Türkiye - 1. LigÜmraniye Hekimbaşı Şehir StadyumuData current as of 22 October 2026

Ümraniyespor vs Sivasspor: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Ümraniyespor vs Sivasspor: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Ümraniyespor play Sivasspor in 1. Lig (Türkiye). The match date is 24 October 2026. Venue: Ümraniye Hekimbaşı Şehir Stadyumu.

Current form

Ümraniyespor: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Sivasspor: 1-4-0, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Ümraniyespor scores 0.90 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Sivasspor scores 1.36 and concedes 1.27. League average: 2.67 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Ümraniyespor 50%, Sivasspor 82%. Over 2.5: Ümraniyespor 30%, Sivasspor 45%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 47%.

xG, shots and style

Sivasspor has higher xG: 1.35 vs 1.33. Ümraniyespor: 11.3 shots per match, Sivasspor: 12.4.

Match halves

Ümraniyespor: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.50. Sivasspor: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.73.

Goals by minute

Ümraniyespor: 0-15 (3 goals). Sivasspor: 61-75 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

1. Lig: 2.67 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 47%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(-)
(-)
(-)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

ÜmraniyesporSivasspor
0.9Goals scored / match1.36
ÜmraniyesporSivasspor
1Goals conceded / match1.27
ÜmraniyesporSivasspor
47%Average possession45%
ÜmraniyesporSivasspor
4.3Shots on target / match4
ÜmraniyesporSivasspor

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.3Shots per match12.36
ÜmraniyesporSivasspor
4.3Shots on target4
ÜmraniyesporSivasspor
8%Shot conversion11%
ÜmraniyesporSivasspor
47%Possession45%
ÜmraniyesporSivasspor
1.33xG for1.35
ÜmraniyesporSivasspor
1.5xG against1.63
ÜmraniyesporSivasspor

Shooting quality

Ümraniyespor: BalancedSivasspor: Balanced
ÜmraniyesporSivasspor
Accuracy (shots on target)38%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.210.34

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Ümraniyespor
LLWDW
Season result split
20% W40% D40% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-4-4
1.00 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-3-2
Last 5 at home
0-3-2
DDLLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.16Opponent xG: 1.45BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%
Sivasspor
DDWDD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
18% W64% D18% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-7-2
1.18 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-4-0
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-2-2
Last 5 away
1-2-2
LLWDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.26Opponent xG: 1.78BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 20%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Sivasspor is 51% better for: goals scored per match.

0.9 goals / match - Ümraniyespor · 1.36 goals / match - Sivasspor

Ümraniyespor is 27% better for: goals conceded per match.

1 goals / match - Ümraniyespor · 1.27 goals / match - Sivasspor

Ümraniyespor scoring profile: very strong

Ümraniyespor scores in 70% of matches (7 of 10 matches), while Sivasspor keeps a clean sheet in 9% (1 of 11 matches).

Sivasspor scoring profile: very strong

Sivasspor scores in 82% of matches (9 of 11 matches), while Ümraniyespor keeps a clean sheet in 30% (3 of 10 matches).

9Goals scored (season)15
ÜmraniyesporSivasspor
10Goals conceded (season)14
ÜmraniyesporSivasspor
1.9Average goals in match2.64
ÜmraniyesporSivasspor
5Goals scored (last 5)8
ÜmraniyesporSivasspor
4Goals conceded (last 5)5
ÜmraniyesporSivasspor

How often they score at least...

70%1 goal82%
ÜmraniyesporSivasspor
20%2 goals36%
ÜmraniyesporSivasspor
0%3 goals9%
ÜmraniyesporSivasspor
0%4 goals9%
ÜmraniyesporSivasspor

How often they concede at least...

70%1 goal91%
ÜmraniyesporSivasspor
30%2 goals36%
ÜmraniyesporSivasspor
0%3 goals0%
ÜmraniyesporSivasspor
0%4 goals0%
ÜmraniyesporSivasspor

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

54%
League average

Goal patterns

10%BTTS at half-time36%
ÜmraniyesporSivasspor
0%BTTS in both halves0%
ÜmraniyesporSivasspor
0%Scored in both halves18%
ÜmraniyesporSivasspor

BTTS and goal count

30%Min. 3 goals and BTTS45%
ÜmraniyesporSivasspor
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
ÜmraniyesporSivasspor
40%BTTS - last 5100%
ÜmraniyesporSivasspor

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

50%Min. 1 goal before half-time73%
ÜmraniyesporSivasspor
10%Min. 2 goals before half-time55%
ÜmraniyesporSivasspor
10%Min. 3 goals before half-time9%
ÜmraniyesporSivasspor

2nd half

70%Min. 1 goal after half-time64%
ÜmraniyesporSivasspor
40%Min. 2 goals after half-time45%
ÜmraniyesporSivasspor
10%Min. 3 goals after half-time9%
ÜmraniyesporSivasspor

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Ümraniyespor - half-time state
30% leading50% draw20% trailing
Sivasspor - half-time state
27% leading55% draw18% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.4Points per match (1st half)1.36
ÜmraniyesporSivasspor
0.4Goals scored (1st half)0.64
ÜmraniyesporSivasspor
0.3Goals conceded (1st half)0.73
ÜmraniyesporSivasspor
0.7Average goals (1st half)1.36
ÜmraniyesporSivasspor
70%Clean sheet before half-time45%
ÜmraniyesporSivasspor
70%No goal before half-time45%
ÜmraniyesporSivasspor

After half-time (2nd half)

1Points per match (2nd half)1.36
ÜmraniyesporSivasspor
0.5Goals scored (2nd half)0.73
ÜmraniyesporSivasspor
0.7Goals conceded (2nd half)0.55
ÜmraniyesporSivasspor
1.2Average goals (2nd half)1.27
ÜmraniyesporSivasspor
50%Clean sheet after half-time55%
ÜmraniyesporSivasspor
60%No goal after half-time55%
ÜmraniyesporSivasspor

Ümraniyespor - second-half results

20% W40% D40% L
14
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.40
PPG before half-time
Lead holding67%

Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 20%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Sivasspor - second-half results

27% W55% D18% L
15
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
15
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.36
PPG before half-time
Lead holding67%

Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 18%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Ümraniyespor - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.40
Goals scored / match0.40.6
Goals conceded / match0.20.6
Average goals in match0.61.2
1 goal60%80%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference+10
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2
Sivasspor - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.40
Goals scored / match0.61.0
Goals conceded / match0.40.6
Average goals in match1.01.6
1 goal60%60%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+1+2
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 80% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Ümraniyespor
ScoredConceded
3
0
0-15
1
2
16-30
0
1
31-45
1
1
46-60
2
4
61-75
2
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Sivasspor
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
4
0
16-30
2
6
31-45
1
1
46-60
7
1
61-75
0
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.27
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
85%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
66%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-56%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
57%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Ümraniyespor

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.17
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.07
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.43
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.50
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
64%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
79%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.40
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 33% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

Sivasspor

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.28
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.37
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.01
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.36
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
108%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
90%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.22
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1. Lig).

Teams vs league

ÜmraniyesporLigaSivasspor
Average goals in match▼ 1.902.67• 2.64
Both teams scored▼ 50%54%▲ 82%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 30%47%▼ 45%
Clean sheets▲ 30%26%▼ 9%
Goal before half-time▼ 50%72%• 73%
Goal after half-time▼ 70%78%▼ 64%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.67
Average goals per match
54%
Both teams scored
47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.41
Home goals / match
1.26
Away goals / match
+12%
Home attack advantage
+11%
Home defence advantage
+0%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Ümraniyespor 1 - 0 - 1 Sivasspor. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

Sivasspor
1 : 0
Ümraniyespor
Ümraniyespor
1 : 0
Sivasspor

FAQ

When do Ümraniyespor and Sivasspor play?

Ümraniyespor face Sivasspor on 24 October 2026 in 1. Lig at Ümraniye Hekimbaşı Şehir Stadyumu. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Ümraniyespor and Sivasspor?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Ümraniyespor won 1, Sivasspor won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Ümraniyespor vs Sivasspor?

Ümraniyespor score 0.90 goals per game on average and Sivasspor 1.36. The 1. Lig average is 2.67 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Ümraniyespor's matches and 82% of Sivasspor's.

What form are Ümraniyespor and Sivasspor in?

Over the last 5 games Ümraniyespor have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Sivasspor 1-4-0 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ümraniyespor vs Sivasspor?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.