Union Brescia vs Lecco: match statistics
Union Brescia presents significantly stronger home form with 50% wins and an impressive average of 1.64 goals per match at home. The hosts have won 3 of their last 5 matches, scoring 9 goals, which confirms their current offensive disposition. Despite a decent away record (46% wins), Lecco has earned only 1.2 points per match and scored just 4 goals in their last 5 games. Crucial is Union Brescia's advantage in xG (2.07 vs 1.14), indicating clear dominance in creating scoring chances. Additionally, Lecco has a tendency to draw away (38%), which may influence the final result, but the qualitative advantage of the hosts speaks for their victory. The difference in goal difference (+10 vs +6) and better efficiency in home matches give Union Brescia a real chance for full points.
Union Brescia vs Lecco: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Union Brescia played Lecco in Serie C Group A (Italy). The match was played on 28 February 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Union Brescia: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Lecco: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Union Brescia scores 1.43 and concedes 0.68 goals per match. Lecco scores 1.21 and concedes 0.71. League average: 2.27 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Union Brescia 46%, Lecco 36%. Over 2.5: Union Brescia 36%, Lecco 25%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 41%.
xG, shots and style
Union Brescia has higher xG: 1.79 vs 1.27. Union Brescia: 13.1 shots per match, Lecco: 9.8.
Match halves
Union Brescia: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.89. Lecco: half-time lead 46%, second-half goals 0.39.
Goals by minute
Union Brescia: 76-90+ (15 goals). Lecco: 16-30 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group A: 2.27 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 41%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Union Brescia presents significantly stronger home form with 50% wins and an impressive average of 1.64 goals per match at home. The hosts have won 3 of their last 5 matches, scoring 9 goals, which confirms their current offensive disposition. Despite a decent away record (46% wins), Lecco has earned only 1.2 points per match and scored just 4 goals in their last 5 games. Crucial is Union Brescia's advantage in xG (2.07 vs 1.14), indicating clear dominance in creating scoring chances. Additionally, Lecco has a tendency to draw away (38%), which may influence the final result, but the qualitative advantage of the hosts speaks for their victory. The difference in goal difference (+10 vs +6) and better efficiency in home matches give Union Brescia a real chance for full points.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Union Brescia | Lecco | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Union Brescia is 67% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Union Brescia · 1.2 pts / match - Lecco
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Union Brescia is 18% better for: goals scored per match.
1.43 goals / match - Union Brescia · 1.21 goals / match - Lecco
Union Brescia scores in 79% of matches (22 of 28 matches), while Lecco keeps a clean sheet in 43% (12 of 28 matches).
Lecco scores in 71% of matches (20 of 28 matches), while Union Brescia keeps a clean sheet in 46% (13 of 28 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Union Brescia
Over / Under - Lecco
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lecco is 54% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.21 pts / match - Union Brescia · 1.86 pts / match - Lecco
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Union Brescia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 54%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Lecco - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 46% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +11 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (10 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Union Brescia
Lecco
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group A).
Teams vs league
| Union Brescia | Liga | Lecco | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.11 | 2.27 | ▼ 1.93 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 46% | 49% | ▼ 36% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 36% | 41% | ▼ 25% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 46% | 30% | ▲ 43% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 54% | 66% | ▼ 61% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 75% | 71% | ▼ 57% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Union Brescia 1 - 0 - 0 Lecco. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Union Brescia vs Lecco?
The Serie C Group A match finished Union Brescia 3:1 Lecco. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Union Brescia vs Lecco?
Union Brescia score 1.43 goals per game on average and Lecco 1.21. The Serie C Group A average is 2.27 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 41% of games. Both teams score in 46% of Union Brescia's matches and 36% of Lecco's.
What form are Union Brescia and Lecco in?
Over the last 5 games Union Brescia have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Lecco 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Union Brescia vs Lecco?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.