Ulytau vs Aktobe: match statistics
Ulytau vs Aktobe: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ulytau played Aktobe in Kazakhstan Premier League (Kazakhstan). The match was played on 5 April 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Ulytau: 1-1-1, 1.33 points/match. Aktobe: 1-0-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ulytau scores 0.67 and concedes 0.67 goals per match. Aktobe scores 1.67 and concedes 2.00. League average: 2.07 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ulytau 33%, Aktobe 67%. Over 2.5: Ulytau 33%, Aktobe 67%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 32%.
xG, shots and style
Aktobe has higher xG: 1.44 vs 1.28. Ulytau: 11.3 shots per match, Aktobe: 12.3.
Match halves
Ulytau: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.00. Aktobe: half-time lead 67%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Ulytau: 0-15 (1 goals). Aktobe: 16-30 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Kazakhstan Premier League: 2.07 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 32%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Ulytau has a clear home advantage: 100% home wins and 100% clean sheets, averaging 1 goal scored and 0 conceded per home match. Aktobe are very poor away: 0% wins, 100% losses and 100% of away games without scoring, averaging 0 goals scored and 1 conceded on the road. In terms of quality of chances xG are similar (Ulytau 1.02 xG at home vs Aktobe 1.1 xG away), but Ulytau convert better — 13% conversion rate and 3 shots on target per game versus Aktobe’s 0% away conversion despite 5 shots on target. Additionally, Aktobe have conceded 13 goals in the last 5 matches while Ulytau only 5, indicating greater defensive vulnerability of the visitors; therefore I predict a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Data analysis indicates a preference for BTTS - Yes: in the last 5 matches Ulytau has BTTS at 60% and Aktobe 80%, yielding an average 70% form signal. Seasonal values conflict (Ulytau 100% BTTS vs Aktobe 0%), so I weighted the last 5 matches and xG stats more heavily. xG shows Ulytau produces 1.61 xG with 1.62 xG against, while Aktobe has 1.10 xG with 1.36 xG against, so both teams create over 1.1 xG and simultaneously concede above 1.3 xG to opponents. In the last 5 matches the average goals scored are 1.0 for Ulytau and 2.0 for Aktobe, and average goals conceded are 1.0 and 2.6, which confirms both sides regularly score and concede goals. Additionally Ulytau records 14 shots and 6 on target per match versus 9 and 5 for Aktobe, and on this basis I assess BTTS probability at 75% versus 25% for No Goal (selection: 'yes').
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
xG analysis indicates total expected goals of 2.85, split as 1.49 for Ulytau and 1.36 for Aktobe (calculated from home attack xG 1.61 and xG conceded by Aktobe 1.36, and respectively 1.10 and 1.62 for the away side). Ulytau averages 14 shots and 6 on target with an 18% conversion, correlating with a seasonal home average of 2.5 goals; Aktobe averages 9 shots and 5 on target with xG 1.10, so goal potential exists on both ends. In the last 5 matches the home side scored 5 goals and the away side 10 (averaging 1.0 vs 2.0), and the share of matches with both teams scoring was 60% for Ulytau and 80% for Aktobe, which increases the likelihood of goals from both sides. Seasonal indicators are extreme (Ulytau 100% of matches over 2.5 vs Aktobe 0%), but given xG=2.85 and the home advantage in shot volume I select Over 2.5 goals as the strongest signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The hosts Ulytau led at the break in 2 of 2 seasonal matches (100%), scoring an average of 1.0 goals by half-time versus 0.0 for Aktobe. Ulytau posts a higher xG — 1.61 compared to 1.10 for Aktobe — and more shots (14 vs 9) and shots on target (6 vs 5), while a shot conversion rate of 18.0% versus 0.0% suggests the hosts capitalize on chances more effectively. The hosts’ average points at home are 1.5 per match versus 0.0 for the visitors, and a win rate of 50% vs 0% further supports an Ulytau victory after 90 minutes. Additionally, the hosts have a seasonal scoring average of 2.5 goals and have recorded at least one goal by half-time in 100% of matches, reinforcing the expectation of a lead at the break. For these reasons I assign the largest probabilistic weight to the 1/1 scenario (55%); the remainder is allocated as 1/X 10%, X/X 15% and 20% to other, less likely turnarounds (totaling 20%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ulytau | Aktobe | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 26% | 46% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.22 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ulytau is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.33 pts / match - Ulytau · 1 pts / match - Aktobe
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Aktobe is 149% better for: goals scored per match.
0.67 goals / match - Ulytau · 1.67 goals / match - Aktobe
Ulytau is 199% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.67 goals / match - Ulytau · 2 goals / match - Aktobe
Ulytau scores in 67% of matches (2 of 3 matches), while Aktobe keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 3 matches).
Aktobe scores in 67% of matches (2 of 3 matches), while Ulytau keeps a clean sheet in 67% (2 of 3 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ulytau
Over / Under - Aktobe
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Aktobe is 40% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.67 pts / match - Ulytau · 2.33 pts / match - Aktobe
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ulytau - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Aktobe - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 67% of matches and wins 33%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 2.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.67 | 0.67 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.7 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| 1 goal | 67% | 33% |
| 2 goals | 33% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 67% | 67% |
| No goal | 33% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.33 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.7 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 2.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.7 | 3.0 |
| 1 goal | 67% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 67% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 67% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 0% |
| No goal | 33% | 67% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 16-30 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ulytau
Aktobe
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kazakhstan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Ulytau | Liga | Aktobe | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.33 | 2.07 | ▲ 3.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 50% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 33% | 32% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 67% | 36% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 67% | 57% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 33% | 64% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Ulytau 1 - 0 - 1 Aktobe. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ulytau vs Aktobe?
The Kazakhstan Premier League match finished Ulytau 1:1 Aktobe. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Ulytau and Aktobe?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Ulytau won 1, Aktobe won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Ulytau vs Aktobe?
Ulytau score 0.67 goals per game on average and Aktobe 1.67. The Kazakhstan Premier League average is 2.07 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 32% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Ulytau's matches and 67% of Aktobe's.
What form are Ulytau and Aktobe in?
Over the last 5 games Ulytau have a 1-1-1 record (1.33 points per game) and Aktobe 1-0-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ulytau vs Aktobe?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Ulytau vs Aktobe: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.