Ulsan vs Incheon United: match statistics
Ulsan vs Incheon United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ulsan play Incheon United in K League 1 (South Korea). The match date is 21 July 2026 at 12:30. Venue: Ulsan Munsu Football Stadium. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Ulsan: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Incheon United: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ulsan scores 1.42 and concedes 1.47 goals per match. Incheon United scores 1.26 and concedes 1.05. League average: 2.31 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ulsan 68%, Incheon United 47%. Over 2.5: Ulsan 58%, Incheon United 53%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 39%.
xG, shots and style
Ulsan has higher xG: 1.78 vs 1.44. Ulsan: 15.3 shots per match, Incheon United: 11.1.
Match halves
Ulsan: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.79. Incheon United: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.53.
Goals by minute
Ulsan: 76-90+ (7 goals). Incheon United: 31-45+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
K League 1: 2.31 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 39%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Ulsan generates at home an average of 1.96 xG and 17.44 shots per match, including 5.44 shots on target, while Incheon away posts only 1.33 xG, 10.38 shots and 3.63 shots on target, giving the hosts an advantage in chance creation. However, Incheon is more efficient in finishing — their conversion rate is 13% versus Ulsan’s 9% — and concedes only 1.00 goal on average away compared to Ulsan’s 1.67 conceded at home. In the last 5 matches Ulsan scored 6 and conceded 9, averaging 1.0 point per game with just 1 win, whereas Incheon scored 5 and conceded 3, averaging 1.2 points per game with 2 wins, indicating a better defensive trend for the visitors. Additionally, Incheon keeps 38% clean sheets on the road, while Ulsan has only 22% clean sheets at home, which increases the visitors’ chance of limiting the risk of conceding. Considering Ulsan’s higher quantity and quality of created chances (1.96 xG vs 1.33 xG) and the hosts’ defensive frailties, I predict a narrow Ulsan victory, with a realistic risk of a draw.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ulsan | Incheon United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Incheon United is 350% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Ulsan · 1.8 pts / match - Incheon United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ulsan is 13% better for: goals scored per match.
1.42 goals / match - Ulsan · 1.26 goals / match - Incheon United
Incheon United is 40% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.47 goals / match - Ulsan · 1.05 goals / match - Incheon United
Ulsan scores in 79% of matches (15 of 19 matches), while Incheon United keeps a clean sheet in 32% (6 of 19 matches).
Incheon United scores in 74% of matches (14 of 19 matches), while Ulsan keeps a clean sheet in 16% (3 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Ulsan
Over / Under — Incheon United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Incheon United is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.26 pts / match - Ulsan · 1.42 pts / match - Incheon United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ulsan - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Incheon United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ulsan
Incheon United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (K League 1).
Teams vs league
| Ulsan | Liga | Incheon United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.89 | 2.31 | • 2.32 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 68% | 51% | ▼ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 58% | 39% | ▲ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 16% | 30% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 63% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 84% | 73% | • 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Ulsan 1 - 0 - 0 Incheon United. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ulsan vs Incheon United?
The K League 1 match finished Ulsan 1:2 Incheon United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ulsan vs Incheon United?
Ulsan score 1.42 goals per game on average and Incheon United 1.26. The K League 1 average is 2.31 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 39% of games. Both teams score in 68% of Ulsan's matches and 47% of Incheon United's.
What form are Ulsan and Incheon United in?
Over the last 5 games Ulsan have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Incheon United 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ulsan vs Incheon United?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Ulsan vs Incheon United: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.