Ulytau vs Astana: match statistics
Ulytau vs Astana: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ulytau played Astana in Kazakhstan Premier League (Kazakhstan). The match was played on 2 August 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Ulytau: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Astana: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ulytau scores 0.84 and concedes 0.95 goals per match. Astana scores 1.61 and concedes 1.11. League average: 2.39 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ulytau 47%, Astana 50%. Over 2.5: Ulytau 32%, Astana 50%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 45%.
xG, shots and style
Astana has higher xG: 1.82 vs 1.31. Ulytau: 11.2 shots per match, Astana: 16.3.
Match halves
Ulytau: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.42. Astana: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 0.78.
Goals by minute
Ulytau: 31-45+ (4 goals). Astana: 46-60 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Kazakhstan Premier League: 2.39 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 45%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-3. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back the home win (1). Ulytau scores 1.1 goals at home and concedes only 0.7 per match, records 40% clean sheets, 60% home wins and a +4 goal difference in home games. Astana shows better overall form (4 wins in last 5 and 2.4 points per match in that run, 10 goals in last 5), but struggles offensively away: just 0.63 goals per away match, 1.63 conceded and as many as 63% of away games without scoring. The quality of created chances is similar (xG 1.43 Ulytau vs 1.49 Astana), yet the hosts convert their chances more efficiently (shot conversion 9% versus 5% for the visitors), which together with the lower average goals conceded (0.7 vs 1.63) gives them the edge. Therefore I assign Ulytau a 55% probability to win, 25% for a draw and 20% for an Astana victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Statistical analysis favors the BTTS 'Yes' scenario: Ulytau scores on average 2.4 goals at home with an xG of 2.08, while Astana concedes on average 1.63 goals away — a strong basis to expect the hosts to find the net. The visitors, however, show attacking form in the last 5 matches: Astana scored 10 goals in their last 5 games (2.0 per game) and has a recent xG of 2.17, whereas Ulytau scored only 3 goals in the same period (0.6 per game) with an xG of 1.21, suggesting Astana has realistic chances to score. Season BTTS signals are mixed: Ulytau at home has BTTS 60%, Astana away 38%, and the league BTTS rate is 54%, which gives a moderate edge to this market, especially considering Astana’s low 13% clean sheets away versus Ulytau’s 40% at home. Additionally Ulytau averages 7.9 shots on target with a conversion rate of 13%, while Astana averages 4.38 shots on target with a 5% conversion, but Astana’s high recent finishing (10 goals in 5) compensates and increases the probability of both teams scoring. The aggregate signals (Ulytau home offense, Astana’s strong recent scoring form and the season 60% BTTS for the hosts) point to a moderate 'Yes' indication — I assess BTTS probability at roughly 65% for 'Yes' and 35% for 'No'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I estimate 1.80 goals for Ulytau and 1.27 for Astana, i.e. a total of 3.07 goals in the match. The forecast is based on xG: Ulytau xG_for 2.08 and Astana 1.49, and xG against 1.05 (Ulytau) and 1.52 (Astana), which gives averages (2.08+1.52)/2=1.80 and (1.49+1.05)/2=1.27. Ulytau creates significantly more chances (18.5 shots and 7.9 on target with a 13% conversion) compared to Astana (13.5 shots, 4.38 on target, 5% conversion), which increases the probability of a higher goal count. Additionally, Ulytau records 60% of home matches Over 2.5, Astana has 38% Over 2.5, and the league Over 2.5 rate is 44%, therefore the strongest signal from the data is to play Over 2.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Ulytau is the clear favorite: they have led at the break in 70% of home matches and won 90% of their home games, while Astana has no away wins (0%) and averages just 0.63 goals per away match. In the first 45 minutes Ulytau averages 1.3 goals and concedes only 0.2, whereas Astana averages 0.25 goals by half-time, giving the hosts a substantial advantage before the break. Chance quality also favors Ulytau: the hosts’ xG is 2.08 versus 1.49 for the visitors; the hosts average 7.9 shots on target against Astana’s 4.38 and, seasonally, 2.4 goals scored at home compared to 0.63 for their opponents. Additionally, Ulytau keep a clean sheet at the break in 80% of home games, and their high conversion of leads (90% home wins) suggests a lead at the break often translates into a full-time victory. For these reasons, the strongest signal is the scenario of Ulytau leading at half-time and winning the match (1/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ulytau | Astana | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Astana is 150% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Ulytau · 2 pts / match - Astana
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Astana is 92% better for: goals scored per match.
0.84 goals / match - Ulytau · 1.61 goals / match - Astana
Ulytau is 17% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.95 goals / match - Ulytau · 1.11 goals / match - Astana
Ulytau scores in 68% of matches (13 of 19 matches), while Astana keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 matches).
Astana scores in 72% of matches (13 of 18 matches), while Ulytau keeps a clean sheet in 32% (6 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Ulytau
Over / Under — Astana
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Astana is 44% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.16 pts / match - Ulytau · 1.67 pts / match - Astana
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ulytau - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Astana - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ulytau
Astana
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kazakhstan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Ulytau | Liga | Astana | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.79 | 2.39 | ▲ 2.72 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 47% | 55% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 32% | 45% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 32% | 27% | • 28% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 65% | ▲ 72% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 63% | 70% | ▲ 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Ulytau 0 - 0 - 3 Astana. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ulytau vs Astana?
The Kazakhstan Premier League match finished Ulytau 0:2 Astana. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Ulytau and Astana?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Ulytau won 0, Astana won 3 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Ulytau vs Astana?
Ulytau score 0.84 goals per game on average and Astana 1.61. The Kazakhstan Premier League average is 2.39 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Ulytau's matches and 50% of Astana's.
What form are Ulytau and Astana in?
Over the last 5 games Ulytau have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Astana 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ulytau vs Astana?
The statistical background for Ulytau vs Astana — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.