União Santarém vs Amarante: match statistics
Statistical analysis suggests a very evenly matched fixture. União Santarém shows solid home form with an even 33% split across wins, draws, and losses, averaging 0.92 goals per game. Amarante has a better overall season record (11 wins); however, they win 45% of their away matches while keeping a clean sheet in 45% of those games, which proves their defensive stability. Both teams have an identical goal difference (0) in their respective matches and very similar goal averages (1.83 vs 1.82 per game). Recent form favors the visitors (2.0 PPG vs 1.2 PPG), but União Santarém can be highly competitive on their own turf. Considering the evenly matched xG stats, similar efficiency, and the defensive solidity of both sides, a draw appears to be the most likely outcome of this duel.
União Santarém vs Amarante: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
União Santarém played Amarante in Liga 3 (Portugal). The match was played on 14 March 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
União Santarém: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Amarante: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
União Santarém scores 0.91 and concedes 0.96 goals per match. Amarante scores 1.09 and concedes 0.91. League average: 2.19 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: União Santarém 43%, Amarante 36%. Over 2.5: União Santarém 30%, Amarante 36%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 37%.
xG, shots and style
União Santarém has higher xG: 1.05 vs 1.04. União Santarém: 6.8 shots per match, Amarante: 8.0.
Match halves
União Santarém: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.52. Amarante: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.73.
Goals by minute
União Santarém: 46-60 (6 goals). Amarante: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga 3: 2.19 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 37%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis suggests a very evenly matched fixture. União Santarém shows solid home form with an even 33% split across wins, draws, and losses, averaging 0.92 goals per game. Amarante has a better overall season record (11 wins); however, they win 45% of their away matches while keeping a clean sheet in 45% of those games, which proves their defensive stability. Both teams have an identical goal difference (0) in their respective matches and very similar goal averages (1.83 vs 1.82 per game). Recent form favors the visitors (2.0 PPG vs 1.2 PPG), but União Santarém can be highly competitive on their own turf. Considering the evenly matched xG stats, similar efficiency, and the defensive solidity of both sides, a draw appears to be the most likely outcome of this duel.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| União Santarém | Amarante | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 48% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Amarante is 67% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - União Santarém · 2 pts / match - Amarante
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Amarante is 20% better for: goals scored per match.
0.91 goals / match - União Santarém · 1.09 goals / match - Amarante
Amarante is 5% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.96 goals / match - União Santarém · 0.91 goals / match - Amarante
União Santarém scores in 61% of matches (14 of 23 matches), while Amarante keeps a clean sheet in 45% (10 of 22 matches).
Amarante scores in 68% of matches (15 of 22 matches), while União Santarém keeps a clean sheet in 30% (7 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - União Santarém
Over / Under - Amarante
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
União Santarém is 18% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.39 pts / match - União Santarém · 1.18 pts / match - Amarante
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
União Santarém - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Amarante - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
União Santarém
Amarante
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 3).
Teams vs league
| União Santarém | Liga | Amarante | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.87 | 2.19 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 46% | ▼ 36% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 30% | 37% | • 36% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 30% | 32% | ▲ 45% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 52% | 65% | ▼ 59% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 78% | 72% | • 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
FAQ
What was the result of União Santarém vs Amarante?
The Liga 3 match finished União Santarém 1:2 Amarante. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before União Santarém vs Amarante?
União Santarém score 0.91 goals per game on average and Amarante 1.09. The Liga 3 average is 2.19 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 37% of games. Both teams score in 43% of União Santarém's matches and 36% of Amarante's.
What form are União Santarém and Amarante in?
Over the last 5 games União Santarém have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Amarante 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for União Santarém vs Amarante?
The statistical background for União Santarém vs Amarante — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.