Union Saint-Gilloise vs KV Mechelen: match statistics
Union Saint-Gilloise presents impressive home form with 89% of matches won at home and a +20 goal difference, making them the clear favorite for this encounter. The hosts are the league leaders, scoring an average of 2.44 goals per home match while conceding just 0.22, and their 78% home clean sheet record confirms defensive solidity. KV Mechelen, despite decent away form (50% wins), trails the hosts in all key metrics—lower xG (1.29 vs 1.96), worse efficiency, and less possession control. The last five matches for both teams show similar scoring rates (1.6 vs 1.4 PPG); however, Union's dominance at their own stadium and statistical advantage in every aspect of the game argue for a decisive home victory. The difference in class between the leader and the fifth-placed team should be visible, especially considering Union's phenomenal home run.
Union Saint-Gilloise vs KV Mechelen: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Union Saint-Gilloise play KV Mechelen in Pro League (Belgium). The match date is 17 January 2026 at 20:45. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Union Saint-Gilloise: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. KV Mechelen: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Union Saint-Gilloise scores 1.65 and concedes 0.68 goals per match. KV Mechelen scores 1.20 and concedes 1.53. League average: 2.67 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Union Saint-Gilloise 45%, KV Mechelen 63%. Over 2.5: Union Saint-Gilloise 40%, KV Mechelen 48%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Union Saint-Gilloise has higher xG: 1.72 vs 1.20. Union Saint-Gilloise: 15.1 shots per match, KV Mechelen: 9.8.
Match halves
Union Saint-Gilloise: half-time lead 45%, second-half goals 0.93. KV Mechelen: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.60.
Goals by minute
Union Saint-Gilloise: 76-90+ (17 goals). KV Mechelen: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Pro League: 2.67 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 2-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 33%.
Match description
Union Saint-Gilloise presents impressive home form with 89% of matches won at home and a +20 goal difference, making them the clear favorite for this encounter. The hosts are the league leaders, scoring an average of 2.44 goals per home match while conceding just 0.22, and their 78% home clean sheet record confirms defensive solidity. KV Mechelen, despite decent away form (50% wins), trails the hosts in all key metrics—lower xG (1.29 vs 1.96), worse efficiency, and less possession control. The last five matches for both teams show similar scoring rates (1.6 vs 1.4 PPG); however, Union's dominance at their own stadium and statistical advantage in every aspect of the game argue for a decisive home victory. The difference in class between the leader and the fifth-placed team should be visible, especially considering Union's phenomenal home run.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Union Saint-Gilloise | KV Mechelen | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Union Saint-Gilloise is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Union Saint-Gilloise · 1 pts / match - KV Mechelen
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Union Saint-Gilloise is 38% better for: goals scored per match.
1.65 goals / match - Union Saint-Gilloise · 1.2 goals / match - KV Mechelen
Union Saint-Gilloise is 125% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.68 goals / match - Union Saint-Gilloise · 1.53 goals / match - KV Mechelen
Union Saint-Gilloise scores in 80% of matches (32 of 40 matches), while KV Mechelen keeps a clean sheet in 23% (9 of 40 matches).
KV Mechelen scores in 83% of matches (33 of 40 matches), while Union Saint-Gilloise keeps a clean sheet in 48% (19 of 40 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Union Saint-Gilloise
Over / Under — KV Mechelen
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Union Saint-Gilloise is 19% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.78 pts / match - Union Saint-Gilloise · 1.5 pts / match - KV Mechelen
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Union Saint-Gilloise - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 45% of matches and wins 63%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
KV Mechelen - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 33%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (17 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Union Saint-Gilloise
KV Mechelen
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Pro League).
Teams vs league
| Union Saint-Gilloise | Liga | KV Mechelen | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.33 | 2.67 | • 2.73 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 45% | 54% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 40% | 49% | • 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 48% | 27% | ▼ 23% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 68% | 71% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | • 75% | 75% | ▲ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Union Saint-Gilloise 2 - 1 - 0 KV Mechelen. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Union Saint-Gilloise vs KV Mechelen?
The Pro League match finished Union Saint-Gilloise 1:0 KV Mechelen. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Union Saint-Gilloise and KV Mechelen?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Union Saint-Gilloise won 2, KV Mechelen won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Union Saint-Gilloise vs KV Mechelen?
Union Saint-Gilloise score 1.65 goals per game on average and KV Mechelen 1.20. The Pro League average is 2.67 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Union Saint-Gilloise's matches and 63% of KV Mechelen's.
What form are Union Saint-Gilloise and KV Mechelen in?
Over the last 5 games Union Saint-Gilloise have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and KV Mechelen 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Union Saint-Gilloise vs KV Mechelen?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.