Union Saint-Gilloise vs KAA Gent: match statistics
Union Saint-Gilloise vs KAA Gent: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Union Saint-Gilloise played KAA Gent in Pro League (Belgium). The match was played on 22 April 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Union Saint-Gilloise: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match. KAA Gent: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Union Saint-Gilloise scores 1.64 and concedes 0.55 goals per match. KAA Gent scores 1.55 and concedes 1.42. League average: 2.62 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Union Saint-Gilloise 45%, KAA Gent 61%. Over 2.5: Union Saint-Gilloise 33%, KAA Gent 58%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Union Saint-Gilloise has higher xG: 1.73 vs 1.47. Union Saint-Gilloise: 15.1 shots per match, KAA Gent: 13.0.
Match halves
Union Saint-Gilloise: half-time lead 45%, second-half goals 0.97. KAA Gent: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.88.
Goals by minute
Union Saint-Gilloise: 76-90+ (15 goals). KAA Gent: 76-90+ (16 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Pro League: 2.62 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Union Saint-Gilloise holds a clear home advantage: winning 94% of home matches, with 0% home defeats and an average of 2.06 goals scored per game versus just 0.35 conceded, and 65% clean sheets. In the last 5 home fixtures they won all 5, scoring 9 and conceding 2, yielding 3.0 points per game over that span. KAA Gent have weaker away metrics: 31% away wins, 1.44 goals scored and 1.81 conceded per away game, and 25% of away matches with a clean sheet; over their last 5 matches they scored 7 goals and average 1.6 points per game. Union also generates more high-quality chances — average home xG 1.84 versus Gent’s 1.39 away xG; hosts average 15.88 shots (6.06 on target) against visitors’ 11.56 (5.0 on target) with similar conversion rates (13% vs 12%). Considering the defensive edge (0.35 vs 1.81), superior chance-creation efficiency and a perfect run of 5 wins, I forecast a home victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal BTTS rates are 53% for Union and 69% for Gent, vs a league average of 55%; over the last 5 matches BTTS was 40% (Union) and 60% (Gent). xG and goals-per-game analysis shows adjusted expected goals of ~1.68 for Union (attacking xG 1.55 vs xG conceded to Gent 1.81) and ~1.40 for Gent (attacking xG 1.39 vs xG conceded to Union 1.40), translating to probability of scoring at least one goal ≈81% for Union and ≈75% for Gent. However, Union’s recent defensive form must be considered — in the last 5 games Union conceded on average 0.4 goals (total 2), while Gent conceded on average 1.0 goal (total 5), which reduces Gent’s chances of scoring in this fixture. Combining seasonal and recent trends and a simple calculation (P(Union scores) ≈80% × P(Gent scores) ≈71%) gives an approximate BTTS probability ≈57%, so the strongest signal from the data indicates BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Union Saint-Gilloise averages 1.65 goals per match with xG 1.55, while KAA Gent averages 1.44 goals with xG 1.39 — combined offensive xG is 2.94, indicating potential for 2–3 goals. In the last 5 matches Union has xG 1.8 and concedes on average 0.4 goals, whereas Gent has xG 1.34 and concedes 1.0; additionally Gent conceded 47 goals this season versus 18 conceded by Union, highlighting the visitors’ defensive vulnerability. Season percentages of matches over 1.5 goals are 82% for Union and 88% for Gent, therefore I assess Over 1.5 as the strongest signal (86% probability). Based on the combination of season xG and form in the last 5 matches I project about 1.78 goals for Union and 1.17 for Gent, totaling ~2.95 goals. Over 2.5 is less certain (47% vs 69% seasonally and only 40% in the last 5) and Over 3.5 looks weakest (29% vs 50%), hence the recommendation: Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Union Saint-Gilloise holds a clear statistical advantage: they score on average 1.65 goals at home versus Gent’s 1.44 and have an xG of 1.55 compared to Gent’s 1.39, with average goals conceded 1.06 at home versus 1.81 for away sides. At half-time the hosts lead in 41% of their matches, scoring on average 0.76 and conceding 0.53, while Gent lead only in 25% of fixtures and have 0.56 scored and 0.75 conceded by the break; this increases the likelihood of Union holding a lead after 45 minutes. Union are in strong form — winning all of their last 5 matches (100%) whereas Gent have a 40% win rate in their last 5 — and keep a clean sheet in 35% of season matches, which supports preserving a half-time lead. Gent struggle late: they have conceded 13 goals between the 76th and 90th minutes versus just 2 for Union, which raises the probability that Union will hold or extend their lead after the break. For these reasons the strongest signal is HT/FT 1/1 (lead at the break and win the match for the hosts).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Union Saint-Gilloise | KAA Gent | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Union Saint-Gilloise is 88% better for: last-5 form.
3 pts / match - Union Saint-Gilloise · 1.6 pts / match - KAA Gent
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Union Saint-Gilloise is 6% better for: goals scored per match.
1.64 goals / match - Union Saint-Gilloise · 1.55 goals / match - KAA Gent
Union Saint-Gilloise is 158% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.55 goals / match - Union Saint-Gilloise · 1.42 goals / match - KAA Gent
Union Saint-Gilloise scores in 85% of matches (28 of 33 matches), while KAA Gent keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 33 matches).
KAA Gent scores in 79% of matches (26 of 33 matches), while Union Saint-Gilloise keeps a clean sheet in 48% (16 of 33 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Union Saint-Gilloise
Over / Under - KAA Gent
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Union Saint-Gilloise is 35% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.79 pts / match - Union Saint-Gilloise · 1.33 pts / match - KAA Gent
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Union Saint-Gilloise - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 45% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
KAA Gent - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Union Saint-Gilloise
KAA Gent
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Pro League).
Teams vs league
| Union Saint-Gilloise | Liga | KAA Gent | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.18 | 2.62 | ▲ 2.97 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 45% | 55% | ▲ 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 48% | ▲ 58% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 48% | 26% | ▼ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | • 70% | 70% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | • 76% | 75% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Union Saint-Gilloise 1 - 1 - 0 KAA Gent. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Union Saint-Gilloise vs KAA Gent?
The Pro League match finished Union Saint-Gilloise 0:0 KAA Gent. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Union Saint-Gilloise and KAA Gent?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Union Saint-Gilloise won 1, KAA Gent won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Union Saint-Gilloise vs KAA Gent?
Union Saint-Gilloise score 1.64 goals per game on average and KAA Gent 1.55. The Pro League average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Union Saint-Gilloise's matches and 61% of KAA Gent's.
What form are Union Saint-Gilloise and KAA Gent in?
Over the last 5 games Union Saint-Gilloise have a 5-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and KAA Gent 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Union Saint-Gilloise vs KAA Gent?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.