União Santarém vs Vitória Guimarães II: match statistics
Statistical analysis points to a closely contested match between both teams. União Santarém displays solid home form with 44% draws and only 22% losses, and their last 5 matches have yielded 2.2 points per game. Vitória Guimarães II boasts a better away record (40% wins), yet in their last five outings, they have managed only 1.4 points per match, indicating a dip in form. Both teams have nearly identical average possession (48%), similar shooting accuracy, and comparable xG values. União Santarém holds the advantage of playing at home and better recent form, while the visitors stand out with higher offensive efficiency. Considering the hosts' tendency to draw at home and the balanced quality of both sides, the most probable outcome is a share of the points.
União Santarém vs Vitória Guimarães II: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
União Santarém played Vitória Guimarães II in Liga 3 (Portugal). The match was played on 21 February 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
União Santarém: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Vitória Guimarães II: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
União Santarém scores 0.89 and concedes 0.79 goals per match. Vitória Guimarães II scores 1.10 and concedes 0.95. League average: 2.16 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: União Santarém 42%, Vitória Guimarães II 45%. Over 2.5: União Santarém 26%, Vitória Guimarães II 35%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 37%.
xG, shots and style
Vitória Guimarães II has higher xG: 1.38 vs 1.02. União Santarém: 6.4 shots per match, Vitória Guimarães II: 10.2.
Match halves
União Santarém: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.53. Vitória Guimarães II: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.65.
Goals by minute
União Santarém: 46-60 (6 goals). Vitória Guimarães II: 61-75 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga 3: 2.16 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 37%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis points to a closely contested match between both teams. União Santarém displays solid home form with 44% draws and only 22% losses, and their last 5 matches have yielded 2.2 points per game. Vitória Guimarães II boasts a better away record (40% wins), yet in their last five outings, they have managed only 1.4 points per match, indicating a dip in form. Both teams have nearly identical average possession (48%), similar shooting accuracy, and comparable xG values. União Santarém holds the advantage of playing at home and better recent form, while the visitors stand out with higher offensive efficiency. Considering the hosts' tendency to draw at home and the balanced quality of both sides, the most probable outcome is a share of the points.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| União Santarém | Vitória Guimarães II | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 52% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
União Santarém is 57% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - União Santarém · 1.4 pts / match - Vitória Guimarães II
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Vitória Guimarães II is 24% better for: goals scored per match.
0.89 goals / match - União Santarém · 1.1 goals / match - Vitória Guimarães II
União Santarém is 20% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.79 goals / match - União Santarém · 0.95 goals / match - Vitória Guimarães II
União Santarém scores in 63% of matches (12 of 19 matches), while Vitória Guimarães II keeps a clean sheet in 45% (9 of 20 matches).
Vitória Guimarães II scores in 75% of matches (15 of 20 matches), while União Santarém keeps a clean sheet in 37% (7 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - União Santarém
Over / Under - Vitória Guimarães II
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
União Santarém - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Vitória Guimarães II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
União Santarém
Vitória Guimarães II
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 3).
Teams vs league
| União Santarém | Liga | Vitória Guimarães II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.68 | 2.16 | ▼ 2.05 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 42% | 46% | • 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 26% | 37% | ▼ 35% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 37% | 33% | ▲ 45% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 47% | 63% | ▼ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | • 74% | 73% | ▲ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of União Santarém vs Vitória Guimarães II?
The Liga 3 match finished União Santarém 0:1 Vitória Guimarães II. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before União Santarém vs Vitória Guimarães II?
União Santarém score 0.89 goals per game on average and Vitória Guimarães II 1.10. The Liga 3 average is 2.16 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 37% of games. Both teams score in 42% of União Santarém's matches and 45% of Vitória Guimarães II's.
What form are União Santarém and Vitória Guimarães II in?
Over the last 5 games União Santarém have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Vitória Guimarães II 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for União Santarém vs Vitória Guimarães II?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.