Union Brescia vs Pro Patria: match statistics
Union Brescia demonstrates significantly higher form and quality compared to Pro Patria. The hosts have won 46% of their home matches, scoring an average of 1.54 goals while conceding just 0.85, resulting in a positive goal difference of +9. Pro Patria, on the other hand, performs very poorly away from home – they win only 8% of away matches, concede an average of 1.69 goals, and have a -13 goal difference. xG statistics show the hosts' advantage (2.07 vs 1.04), while Union Brescia's high shot conversion rate (11% vs 9%) and ball possession dominance (52% vs 47%) further confirm their superiority. The form from the last five matches also favors the hosts (1.4 PPG vs 0.8 PPG), and Pro Patria fails to score in 46% of their away matches. All key indicators point to a certain victory for Union Brescia.
Union Brescia vs Pro Patria: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Union Brescia played Pro Patria in Serie C Group A (Italy). The match was played on 22 February 2026. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Union Brescia: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Pro Patria: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Union Brescia scores 1.37 and concedes 0.63 goals per match. Pro Patria scores 0.70 and concedes 1.81. League average: 2.28 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Union Brescia 44%, Pro Patria 41%. Over 2.5: Union Brescia 33%, Pro Patria 56%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 41%.
xG, shots and style
Union Brescia has higher xG: 1.78 vs 1.16. Union Brescia: 13.1 shots per match, Pro Patria: 9.1.
Match halves
Union Brescia: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.89. Pro Patria: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.52.
Goals by minute
Union Brescia: 76-90+ (15 goals). Pro Patria: 46-60 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group A: 2.28 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 41%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Union Brescia demonstrates significantly higher form and quality compared to Pro Patria. The hosts have won 46% of their home matches, scoring an average of 1.54 goals while conceding just 0.85, resulting in a positive goal difference of +9. Pro Patria, on the other hand, performs very poorly away from home – they win only 8% of away matches, concede an average of 1.69 goals, and have a -13 goal difference. xG statistics show the hosts' advantage (2.07 vs 1.04), while Union Brescia's high shot conversion rate (11% vs 9%) and ball possession dominance (52% vs 47%) further confirm their superiority. The form from the last five matches also favors the hosts (1.4 PPG vs 0.8 PPG), and Pro Patria fails to score in 46% of their away matches. All key indicators point to a certain victory for Union Brescia.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Union Brescia | Pro Patria | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 28% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Union Brescia is 75% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Union Brescia · 0.8 pts / match - Pro Patria
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Union Brescia is 96% better for: goals scored per match.
1.37 goals / match - Union Brescia · 0.7 goals / match - Pro Patria
Union Brescia is 187% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.63 goals / match - Union Brescia · 1.81 goals / match - Pro Patria
Union Brescia scores in 78% of matches (21 of 27 matches), while Pro Patria keeps a clean sheet in 19% (5 of 27 matches).
Pro Patria scores in 48% of matches (13 of 27 matches), while Union Brescia keeps a clean sheet in 48% (13 of 27 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Union Brescia
Over / Under - Pro Patria
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Union Brescia is 65% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.22 pts / match - Union Brescia · 0.74 pts / match - Pro Patria
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Union Brescia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 52%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Pro Patria - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 11%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +11 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -10 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Union Brescia
Pro Patria
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group A).
Teams vs league
| Union Brescia | Liga | Pro Patria | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.00 | 2.28 | ▲ 2.52 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 49% | ▼ 41% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 41% | ▲ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 48% | 30% | ▼ 19% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 52% | 66% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 74% | 71% | ▲ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Union Brescia 1 - 0 - 0 Pro Patria. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Union Brescia vs Pro Patria?
The Serie C Group A match finished Union Brescia 3:2 Pro Patria. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Union Brescia vs Pro Patria?
Union Brescia score 1.37 goals per game on average and Pro Patria 0.70. The Serie C Group A average is 2.28 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 41% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Union Brescia's matches and 41% of Pro Patria's.
What form are Union Brescia and Pro Patria in?
Over the last 5 games Union Brescia have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Pro Patria 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Union Brescia vs Pro Patria?
The statistical background for Union Brescia vs Pro Patria — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.