Union Berlin vs Mainz 05: match statistics
Union Berlin presents decidedly better home form with 38% wins and a positive goal difference (+2) at their own stadium. Mainz 05 sits last in the away table with just 14% won matches and an alarming goal difference of -7 on the road. The hosts have secured two victories in their last five matches, while the visitors won only once. A key indicator is the fact that Mainz has not kept a single clean sheet away all season, conceding an average of 2.14 goals per match. Union Berlin boasts better xG statistics (1.34 vs 1.08) and a shooting efficiency of 13%, which, combined with home advantage, should tip the scales of victory in their favor.
Union Berlin vs Mainz 05: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Union Berlin played Mainz 05 in Bundesliga (Germany). The match was played on 10 January 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Union Berlin: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Mainz 05: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Union Berlin scores 1.33 and concedes 1.53 goals per match. Mainz 05 scores 0.87 and concedes 1.73. League average: 3.18 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Union Berlin 53%, Mainz 05 47%. Over 2.5: Union Berlin 60%, Mainz 05 40%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 61%.
xG, shots and style
Union Berlin has higher xG: 1.32 vs 1.25. Union Berlin: 12.2 shots per match, Mainz 05: 10.8.
Match halves
Union Berlin: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.73. Mainz 05: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.47.
Goals by minute
Union Berlin: 31-45+ (4 goals). Mainz 05: 31-45+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Bundesliga: 3.18 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 61%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Union Berlin presents decidedly better home form with 38% wins and a positive goal difference (+2) at their own stadium. Mainz 05 sits last in the away table with just 14% won matches and an alarming goal difference of -7 on the road. The hosts have secured two victories in their last five matches, while the visitors won only once. A key indicator is the fact that Mainz has not kept a single clean sheet away all season, conceding an average of 2.14 goals per match. Union Berlin boasts better xG statistics (1.34 vs 1.08) and a shooting efficiency of 13%, which, combined with home advantage, should tip the scales of victory in their favor.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Union Berlin | Mainz 05 | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 23% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Union Berlin is 200% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Union Berlin · 0.6 pts / match - Mainz 05
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Union Berlin is 53% better for: goals scored per match.
1.33 goals / match - Union Berlin · 0.87 goals / match - Mainz 05
Union Berlin is 13% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.53 goals / match - Union Berlin · 1.73 goals / match - Mainz 05
Union Berlin scores in 67% of matches (10 of 15 matches), while Mainz 05 keeps a clean sheet in 7% (1 of 15 matches).
Mainz 05 scores in 47% of matches (7 of 15 matches), while Union Berlin keeps a clean sheet in 27% (4 of 15 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Union Berlin
Over / Under - Mainz 05
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Union Berlin is 75% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.4 pts / match - Union Berlin · 0.8 pts / match - Mainz 05
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Union Berlin - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Mainz 05 - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 7%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Union Berlin
Mainz 05
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Union Berlin | Liga | Mainz 05 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.87 | 3.18 | ▼ 2.60 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 53% | 55% | ▼ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 60% | 61% | ▼ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 27% | 25% | ▼ 7% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 77% | ▼ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | • 80% | 81% | • 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of Union Berlin vs Mainz 05?
The Bundesliga match finished Union Berlin 2:2 Mainz 05. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Union Berlin vs Mainz 05?
Union Berlin score 1.33 goals per game on average and Mainz 05 0.87. The Bundesliga average is 3.18 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Union Berlin's matches and 47% of Mainz 05's.
What form are Union Berlin and Mainz 05 in?
Over the last 5 games Union Berlin have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Mainz 05 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Union Berlin vs Mainz 05?
The statistical background for Union Berlin vs Mainz 05 — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.