Union Omaha vs Fort Wayne: match statistics
Union Omaha vs Fort Wayne: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Union Omaha played Fort Wayne in USL League One (United States). The match was played on 10 October 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Union Omaha: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match. Fort Wayne: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Union Omaha scores 1.83 and concedes 1.07 goals per match. Fort Wayne scores 1.55 and concedes 1.28. League average: 2.97 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Union Omaha 66%, Fort Wayne 55%. Over 2.5: Union Omaha 59%, Fort Wayne 55%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 60%.
xG, shots and style
Union Omaha has higher xG: 1.83 vs 1.60. Union Omaha: 15.2 shots per match, Fort Wayne: 13.5.
Match halves
Union Omaha: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 1.07. Fort Wayne: half-time lead 48%, second-half goals 0.72.
Goals by minute
Union Omaha: 76-90+ (19 goals). Fort Wayne: 31-45+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL League One: 2.97 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 60%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Union Omaha, the league leaders, have won all 5 of their last matches, scoring 12 goals and conceding 4; eighth-placed Fort Wayne managed just 1 win over the same period, scoring 8 goals and conceding 7. At home, Union Omaha win 73% of their matches and have yet to lose, while Fort Wayne have won 36% of their away fixtures. Omaha average 2.2 goals at home with an xG of 2.06, while Fort Wayne concede 1.43 goals away from home, with opponents recording an xG of 1.53, indicating the hosts have the edge in the quality of chances created. Omaha's defensive record also works in their favour: they concede an average of 0.93 goals at home, compared with Fort Wayne's 1.43 conceded away. A draw remains possible, as the visitors have drawn 3 of their last 5 matches, but the combination of current form and home-away statistics clearly points to a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
In the last 5 matches, both teams scored in 80% of the games, a stronger signal in favor of BTTS - Yes than their season figures: 43% for Union Omaha and 64% for Fort Wayne. The hosts have recently averaged 2.4 goals per match, while the visitors have conceded 1.4, making a Union Omaha goal likely. Fort Wayne averaged 1.6 goals across its last 5 appearances, with an xG of 1.64, giving it a genuine chance to respond. The biggest counterargument is the hosts’ clean sheet in 50% of their season matches, so the case for both teams to score remains moderate.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Over 1.5 goals landed in 79% of Union Omaha matches and 93% of Fort Wayne games, giving this line stronger support than the 2.5-goal threshold, which was surpassed in 57% and 50% of matches, respectively. The hosts score an average of 1.57 goals and create chances worth 1.82 xG, while the visitors concede an average of 1.43 goals. Union Omaha have scored 12 goals in their last five matches, while Fort Wayne have conceded 7, making the hosts’ attack the likeliest main source of goals. The visitors could also get on the scoresheet, as they average 1.43 goals, although Union Omaha’s 50% clean-sheet rate makes that scenario less certain. Therefore, with a projected total of 2.90 goals, Over 1.5 is the safest pick rather than the more demanding 2.5-goal line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Union Omaha have led at the break in 4 of their last 5 matches and won all 5, making a home lead at half-time a strong scenario. Over this period, they averaged 1.2 goals scored before the break and conceded 0.2, while Fort Wayne scored 0.8 and conceded 0.6. The full-season record also supports them maintaining their advantage: the hosts concede an average of 0.62 goals in second halves, compared with 0.93 for the visitors. Union Omaha also create more chances, averaging 1.82 xG against their opponents’ 1.40, and register more shots on target — 5.79 compared with 4.14. Although Fort Wayne have led at the break in 50% of their matches, the hosts’ recent form and attacking advantage suggest that the most likely outcome is a Union Omaha win both at half-time and at full-time in the HT/FT market.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Union Omaha | Fort Wayne | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Union Omaha is 150% better for: last-5 form.
3 pts / match - Union Omaha · 1.2 pts / match - Fort Wayne
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Union Omaha is 18% better for: goals scored per match.
1.83 goals / match - Union Omaha · 1.55 goals / match - Fort Wayne
Union Omaha is 20% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.07 goals / match - Union Omaha · 1.28 goals / match - Fort Wayne
Union Omaha scores in 83% of matches (24 of 29 matches), while Fort Wayne keeps a clean sheet in 31% (9 of 29 matches).
Fort Wayne scores in 79% of matches (23 of 29 matches), while Union Omaha keeps a clean sheet in 17% (5 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Union Omaha
Over / Under - Fort Wayne
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Fort Wayne is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.41 pts / match - Union Omaha · 1.72 pts / match - Fort Wayne
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Union Omaha - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 66%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Fort Wayne - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 48% of matches and wins 38%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 0% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (19 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +14 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Union Omaha
Fort Wayne
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL League One).
Teams vs league
| Union Omaha | Liga | Fort Wayne | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.90 | 2.97 | ▼ 2.83 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 66% | 60% | ▼ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 59% | 60% | ▼ 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 23% | ▲ 31% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 72% | 74% | ▲ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 90% | 81% | ▼ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Union Omaha 1 - 0 - 0 Fort Wayne. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Union Omaha vs Fort Wayne?
The USL League One match finished Union Omaha 0:1 Fort Wayne. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Union Omaha vs Fort Wayne?
Union Omaha score 1.83 goals per game on average and Fort Wayne 1.55. The USL League One average is 2.97 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 66% of Union Omaha's matches and 55% of Fort Wayne's.
What form are Union Omaha and Fort Wayne in?
Over the last 5 games Union Omaha have a 5-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Fort Wayne 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Union Omaha vs Fort Wayne?
The statistical background for Union Omaha vs Fort Wayne — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.