União Santarém vs Atlético CP: match statistics
Statistical analysis suggests very even chances for both teams. União Santarém presents solid home form with 43% draws and an impressive unbeaten streak in the last 5 matches (2 wins, 3 draws). Despite a better overall record (6 wins), Atlético CP struggles on the road – with 43% losses and a negative goal difference (-1). A key factor is the hosts' defense, which has conceded only 2 goals in the last 5 matches while keeping clean sheets in 43% of home games. Even possession (47% vs 48%) and similar xG values (1.01 vs 1.09) suggest tactical balance. Given the hosts' tendency to draw (43% in home matches) and the visitors' uncertain away form, the most probable scenario is a sharing of points.
União Santarém vs Atlético CP: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
União Santarém played Atlético CP in Liga 3 (Portugal). The match was played on 11 January 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
União Santarém: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Atlético CP: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
União Santarém scores 0.80 and concedes 0.80 goals per match. Atlético CP scores 0.93 and concedes 0.93. League average: 2.19 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: União Santarém 33%, Atlético CP 27%. Over 2.5: União Santarém 20%, Atlético CP 27%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 37%.
xG, shots and style
Atlético CP has higher xG: 1.25 vs 0.97. União Santarém: 5.8 shots per match, Atlético CP: 9.6.
Match halves
União Santarém: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.60. Atlético CP: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.47.
Goals by minute
União Santarém: 46-60 (5 goals). Atlético CP: 16-30 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga 3: 2.19 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 37%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis suggests very even chances for both teams. União Santarém presents solid home form with 43% draws and an impressive unbeaten streak in the last 5 matches (2 wins, 3 draws). Despite a better overall record (6 wins), Atlético CP struggles on the road – with 43% losses and a negative goal difference (-1). A key factor is the hosts' defense, which has conceded only 2 goals in the last 5 matches while keeping clean sheets in 43% of home games. Even possession (47% vs 48%) and similar xG values (1.01 vs 1.09) suggest tactical balance. Given the hosts' tendency to draw (43% in home matches) and the visitors' uncertain away form, the most probable scenario is a sharing of points.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| União Santarém | Atlético CP | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 59% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlético CP is 16% better for: goals scored per match.
0.8 goals / match - União Santarém · 0.93 goals / match - Atlético CP
União Santarém is 16% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.8 goals / match - União Santarém · 0.93 goals / match - Atlético CP
União Santarém scores in 60% of matches (9 of 15 matches), while Atlético CP keeps a clean sheet in 47% (7 of 15 matches).
Atlético CP scores in 67% of matches (10 of 15 matches), while União Santarém keeps a clean sheet in 40% (6 of 15 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - União Santarém
Over / Under - Atlético CP
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Atlético CP is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.2 pts / match - União Santarém · 1.4 pts / match - Atlético CP
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
União Santarém - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Atlético CP - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
União Santarém
Atlético CP
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 3).
Teams vs league
| União Santarém | Liga | Atlético CP | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.60 | 2.19 | ▼ 1.87 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 46% | ▼ 27% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 20% | 37% | ▼ 27% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 40% | 33% | ▲ 47% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 40% | 63% | ▼ 53% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 80% | 74% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: União Santarém 1 - 0 - 0 Atlético CP. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of União Santarém vs Atlético CP?
The Liga 3 match finished União Santarém 1:1 Atlético CP. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before União Santarém vs Atlético CP?
União Santarém score 0.80 goals per game on average and Atlético CP 0.93. The Liga 3 average is 2.19 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 37% of games. Both teams score in 33% of União Santarém's matches and 27% of Atlético CP's.
What form are União Santarém and Atlético CP in?
Over the last 5 games União Santarém have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Atlético CP 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for União Santarém vs Atlético CP?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.