 10.9 shots per match, Osnabrück: 13.4.

Match halves

Ulm: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.71. Osnabrück: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 1.00.

Goals by minute

Ulm: 76-90+ (5 goals). Osnabrück: 61-75 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

3. Liga: 3.16 goals per match, BTTS 65%, Over 2.5 63%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

1 : 2
1st half
2 : 3
2nd half

Match statistics

57Possession (%)43
UlmOsnabrück
8Shots14
UlmOsnabrück
5Shots on target7
UlmOsnabrück
1.19xG1.83
UlmOsnabrück
3Corners4
UlmOsnabrück
45Dangerous attacks64
UlmOsnabrück
11Fouls7
UlmOsnabrück
6Cards1
UlmOsnabrück

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.24Goals scored / match1.18
UlmOsnabrück
2.12Goals conceded / match0.94
UlmOsnabrück
50%Average possession48%
UlmOsnabrück
3.47Shots on target / match4.12
UlmOsnabrück

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.88Shots per match13.41
UlmOsnabrück
3.47Shots on target4.12
UlmOsnabrück
11.4%Shot conversion8.8%
UlmOsnabrück
50%Possession48%
UlmOsnabrück
1.34xG for1.58
UlmOsnabrück
1.81xG against1.28
UlmOsnabrück

Shooting quality

Ulm: BalancedOsnabrück: Balanced
UlmOsnabrück
Accuracy (shots on target)32%31%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.360.29

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Osnabrück is 133% better for: last-5 form.

0.6 pts / match - Ulm · 1.4 pts / match - Osnabrück

Ulm
LLLLW
Season result split
29% W6% R65% P
Season (W-D-L)
5-1-11
0.94 pts / match · goal difference -15
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-0-5
Last 5 at home
1-0-4
WLLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 1.08Opponent xG: 1.74BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
Osnabrück
DWWLL
Season result split
47% W29% R24% P
Season (W-D-L)
8-5-4
1.71 pts / match · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-2-2
Last 5 away
3-1-1
DWWWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.45Opponent xG: 1.13BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Ulm is 5% better for: goals scored per match.

1.24 goals / match - Ulm · 1.18 goals / match - Osnabrück

Osnabrück is 126% better for: goals conceded per match.

2.12 goals / match - Ulm · 0.94 goals / match - Osnabrück

Ulm scoring profile: strong

Ulm scores in 82% of matches (14 of 17 matches), while Osnabrück keeps a clean sheet in 53% (9 of 17 matches).

Osnabrück scoring profile: very strong

Osnabrück scores in 65% of matches (11 of 17 matches), while Ulm keeps a clean sheet in 12% (2 of 17 matches).

21Goals scored (season)20
UlmOsnabrück
36Goals conceded (season)16
UlmOsnabrück
3.35Average goals in match2.12
UlmOsnabrück
3Goals scored (last 5)3
UlmOsnabrück
11Goals conceded (last 5)5
UlmOsnabrück

How often they score at least...

82%1 goal65%
UlmOsnabrück
18%2 goals35%
UlmOsnabrück
12%3 goals12%
UlmOsnabrück
6%4 goals6%
UlmOsnabrück

How often they concede at least...

88%1 goal47%
UlmOsnabrück
59%2 goals18%
UlmOsnabrück
35%3 goals18%
UlmOsnabrück
18%4 goals12%
UlmOsnabrück

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

29%BTTS at half-time0%
UlmOsnabrück
0%BTTS in both halves0%
UlmOsnabrück
12%Scored in both halves18%
UlmOsnabrück

BTTS and goal count

65%Min. 3 goals and BTTS29%
UlmOsnabrück
12%Min. 3 goals without BTTS6%
UlmOsnabrück
40%BTTS - last 520%
UlmOsnabrück

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

88%Min. 1 goal before half-time47%
UlmOsnabrück
47%Min. 2 goals before half-time12%
UlmOsnabrück
18%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
UlmOsnabrück

2nd half

76%Min. 1 goal after half-time71%
UlmOsnabrück
65%Min. 2 goals after half-time47%
UlmOsnabrück
35%Min. 3 goals after half-time24%
UlmOsnabrück

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Osnabrück is 29% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.82 pts / match - Ulm · 1.06 pts / match - Osnabrück

Ulm - half-time state
18% leading29% draw53% trailing
Osnabrück - half-time state
18% leading53% draw29% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.82Points per match (1st half)1.06
UlmOsnabrück
0.53Goals scored (1st half)0.18
UlmOsnabrück
1.06Goals conceded (1st half)0.41
UlmOsnabrück
1.59Average goals (1st half)0.59
UlmOsnabrück
24%Clean sheet before half-time71%
UlmOsnabrück
59%No goal before half-time82%
UlmOsnabrück

After half-time (2nd half)

0.94Points per match (2nd half)1.71
UlmOsnabrück
0.71Goals scored (2nd half)1
UlmOsnabrück
1.06Goals conceded (2nd half)0.53
UlmOsnabrück
1.76Average goals (2nd half)1.53
UlmOsnabrück
41%Clean sheet after half-time65%
UlmOsnabrück
47%No goal after half-time35%
UlmOsnabrück

Ulm - second-half results

18% W41% R41% P
14
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
-9
Goal difference (1st half)
16
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.82
PPG before half-time
Lead holding161%

Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Osnabrück - second-half results

41% W47% R12% P
18
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
29
Second-half points
+8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.06
PPG before half-time
Lead holding261%

Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Ulm - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.401.00
Goals scored / match0.20.4
Goals conceded / match1.40.8
Average goals in match1.61.2
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-6-2
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
Osnabrück - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.601.60
Goals scored / match0.00.6
Goals conceded / match0.60.4
Average goals in match0.61.0
1 goal40%60%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal100%40%
Goal difference-3+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Ulm
ScoredConceded
1
6
0-15
4
8
16-30
4
4
31-45
4
5
46-60
3
5
61-75
5
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

Osnabrück
ScoredConceded
0
4
0-15
1
1
16-30
2
2
31-45
4
1
46-60
7
4
61-75
6
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.74
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
87%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
53%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
53%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Ulm

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.47
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.41
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.10
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.31
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
73%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
144%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.34
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 5% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

Osnabrück

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.30
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.06
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.40
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.34
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
80%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
56%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.31
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.8
Late goals
30% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
30%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3. Liga).

Teams vs league

UlmLigaOsnabrück
Average goals in match 3.353.16 2.12
Both teams scored 71%65% 35%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 76%63% 35%
Clean sheets 12%21% 53%
Goal before half-time 88%75% 47%
Goal after half-time 76%85% 71%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.16
Average goals per match
65%
Both teams scored
63%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
21%
Clean sheets
1.69
Home goals / match
1.47
Away goals / match
+15%
Home attack advantage
+13%
Home defence advantage
+13%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
85%
1 goal
57%
2 goals
29%
3 goals
11%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. OsnabrückGoalTony LesueurAssist: Fridolin Wagner
  2. UlmYellow cardLukas Mazagg
  3. UlmYellow cardDennis Dressel
  4. UlmYellow cardLeon Dajaku
  5. OsnabrückYellow cardRobin Fabinski
  6. UlmYellow cardNiklas Kölle
  7. OsnabrückGoalLars KehlAssist: Patrick Kammerbauer
  8. OsnabrückGoalLars Kehl
  9. UlmYellow cardMax Brandt
  10. OsnabrückSubstitutionOn: Kai PrögerOff: Lars Kehl
  11. UlmYellow cardEnsar Aksakal
  12. UlmSubstitutionOn: Jan BollerOff: Lukas Mazagg

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Ben Henry UhrigMatches officiated: 10
4.5Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 240%Home wins40%Draws20%Away wins

FAQ

What was the result of Ulm vs Osnabrück?

The 3. Liga match finished Ulm 3:5 Osnabrück. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Ulm vs Osnabrück?

Ulm score 1.24 goals per game on average and Osnabrück 1.18. The 3. Liga average is 3.16 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Ulm's matches and 35% of Osnabrück's.

What form are Ulm and Osnabrück in?

Over the last 5 games Ulm have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Osnabrück 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ulm vs Osnabrück?

The statistical background for Ulm vs Osnabrück — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.