Union Brescia vs Pro Vercelli: match statistics
Union Brescia vs Pro Vercelli: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Union Brescia played Pro Vercelli in Serie C Group A (Italy). The match was played on 9 October 2026. Venue: Stadio Mario Rigamonti. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Union Brescia: 1-4-0, 1.40 points/match. Pro Vercelli: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Union Brescia scores 1.75 and concedes 0.75 goals per match. Pro Vercelli scores 1.00 and concedes 1.38. League average: 2.28 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Union Brescia 50%, Pro Vercelli 50%. Over 2.5: Union Brescia 50%, Pro Vercelli 38%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Union Brescia has higher xG: 1.87 vs 1.62. Union Brescia: 14.0 shots per match, Pro Vercelli: 13.5.
Match halves
Union Brescia: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 1.00. Pro Vercelli: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.63.
Goals by minute
Union Brescia: 0-15 (4 goals). Pro Vercelli: 61-75 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group A: 2.28 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Union Brescia have not lost any of their 8 matches this season and have won half of their home games; Pro Vercelli, by contrast, have lost 75% of their away matches and are yet to win on the road. The hosts score an average of 1.75 goals at home, compared with Pro Vercelli’s 0.5 goals per away game, while their average xG stands at 2.12 against their opponents’ 1.4, pointing to an advantage in chance creation. The defensive numbers also favour Brescia: they concede an average of 1 goal at home, whereas Pro Vercelli allow opponents to score an average of 2 goals away and create chances worth 2.16 xG. In their last 5 matches, the hosts have recorded 4 draws and a win, so despite the clear statistical advantage, a draw remains a realistic outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest signal against both teams scoring comes from the matchup: Pro Vercelli average just 0.5 goals away from home, while Union Brescia concede 0.75 goals at home and keep a clean sheet in 50% of their matches. The visitors have failed to score in 50% of their away games, making their finishing the main obstacle to a BTTS - Yes scenario. The hosts are clearly more likely to score: they average 1.5 goals at home, while Pro Vercelli concede 2.0 away. However, caution is warranted, as both teams have scored in 60% of their matches over the last five games, and the visitors’ latest average xG is 1.74. Despite this improvement in the visitors’ attack, their poor away scoring record makes it slightly more likely that at least one team will fail to score (BTTS - No).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Union Brescia average 1.5 goals at home, while Pro Vercelli concede 2.0 away, giving the hosts a clear opportunity to score. This is supported by the hosts’ average xG of 1.79 and the visitors’ xG conceded of 2.16. Over their last 5 matches, Union averaged 1.8 goals scored, while Pro Vercelli conceded 1.8; meanwhile, games involving both teams went Over 2.5 goals 60% of the time. However, the visitors score just 0.5 goals per game away from home, making higher goal lines less reliable. The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals: this line was cleared in 75% of Union’s home matches and 75% of Pro Vercelli’s away fixtures.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Union Brescia led at the break in 3 of their 4 matches so far, while Pro Vercelli have not led in any of their 4 and went into half-time trailing in 2. The home side average 0.75 goals before the break and have conceded none in that period, whereas the visitors have yet to score before half-time and concede an average of 0.75 goals. The full-match figures also support Union holding on to their advantage: they score an average of 1.5 goals and concede 0.75, while Pro Vercelli score 0.5 and concede 2.0. The visitors also concede an average of 1.25 goals after the break, strengthening the scenario of the hosts leading at the break and winning at full-time. However, caution is warranted, as Union have drawn 4 of their last 5 matches, making a half-time draw a significant alternative.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Union Brescia | Pro Vercelli | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.18 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Union Brescia is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Union Brescia · 1 pts / match - Pro Vercelli
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Union Brescia is 75% better for: goals scored per match.
1.75 goals / match - Union Brescia · 1 goals / match - Pro Vercelli
Union Brescia is 84% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.75 goals / match - Union Brescia · 1.38 goals / match - Pro Vercelli
Union Brescia scores in 88% of matches (7 of 8 matches), while Pro Vercelli keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 matches).
Pro Vercelli scores in 75% of matches (6 of 8 matches), while Union Brescia keeps a clean sheet in 50% (4 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Union Brescia
Over / Under - Pro Vercelli
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Union Brescia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Pro Vercelli - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 25%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Union Brescia
Pro Vercelli
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group A).
Teams vs league
| Union Brescia | Liga | Pro Vercelli | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.50 | 2.28 | ▲ 2.38 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 52% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 48% | ▼ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 33% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 63% | 58% | ▲ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 75% | 70% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Union Brescia 1 - 1 - 0 Pro Vercelli. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Union Brescia vs Pro Vercelli?
The Serie C Group A match finished Union Brescia 2:0 Pro Vercelli. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Union Brescia and Pro Vercelli?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Union Brescia won 1, Pro Vercelli won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Union Brescia vs Pro Vercelli?
Union Brescia score 1.75 goals per game on average and Pro Vercelli 1.00. The Serie C Group A average is 2.28 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Union Brescia's matches and 50% of Pro Vercelli's.
What form are Union Brescia and Pro Vercelli in?
Over the last 5 games Union Brescia have a 1-4-0 record (1.40 points per game) and Pro Vercelli 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Union Brescia vs Pro Vercelli?
The statistical background for Union Brescia vs Pro Vercelli — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.