Ulm vs Verl: match statistics
Ulm vs Verl: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ulm play Verl in 3. Liga (Germany). The match date is 5 April 2026 at 13:30. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Ulm: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Verl: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ulm scores 1.29 and concedes 2.05 goals per match. Verl scores 2.16 and concedes 1.26. League average: 3.21 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ulm 74%, Verl 66%. Over 2.5: Ulm 66%, Verl 74%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 64%.
xG, shots and style
Verl has higher xG: 1.76 vs 1.43. Ulm: 11.8 shots per match, Verl: 14.6.
Match halves
Ulm: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.79. Verl: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 1.18.
Goals by minute
Ulm: 76-90+ (14 goals). Verl: 76-90+ (18 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
3. Liga: 3.21 goals per match, BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 64%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Verl is the paper favorite: the visitors average 2.00 goals per away match (70 this season) versus Ulm’s 1.27 at home (39 this season), and in the last 5 games Verl has scored 10 and conceded only 3 while Ulm has 7 scored and 10 conceded. The quality gap is also evident in possession and shots: Verl averages 65% possession and 5.4 shots on target per away game, Ulm 52% possession and 4.13 shots on target at home. Defensively Ulm concedes 2.07 goals per home match, Verl 1.67 away, and xG also favors the visitors (xG 1.71 for Verl vs 1.43 for Ulm). Efficiency further supports the visitors: Verl’s conversion rate is 14% versus Ulm’s 11%, and Ulm fail to score in 20% of home games compared to Verl’s 13% scoreless away matches. Ulm have only a 27% home-win rate and a -12 home goal differential, while Verl have a 40% away-win rate and a +5 differential, so I predict an away win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ulm | Verl | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Verl is 125% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Ulm · 1.8 pts / match - Verl
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Verl is 67% better for: goals scored per match.
1.29 goals / match - Ulm · 2.16 goals / match - Verl
Verl is 63% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.05 goals / match - Ulm · 1.26 goals / match - Verl
Ulm scores in 87% of matches (33 of 38 matches), while Verl keeps a clean sheet in 26% (10 of 38 matches).
Verl scores in 87% of matches (33 of 38 matches), while Ulm keeps a clean sheet in 13% (5 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Ulm
Over / Under — Verl
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Verl is 91% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.92 pts / match - Ulm · 1.76 pts / match - Verl
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ulm - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Verl - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (21). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (18 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ulm
Verl
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Ulm | Liga | Verl | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.34 | 3.21 | ▲ 3.42 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 74% | 64% | ▲ 66% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 66% | 64% | ▲ 74% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 21% | ▲ 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 74% | 77% | • 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 79% | 83% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Ulm 0 - 0 - 1 Verl. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ulm vs Verl?
The 3. Liga match finished Ulm 1:0 Verl. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ulm vs Verl?
Ulm score 1.29 goals per game on average and Verl 2.16. The 3. Liga average is 3.21 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 74% of Ulm's matches and 66% of Verl's.
What form are Ulm and Verl in?
Over the last 5 games Ulm have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Verl 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ulm vs Verl?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.