Umm Salal vs Al Arabi: match statistics
Al Arabi presents significantly better form and statistics than Umm Salal. The hosts occupy 12th place in the table with a disastrous home record – 67% losses and a negative goal difference (-9). Their defense concedes an average of 3.17 goals per home match, which is an alarming signal. Al Arabi, on the other hand, sits in 5th position, has a balanced away record (50% wins), and a positive goal difference (+1) on the road. The visitors score an average of 2 goals per away match and have higher offensive efficiency (xG 1.8 vs 1.48). Al Arabi's recent form (3 consecutive away victories) in confrontation with the hosts' losing streak speaks decisively for a victory for the visitors.
Umm Salal vs Al Arabi: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Umm Salal played Al Arabi in Stars League (Qatar). The match was played on 29 January 2026. Final score: 2:4.
Current form
Umm Salal: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Al Arabi: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Umm Salal scores 1.69 and concedes 2.92 goals per match. Al Arabi scores 1.85 and concedes 2.08. League average: 3.26 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Umm Salal 69%, Al Arabi 69%. Over 2.5: Umm Salal 92%, Al Arabi 77%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 60%.
xG, shots and style
Al Arabi has higher xG: 1.66 vs 1.37. Umm Salal: 11.8 shots per match, Al Arabi: 13.8.
Match halves
Umm Salal: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.92. Al Arabi: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.85.
Goals by minute
Umm Salal: 31-45+ (7 goals). Al Arabi: 31-45+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Stars League: 3.26 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 60%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Al Arabi presents significantly better form and statistics than Umm Salal. The hosts occupy 12th place in the table with a disastrous home record – 67% losses and a negative goal difference (-9). Their defense concedes an average of 3.17 goals per home match, which is an alarming signal. Al Arabi, on the other hand, sits in 5th position, has a balanced away record (50% wins), and a positive goal difference (+1) on the road. The visitors score an average of 2 goals per away match and have higher offensive efficiency (xG 1.8 vs 1.48). Al Arabi's recent form (3 consecutive away victories) in confrontation with the hosts' losing streak speaks decisively for a victory for the visitors.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Umm Salal | Al Arabi | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Al Arabi is 233% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Umm Salal · 2 pts / match - Al Arabi
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Al Arabi is 9% better for: goals scored per match.
1.69 goals / match - Umm Salal · 1.85 goals / match - Al Arabi
Al Arabi is 40% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.92 goals / match - Umm Salal · 2.08 goals / match - Al Arabi
Umm Salal scores in 85% of matches (11 of 13 matches), while Al Arabi keeps a clean sheet in 23% (3 of 13 matches).
Al Arabi scores in 92% of matches (12 of 13 matches), while Umm Salal keeps a clean sheet in 15% (2 of 13 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Umm Salal
Over / Under - Al Arabi
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Umm Salal is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.54 pts / match - Umm Salal · 1.46 pts / match - Al Arabi
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Umm Salal - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 23%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 1.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Al Arabi - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 46%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 3.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 80% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Umm Salal
Al Arabi
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Stars League).
Teams vs league
| Umm Salal | Liga | Al Arabi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.62 | 3.26 | ▲ 3.92 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 69% | 54% | ▲ 69% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 92% | 60% | ▲ 77% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 15% | 26% | ▼ 23% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 77% | 69% | ▲ 92% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 86% | • 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Umm Salal 0 - 0 - 1 Al Arabi. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Umm Salal vs Al Arabi?
The Stars League match finished Umm Salal 2:4 Al Arabi. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Umm Salal vs Al Arabi?
Umm Salal score 1.69 goals per game on average and Al Arabi 1.85. The Stars League average is 3.26 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 69% of Umm Salal's matches and 69% of Al Arabi's.
What form are Umm Salal and Al Arabi in?
Over the last 5 games Umm Salal have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Al Arabi 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Umm Salal vs Al Arabi?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.