Union Omaha vs Naples: match statistics
Union Omaha vs Naples: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Union Omaha played Naples in USL League One (United States). The match was played on 31 May 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Union Omaha: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Naples: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Union Omaha scores 1.82 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Naples scores 1.00 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.80 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Union Omaha 64%, Naples 27%. Over 2.5: Union Omaha 64%, Naples 27%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 58%.
xG, shots and style
Union Omaha has higher xG: 1.78 vs 1.37. Union Omaha: 14.9 shots per match, Naples: 11.1.
Match halves
Union Omaha: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 1.27. Naples: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.55.
Goals by minute
Union Omaha: 76-90+ (9 goals). Naples: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL League One: 2.80 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 58%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-1. Average goals 2.33, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Union Omaha possesses a clear home advantage: at home they average 2.00 goals scored and concede 0.83, with an average xG of 2.03 versus opponents’ xG of 0.97. The hosts average 17.33 shots per match and 6 on target, converting 12% of chances, while Naples on the road register just 10.5 shots and 2.75 on target with a 7% conversion. Union Omaha have not had a goalless home game (0% of home matches without a goal), whereas Naples failed to score in 25% of away matches and average only 0.75 goals away. Form also favors the hosts: in the last 5 matches Union Omaha average 2.0 points (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss), while Naples average 0.8 points (1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses). Considering the xG differential (2.03 vs 1.21), the difference in chances (17.33 vs 10.5) and the home goal differential (+7 vs -2), I forecast a Union Omaha victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Season stats are mixed: Union Omaha has a season BTTS rate of 14%, while Naples sits at 50%, and the league BTTS is 56%. The case against BTTS is strong — Union Omaha records clean sheets in 57% of matches and concedes an average of 0.86 goals per game, while Naples scores only 0.75 goals per game (11 goals this season), suggesting opponents often fail to score. In favor of BTTS is the short-term form: in the last 5 matches Union Omaha had BTTS in 80% of games and conceded on average 1.8 goals, and Naples is generating xG of 1.5 per game recently despite scoring only 3 goals in those five matches (0.6 per game). Considering the heavier weight of Union’s seasonal defensive data (57% clean sheets and 0.86 conceded) and Naples’ poor season scoring efficiency (0.75 goals/game), I lean to a No bet with 60% probability versus 40% for Yes (BTTS - Yes).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG and defensive metrics, I expect a total goal tally of around 2.55. Union Omaha has an attacking xG of 1.45 versus Naples’ xG conceded of 1.33, implying roughly 1.45 goals for the home side; Naples’ attacking xG is 1.21 versus Union Omaha’s xG conceded of 1.09 — about 1.10 goals for the visitors. Seasonal indicators show a propensity for matches with at least 2 goals: seasonOver15 = 57% for Union Omaha and 75% for Naples (average 66%), and in the last 5 matches Union Omaha has 80% of games over 2.5. The hosts average 4.14 shots on target with a 10% conversion rate versus the visitors’ 2.75 and 7%, which increases the likelihood of chances being converted. In summary, the strongest signal is Over 1.5 (78%), Over 2.5 is assessed as moderate (52%), and Over 3.5 is unlikely (18%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Union Omaha holds a clear statistical advantage: they average 1.14 goals per match versus Naples’ 0.75, with average xG of 1.45 against 1.21; the hosts register 4.14 shots on target compared to the visitors’ 2.75. At half-time Union Omaha averages 0.57 goals scored and 0.43 conceded, leading at the break in 43% of matches (3 instances), while Naples scores only 0.25 in the first half and is behind at half-time in 75% of cases (3 times). Therefore the strongest signal is the hosts holding the lead at 45 minutes. Over full matches the hosts win 57% of games and keep a clean sheet in 57% of matches; the percentage of games with both teams scoring is only 14% for Union Omaha versus 50% for Naples, suggesting that when the hosts lead at half-time they frequently see out the victory. Additionally, in the last 5 matches Union Omaha has a 60% win rate versus 20% for Naples, so the most reliable HT/FT scenario is 1/1 (hosts lead at half-time and win the match).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Union Omaha | Naples | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Union Omaha is 225% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Union Omaha · 0.8 pts / match - Naples
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Union Omaha is 82% better for: goals scored per match.
1.82 goals / match - Union Omaha · 1 goals / match - Naples
Union Omaha scores in 91% of matches (10 of 11 matches), while Naples keeps a clean sheet in 45% (5 of 11 matches).
Naples scores in 73% of matches (8 of 11 matches), while Union Omaha keeps a clean sheet in 27% (3 of 11 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Union Omaha
Over / Under - Naples
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Union Omaha - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 73%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Naples - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +8 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Union Omaha
Naples
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL League One).
Teams vs league
| Union Omaha | Liga | Naples | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.82 | 2.80 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 64% | 56% | ▼ 27% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 64% | 58% | ▼ 27% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 27% | 25% | ▲ 45% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 55% | 71% | ▲ 91% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 80% | ▼ 64% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Union Omaha 1 - 1 - 1 Naples. Average goals 2.33, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Union Omaha vs Naples?
The USL League One match finished Union Omaha 2:1 Naples. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Union Omaha and Naples?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Union Omaha won 1, Naples won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Union Omaha vs Naples?
Union Omaha score 1.82 goals per game on average and Naples 1.00. The USL League One average is 2.80 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 58% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Union Omaha's matches and 27% of Naples's.
What form are Union Omaha and Naples in?
Over the last 5 games Union Omaha have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Naples 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Union Omaha vs Naples?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Union Omaha vs Naples: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.