Ümraniyespor vs Keçiörengücü: match statistics
Ümraniyespor vs Keçiörengücü: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ümraniyespor play Keçiörengücü in 1. Lig (Türkiye). The match date is 2 May 2026 at 15:00. Final score: 1:4.
Current form
Ümraniyespor: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Keçiörengücü: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ümraniyespor scores 1.24 and concedes 1.34 goals per match. Keçiörengücü scores 1.87 and concedes 1.13. League average: 2.92 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ümraniyespor 45%, Keçiörengücü 62%. Over 2.5: Ümraniyespor 45%, Keçiörengücü 59%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Keçiörengücü has higher xG: 1.50 vs 1.20. Ümraniyespor: 10.0 shots per match, Keçiörengücü: 13.3.
Match halves
Ümraniyespor: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.66. Keçiörengücü: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 0.77.
Goals by minute
Ümraniyespor: 31-45+ (9 goals). Keçiörengücü: 31-45+ (18 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
1. Lig: 2.92 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I predict an away win (2). Keçiörengücü sit 7th with 69 goals scored this season versus Ümraniyespor’s 46, who are 15th. In the last 5 matches the visitors have scored 6 and conceded only 2, averaging 2.0 points per game (record 3-1-1), while the hosts have scored 8 and conceded 6, averaging 1.4 points (record 2-1-2). Home metrics favor Ümraniyespor: they average 1.72 goals scored and 1.11 conceded per home game, register 5.11 shots on target per match and have a higher conversion rate of 16% versus the visitors’ 14% on the road. Nevertheless, Keçiörengücü have a +23 goal differential this season (69 vs 46) and have shown a more stable defense recently (2 goals conceded in 5 matches versus the hosts’ 6), and their away xG of 1.29 versus the hosts’ 1.34 does not fully capture the visitors’ efficiency. Considering league position and the 5-match points average (2.0 vs 1.4), I give the visitors the higher probability.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ümraniyespor | Keçiörengücü | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Keçiörengücü is 51% better for: goals scored per match.
1.24 goals / match - Ümraniyespor · 1.87 goals / match - Keçiörengücü
Keçiörengücü is 19% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.34 goals / match - Ümraniyespor · 1.13 goals / match - Keçiörengücü
Ümraniyespor scores in 66% of matches (25 of 38 matches), while Keçiörengücü keeps a clean sheet in 28% (11 of 39 matches).
Keçiörengücü scores in 79% of matches (31 of 39 matches), while Ümraniyespor keeps a clean sheet in 26% (10 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Ümraniyespor
Over / Under — Keçiörengücü
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Keçiörengücü is 40% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.16 pts / match - Ümraniyespor · 1.62 pts / match - Keçiörengücü
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ümraniyespor - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Keçiörengücü - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (18 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ümraniyespor
Keçiörengücü
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1. Lig).
Teams vs league
| Ümraniyespor | Liga | Keçiörengücü | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.58 | 2.92 | • 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 45% | 50% | ▲ 62% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 45% | 54% | ▲ 59% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 26% | 29% | • 28% |
| Goal before half-time | • 71% | 71% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 76% | 80% | ▼ 69% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Ümraniyespor 0 - 0 - 1 Keçiörengücü. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ümraniyespor vs Keçiörengücü?
The 1. Lig match finished Ümraniyespor 1:4 Keçiörengücü. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ümraniyespor vs Keçiörengücü?
Ümraniyespor score 1.24 goals per game on average and Keçiörengücü 1.87. The 1. Lig average is 2.92 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Ümraniyespor's matches and 62% of Keçiörengücü's.
What form are Ümraniyespor and Keçiörengücü in?
Over the last 5 games Ümraniyespor have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Keçiörengücü 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ümraniyespor vs Keçiörengücü?
The statistical background for Ümraniyespor vs Keçiörengücü — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.