Unia Swarzędz vs Tłuchowia Tłuchowo: match statistics
The match promises to be a balanced clash between two teams from the bottom of the table. Unia Swarzędz is in very poor home form with just a 9% win rate and as many as 73% of home matches without scoring a goal, making them one of the weakest home sides in the league. Despite a difficult away season (55% defeats), Tłuchowia Tłuchowo shows better offensive efficiency away from home (1.09 goals on average) and 36% clean sheets, suggesting greater defensive stability. The key factor is the visitors' better form in the last five matches (1.4 PKT/M vs 0.8 PKT/M of the hosts) and a significantly higher shot conversion rate (11% vs 5%). Considering Unia's offensive weakness at home and Tłuchowia's slight form advantage, a draw or an unexpected away win seems most likely, although the hosts could make use of a slight home advantage.
Unia Swarzędz vs Tłuchowia Tłuchowo: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Unia Swarzędz played Tłuchowia Tłuchowo in 3 Liga Group 2 (Poland). The match was played on 21 March 2026. Final score: 5:1.
Current form
Unia Swarzędz: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Tłuchowia Tłuchowo: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Unia Swarzędz scores 0.95 and concedes 1.36 goals per match. Tłuchowia Tłuchowo scores 0.81 and concedes 1.81. League average: 2.90 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Unia Swarzędz 36%, Tłuchowia Tłuchowo 38%. Over 2.5: Unia Swarzędz 41%, Tłuchowia Tłuchowo 52%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Unia Swarzędz has higher xG: 1.62 vs 1.32. Unia Swarzędz: 10.6 shots per match, Tłuchowia Tłuchowo: 6.9.
Match halves
Unia Swarzędz: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.55. Tłuchowia Tłuchowo: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.29.
Goals by minute
Unia Swarzędz: 46-60 (6 goals). Tłuchowia Tłuchowo: 31-45+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
3 Liga Group 2: 2.90 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match promises to be a balanced clash between two teams from the bottom of the table. Unia Swarzędz is in very poor home form with just a 9% win rate and as many as 73% of home matches without scoring a goal, making them one of the weakest home sides in the league. Despite a difficult away season (55% defeats), Tłuchowia Tłuchowo shows better offensive efficiency away from home (1.09 goals on average) and 36% clean sheets, suggesting greater defensive stability. The key factor is the visitors' better form in the last five matches (1.4 PKT/M vs 0.8 PKT/M of the hosts) and a significantly higher shot conversion rate (11% vs 5%). Considering Unia's offensive weakness at home and Tłuchowia's slight form advantage, a draw or an unexpected away win seems most likely, although the hosts could make use of a slight home advantage.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Unia Swarzędz | Tłuchowia Tłuchowo | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.19 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Tłuchowia Tłuchowo is 75% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Unia Swarzędz · 1.4 pts / match - Tłuchowia Tłuchowo
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Unia Swarzędz is 17% better for: goals scored per match.
0.95 goals / match - Unia Swarzędz · 0.81 goals / match - Tłuchowia Tłuchowo
Unia Swarzędz is 33% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.36 goals / match - Unia Swarzędz · 1.81 goals / match - Tłuchowia Tłuchowo
Unia Swarzędz scores in 45% of matches (10 of 22 matches), while Tłuchowia Tłuchowo keeps a clean sheet in 33% (7 of 21 matches).
Tłuchowia Tłuchowo scores in 57% of matches (12 of 21 matches), while Unia Swarzędz keeps a clean sheet in 23% (5 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Unia Swarzędz
Over / Under - Tłuchowia Tłuchowo
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Tłuchowia Tłuchowo is 18% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.05 pts / match - Unia Swarzędz · 1.24 pts / match - Tłuchowia Tłuchowo
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Unia Swarzędz - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 23%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Tłuchowia Tłuchowo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 24%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Unia Swarzędz
Tłuchowia Tłuchowo
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3 Liga Group 2).
Teams vs league
| Unia Swarzędz | Liga | Tłuchowia Tłuchowo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.32 | 2.90 | ▼ 2.62 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 36% | 50% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 41% | 55% | ▼ 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 23% | 28% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 68% | 71% | • 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 59% | 73% | ▼ 62% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Unia Swarzędz 1 - 0 - 0 Tłuchowia Tłuchowo. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Unia Swarzędz vs Tłuchowia Tłuchowo?
The 3 Liga Group 2 match finished Unia Swarzędz 5:1 Tłuchowia Tłuchowo. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Unia Swarzędz vs Tłuchowia Tłuchowo?
Unia Swarzędz score 0.95 goals per game on average and Tłuchowia Tłuchowo 0.81. The 3 Liga Group 2 average is 2.90 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 36% of Unia Swarzędz's matches and 38% of Tłuchowia Tłuchowo's.
What form are Unia Swarzędz and Tłuchowia Tłuchowo in?
Over the last 5 games Unia Swarzędz have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Tłuchowia Tłuchowo 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Unia Swarzędz vs Tłuchowia Tłuchowo?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.