Ümraniyespor vs Van BB: match statistics
Ümraniyespor vs Van BB: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ümraniyespor played Van BB in 1. Lig (Türkiye). The match was played on 19 April 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Ümraniyespor: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Van BB: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ümraniyespor scores 1.20 and concedes 1.26 goals per match. Van BB scores 1.37 and concedes 1.14. League average: 2.91 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ümraniyespor 40%, Van BB 46%. Over 2.5: Ümraniyespor 40%, Van BB 49%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Van BB has higher xG: 1.33 vs 1.17. Ümraniyespor: 9.6 shots per match, Van BB: 11.5.
Match halves
Ümraniyespor: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.63. Van BB: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.91.
Goals by minute
Ümraniyespor: 31-45+ (8 goals). Van BB: 61-75 (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
1. Lig: 2.91 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Ümraniyespor holds the edge in this matchup primarily due to home form: they average 1.76 goals per home game and register 5.18 shots on target per match at home, whereas Van BB average 1.41 goals on the road and only 3.53 shots on target. Defensively the hosts also look stronger — they concede 1.06 goals per home match and keep a clean sheet in 41% of home games, while the visitors concede 1.47 goals away and keep a clean sheet in only 18% of away matches. Quality of chances is confirmed by xG: Ümraniyespor average 1.33 xG per home match versus Van BB’s 1.12 xG away, with xG against 1.36 (hosts) vs 1.55 (guests), indicating lower goal-creating value from Van BB and greater risk in their defense. The last five matches show both teams have similar short-term results — hosts 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses (1.0 point per match), Van BB 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses (0.8 points per match) — and additionally Van BB failed to score in 41% of away matches versus 24% of hosts failing to score at home. Considering higher shot conversion 16% vs 14%, a better home goal difference (+12) and a higher 47% win rate at their stadium versus 24% away wins for the visitors, I favor an Ümraniyespor victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
xG analysis shows Ümraniyespor with average xG 1.53 and Van BB 1.12; accounting for xG against (Van 1.55, Ümraniyespor 1.04) yields expected goals of ~1.54 for the home side and ~1.08 for the visitors. A simple Poisson model on these xG values implies roughly a 52% probability that both teams will score at least once. Seasonal stats are mixed: Ümraniyespor has a season BTTS of 33% (last 5 matches 20%) and a clean sheet rate of 39% at home, while Van BB has a season BTTS of 59% (last 5: 40%) and only 18% clean sheets away. Additionally, the hosts average 12.89 shots and 4.83 on target with a 10% conversion, whereas Van BB average 9.94 shots and 3.53 on target with a 14% conversion, and the visitors’ recent xG of 1.71 indicates a real goal threat. Overall, xG signals and Van BB’s form outweigh the home side’s lower seasonal BTTS, so I forecast BTTS - Yes with approximately 56% probability versus 44% for No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I expect a total of 2.62 goals in the match (Ümraniyespor 1.54, Van BB 1.08), calculated as home xG 1.53 and xG against for home 1.55, and away xG 1.12 and xG against for away 1.04. Season metrics show Over 1.5 occurred in 56% of home matches and 76% of away matches, and the league averages 2.91 goals per game, so I assess the probability of Over 1.5 at 86%. For the 2.5 line, the home team has a season Over 2.5 rate of 44% and the away team 53%, but the computed xG summing to 2.62 together with the league’s 54% Over 2.5 gives an edge to Over 2.5 (62%). Over 3.5 looks unlikely: season Over 3.5 is only 22% and 29%, and the last 5 matches show the home side scored 4 goals (avg. 0.8) and the away side 7 goals (avg. 1.4), which limits the chance of 4+ goals to about 24%.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I select X/1 (draw at half-time, home win) because the home side draw at the break in 56% of their matches, which provides a strong HT signal. After the break Ümraniyespor performs better – they win 50% of second halves and average 1.72 points after the break versus 24% and 1.18 points for Van BB, increasing the likelihood of a home turnaround. The hosts generate higher xG (1.53 vs 1.12), take more shots (12.89 vs 9.94) and more shots on target (4.83 vs 3.53); although the visitors have higher finishing efficiency (14% vs 10%) and average 1.41 goals per game compared to the hosts’ 1.33, the advantage in chance creation favors Ümraniyespor. Defensively the hosts concede on average 0.44 goals after the break versus 0.71 for the visitors and have 44% win rate this season versus Van BB’s 24%, therefore I anticipate a turnaround after half-time and a home win. The risk lies in Van BB’s quick strikes (4 away goals in minutes 0–15), which explains the expected HT draw followed by a home victory.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ümraniyespor | Van BB | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ümraniyespor is 25% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Ümraniyespor · 0.8 pts / match - Van BB
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Van BB is 14% better for: goals scored per match.
1.2 goals / match - Ümraniyespor · 1.37 goals / match - Van BB
Van BB is 11% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.26 goals / match - Ümraniyespor · 1.14 goals / match - Van BB
Ümraniyespor scores in 63% of matches (22 of 35 matches), while Van BB keeps a clean sheet in 29% (10 of 35 matches).
Van BB scores in 60% of matches (21 of 35 matches), while Ümraniyespor keeps a clean sheet in 29% (10 of 35 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ümraniyespor
Over / Under - Van BB
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ümraniyespor is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.2 pts / match - Ümraniyespor · 1.09 pts / match - Van BB
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ümraniyespor - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Van BB - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ümraniyespor
Van BB
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1. Lig).
Teams vs league
| Ümraniyespor | Liga | Van BB | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.46 | 2.91 | ▼ 2.51 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 40% | 50% | ▼ 46% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 40% | 54% | ▼ 49% |
| Clean sheets | • 29% | 29% | • 29% |
| Goal before half-time | • 71% | 72% | ▼ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 77% | 79% | • 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Ümraniyespor 1 - 0 - 0 Van BB. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ümraniyespor vs Van BB?
The 1. Lig match finished Ümraniyespor 1:2 Van BB. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ümraniyespor vs Van BB?
Ümraniyespor score 1.20 goals per game on average and Van BB 1.37. The 1. Lig average is 2.91 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Ümraniyespor's matches and 46% of Van BB's.
What form are Ümraniyespor and Van BB in?
Over the last 5 games Ümraniyespor have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Van BB 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ümraniyespor vs Van BB?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Ümraniyespor vs Van BB: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.