Unión La Calera vs Palestino: match statistics
Unión La Calera vs Palestino: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Unión La Calera played Palestino in Primera División (Chile). The match was played on 24 May 2026. Venue: Estadio Municipal Nicolás Chahuán Nazar. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Unión La Calera: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Palestino: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Unión La Calera scores 1.25 and concedes 1.58 goals per match. Palestino scores 1.58 and concedes 1.58. League average: 2.71 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Unión La Calera 42%, Palestino 58%. Over 2.5: Unión La Calera 67%, Palestino 50%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Palestino has higher xG: 1.48 vs 1.18. Unión La Calera: 11.0 shots per match, Palestino: 14.9.
Match halves
Unión La Calera: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.75. Palestino: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 0.83.
Goals by minute
Unión La Calera: 76-90+ (6 goals). Palestino: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.71 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Unión La Calera holds a clear home advantage: at home they average 1.83 goals per match with an average xG of 1.35 and register 4.33 shots on target from 12.67 attempts, whereas Palestino away scores only 0.8 goals per match with xG 1.24 and 3.6 shots on target. The efficiency gap is significant — La Calera converts 14% of shots into goals versus Palestino’s 7%, and also enjoys higher possession (54% vs 48%), yielding more high-quality chances. Defensively the hosts concede 1.17 goals at home on average, while Palestino concedes 2.4 goals away (opponents’ xG 1.63) and has a negative away goal difference (-8), which further undermines the visitors. In the last 5 matches both teams scored 5 goals, but La Calera conceded 10 in that span versus Palestino’s 5, indicating some defensive instability for the hosts; nevertheless the hosts have a better points return in the last 5 matches (1.2 points vs 0.8). Considering the higher conversion rate (14% vs 7%), positive home goal difference (+4 vs -8) and 50% home win rate, I forecast a Unión La Calera victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams show high seasonal BTTS rates: Unión La Calera 57% and Palestino 60%, both above the league average of 45%. The home side scores 2.14 goals per game with xG 1.66 and concedes 1.0, while Palestino scores 0.8 per game with xG 1.24 and concedes 2.4, which increases the likelihood of goals from both sides. In the last 5 matches La Calera scored 5 and conceded 10 (avg. 2.0 conceded per game), and Palestino scored 5 and conceded 5 (1.0 conceded), with recent xG for the visitors at 1.63 vs 1.22 for the hosts, indicating Palestino have recent creation potential. Additionally, the hosts average 17.43 shots and 5.86 shots on target with a 12% conversion, versus 11.4 and 3.6 and a 7% conversion for the visitors, and low clean sheet rates of 29% and 20% favor Goal/Goal. Based on this I recommend BTTS - Yes with a probability of 70% vs 30% for No Goal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The model based on average xG and team profiles yields expected goals of 1.65 for Unión La Calera (xG_for 1.66 vs xG_against Palestino 1.63) and 1.12 for Palestino (xG_for 1.24 vs xG_against La Calera 1.00), totaling 2.77. The home side scores an average of 2.14 goals per home match, registers 17.43 shots and 5.86 on target with a 12% conversion rate, while Palestino averages 11.4 shots, 3.6 on target and a 7% conversion, and the visitors concede on average 2.4 goals — this strengthens La Calera’s edge. Both teams record BTTS rates of 57% (La Calera) and 60% (Palestino), and season Over 1.5 rates are 57% and 60% respectively, indicating frequent breaches of the 1.5 threshold. Under a Poisson distribution with lambda=2.77 the probability of Over 1.5 is approximately 76%, Over 2.5 approximately 52% and Over 3.5 approximately 30%, therefore the strongest signal is a bet on Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Unión La Calera appears to be the favorite: they average 2.14 goals per match versus Palestino's 0.80, have an xG of 1.66 versus 1.24, and win 57% of games compared to the visitors' 20%. At half-time the home side averages 0.86 goals and concedes 0.29, and they lead at the break in 43% of matches (with draws also 43%), while Palestino averages 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded goals by half-time. In the second half Unión La Calera scores an average 1.29 goals, while Palestino only 0.20, and the home team has 5 goals in the 76–90 minute interval versus 0 for the visitors, which increases the chance of maintaining or extending a lead. On this basis I assign the highest probability to the 1/1 scenario (33%), with the second-strongest signal being X/1 (26%); combinations in which Palestino leads at the break or wins the match are assessed at a combined 14%.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Unión La Calera | Palestino | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Palestino is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Unión La Calera · 1.8 pts / match - Palestino
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Palestino is 26% better for: goals scored per match.
1.25 goals / match - Unión La Calera · 1.58 goals / match - Palestino
Unión La Calera scores in 67% of matches (8 of 12 matches), while Palestino keeps a clean sheet in 25% (3 of 12 matches).
Palestino scores in 75% of matches (9 of 12 matches), while Unión La Calera keeps a clean sheet in 25% (3 of 12 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Unión La Calera
Over / Under - Palestino
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Palestino is 19% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.33 pts / match - Unión La Calera · 1.58 pts / match - Palestino
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Unión La Calera - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Palestino - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Unión La Calera
Palestino
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Unión La Calera | Liga | Palestino | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.83 | 2.71 | ▲ 3.17 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 42% | 46% | ▲ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 51% | • 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 25% | 29% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 71% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 77% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Unión La Calera 0 - 0 - 2 Palestino. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Unión La Calera vs Palestino?
The Primera División match finished Unión La Calera 1:2 Palestino. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Unión La Calera and Palestino?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Unión La Calera won 0, Palestino won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Unión La Calera vs Palestino?
Unión La Calera score 1.25 goals per game on average and Palestino 1.58. The Primera División average is 2.71 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Unión La Calera's matches and 58% of Palestino's.
What form are Unión La Calera and Palestino in?
Over the last 5 games Unión La Calera have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Palestino 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Unión La Calera vs Palestino?
The statistical background for Unión La Calera vs Palestino — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.