Unión La Calera vs Deportes Limache: match statistics

Deportes Limache sit 5th, while Unión La Calera are only 15th, and the difference is also reflected in their current form: the visitors have won 3 of their last 5 matches, whereas the hosts have failed to win any and have collected just 1 point. Limache have scored 43 goals this season compared with La Calera’s 22, while in their last five matches they have netted 9 goals against just 3 for the hosts. Unión La Calera create slightly higher-quality chances at home, with an average xG of 1.37 compared with Limache’s 1.25 away from home, but their poor finishing in recent weeks has clearly reduced their potential. The visitors have defensive issues on the road, conceding an average of 1.91 goals and keeping no clean sheets, so the hosts should create chances. Despite identical home-and-away win rates of 27%, Limache’s superior form and greater scoring consistency support an away win.

Deportes Limache have recorded BTTS in 82% of their matches, well above the league average of 53%, while also failing to keep a single clean sheet this season. Unión La Calera score an average of 2.09 goals per match, while the visitors concede an average of 1.91, giving the home side very strong grounds to find the net. Limache, in turn, average 1.82 goals, and their last five matches have produced 1.8 goals scored per game; during this period, La Calera’s defence allowed 1.4 goals on average. The visitors’ attack is also supported by an xG of 1.71 across their last five matches, compared with 1.47 xG conceded recently by the hosts. The risk for BTTS - Yes is La Calera’s weaker attacking efficiency in their current form, with only 3 goals in five matches, but Limache’s zero clean sheets tilt the prediction towards a Goal/Goal scenario.

The season profile clearly favors goals: Unión La Calera’s matches exceeded 1.5 goals in 100% of cases, while the figure for Deportes Limache was 82%. The hosts score an average of 2.09 goals, whereas Limache concede as many as 1.91, creating favorable conditions for La Calera to rediscover their scoring form despite averaging only 0.6 goals scored in their last five matches. The visitors score an average of 1.82 goals, and their xG over the last five matches stands at a solid 1.71; meanwhile, the hosts allow opponents 1.61 xG per match. Over 2.5 goals landed in 82% of La Calera’s matches and 73% of Limache’s, but the hosts’ weaker recent attacking output reduces confidence in the higher goal lines. The strongest signal is therefore Over 1.5 goals, as both teams regularly feature in matches with at least two goals, while the projected total of 2.87 goals gives this option a clear edge.

Recent form clearly favors Deportes Limache: they have won 3 of their last 5 matches and averaged 1.8 goals per game, while Unión La Calera have failed to win any of their matches, scored just 0.6 goals per game, and lost 4 times. Before the break, the hosts averaged only 0.2 goals across their last five outings and were trailing at half-time in 60% of matches, while the visitors scored 1.0 goal in this phase and held the lead in 40% of games. Limache also have a positive half-time goal difference of +2 over their last five matches, compared with La Calera’s -4. The hosts’ seasonal home record remains strong, as they have won 64% of their matches at home; however, their current attacking crisis and the visitors’ good form increase the likelihood of La Calera leading at the break and maintaining their advantage until full-time. The 2/2 scenario is marginally stronger than a draw at half-time followed by an away win, although La Calera’s second-half superiority calls for moderate confidence.