Ulsan vs FC Seoul: match statistics

FC Seoul come into the match as league leaders, with a record of 17 wins, 5 draws and just 4 defeats, while Ulsan have won 12 of their 26 matches. The visitors are in excellent form: they have collected 13 points in their last five matches, scoring 17 goals and conceding just 4, whereas Ulsan have suffered 3 defeats and scored 8 goals over the same period. Away from home, FC Seoul win 71% of their matches, averaging 2.21 goals scored and just 0.79 conceded, with a 36% clean-sheet rate; Ulsan, meanwhile, concede as many as 1.69 goals per home game. The hosts create slightly more high-quality chances, with an average xG of 1.86 compared with their opponents’ 1.73, but their defensive xGA is identical at 1.69, and they have kept a clean sheet in only 15% of matches. The visitors’ superior efficiency—16% compared with Ulsan’s 11%—combined with their excellent current run, points to a FC Seoul victory.

The scenario of both teams scoring is primarily supported by their attacking strength: Ulsan averages 1.75 goals, while FC Seoul averages 2.21 goals per match. FC Seoul creates an average of 1.73 xG and records 5.14 shots on target, whereas Ulsan has allowed opponents 1.45 xG and conceded 7 goals in its last five matches. The home side should nevertheless respond, as FC Seoul keeps a clean sheet in only 36% of matches, while Ulsan generates an average of 1.62 xG and 4.58 shots on target. The BTTS - Yes pick is also supported by Ulsan’s current form, with both teams scoring in 60% of their last five matches, although Ulsan’s 58% clean-sheet rate across the season reduces confidence in the prediction. Overall, the more likely outcome is that both teams will score at least one goal.

FC Seoul presents very strong attacking potential: they average 2.21 goals per game this season and as many as 3.4 across their last five matches, with an xG of 2.02. However, Ulsan should limit the scale of the result, as they concede just 0.83 goals per match on average and keep a clean sheet in 58% of games. FC Seoul’s defence is also solid, averaging 0.79 goals conceded, despite Ulsan recording a seasonal xG of 1.62. The Under 3.5 goals line has an edge, as it landed in 58% of Ulsan’s matches and 71% of FC Seoul’s games, while neither team concedes more than 1 goal per match on average. The expected total of 2.65 goals points to realistic scorelines such as 1:1, 1:2 or 0:2, rather than an open four-goal shootout.

FC Seoul has the clearer first-half profile: they led at the break in 57% of matches, scoring an average of 1.14 goals and conceding just 0.14, while Ulsan averaged only 0.42 goals. The visitors are also stronger across the season as a whole, winning 71% of their matches compared with Ulsan’s 58% and averaging 2.21 goals scored per game. Recent form further favors Seoul, who averaged 3.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded over their last five matches, winning 4 of them, while Ulsan are on a run of 3 defeats. Ulsan can respond after the break, averaging 1.33 goals in second halves, but FC Seoul also have a strong post-break scoring rate of 1.07 goals. Therefore, the most likely outcome remains an FC Seoul lead at half-time followed by a full-time victory (1/1).