Union Saint-Gilloise vs OH Leuven: match statistics
Union Saint-Gilloise vs OH Leuven: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Union Saint-Gilloise played OH Leuven in Pro League (Belgium). The match was played on 11 October 2026. Venue: Stade Joseph Mariën. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Union Saint-Gilloise: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match. OH Leuven: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Union Saint-Gilloise scores 3.00 and concedes 0.43 goals per match. OH Leuven scores 0.71 and concedes 1.86. League average: 2.94 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Union Saint-Gilloise 29%, OH Leuven 43%. Over 2.5: Union Saint-Gilloise 71%, OH Leuven 57%. League level: BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 61%.
xG, shots and style
Union Saint-Gilloise has higher xG: 2.05 vs 1.28. Union Saint-Gilloise: 17.3 shots per match, OH Leuven: 13.3.
Match halves
Union Saint-Gilloise: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 1.86. OH Leuven: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.29.
Goals by minute
Union Saint-Gilloise: 76-90+ (6 goals). OH Leuven: 31-45+ (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Pro League: 2.94 goals per match, BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 61%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Union Saint-Gilloise top the table and have won all of their last 5 matches, scoring 16 goals and conceding just 2; over the same period, OH Leuven have won once and lost 3 times. At home, the hosts average 2.67 goals per match, while the visitors score just 0.33 per game on the road and have lost all 3 of those matches. Union’s superiority in creating chances is reflected in their average home xG of 2.03 compared with OH Leuven’s 1.24 away, as well as 7.33 shots on target per match versus 2.67. The hosts are yet to concede at home, while Leuven average 2.33 goals conceded away, making a win for the league leaders by far the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest indicator against both teams scoring is OH Leuven’s attacking output: away from home, they average just 0.33 goals and have failed to score in 67% of matches. Union Saint-Gilloise have conceded only 2 goals in their last 5 matches, an average of 0.4 per game, and both teams scored in just 20% of those matches. The hosts scored 16 goals over the same period, while Leuven conceded 7, making a Union goal more likely than an away goal. Although Leuven’s away xG of 1.24 suggests some attacking potential, their conversion rate of just 3% and only 4 goals in their last 5 matches weaken the case for them to score. Therefore, I’m backing BTTS - No, primarily because of the risk that Leuven fail to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Union Saint-Gilloise scored an average of 3,2 goals over its last five matches, with an average xG of 2,34 during that period. OH Leuven concede an average of 2,33 goals away from home and have yet to keep a clean sheet on the road, strengthening the case for the hosts to score at least twice. The visitors score just 0,33 goals per away match and failed to score in 67% of those games, so I estimate their contribution more conservatively. The total goals prediction of 2,8 offers the strongest edge on Over 1,5 goals; the higher Over 2,5 line is less certain, particularly as Union went over it in 50% of their home matches.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is marginally more likely than Union Saint-Gilloise taking the lead at the break, as OH Leuven were level at half-time in all 3 of their away matches so far. However, this is not a certainty: the hosts led at the break in 2 of their 4 home games, and across their last 5 matches, home and away, they have averaged 1.4 goals before half-time. The strongest case for a Union victory is their form: they have won their last 5 matches, scoring an average of 3.2 goals, while OH Leuven have lost 3 of their last 5. After the break, the visitors have conceded an average of 2 goals away from home and scored none, increasing the likelihood that the hosts will decide the match in the second half. Therefore, X/1 has a slight edge over 1/1, although both scenarios remain closely matched.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Union Saint-Gilloise | OH Leuven | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 46% | 19% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Union Saint-Gilloise is 275% better for: last-5 form.
3 pts / match - Union Saint-Gilloise · 0.8 pts / match - OH Leuven
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Union Saint-Gilloise is 323% better for: goals scored per match.
3 goals / match - Union Saint-Gilloise · 0.71 goals / match - OH Leuven
Union Saint-Gilloise is 333% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.43 goals / match - Union Saint-Gilloise · 1.86 goals / match - OH Leuven
Union Saint-Gilloise scores in 86% of matches (6 of 7 matches), while OH Leuven keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 matches).
OH Leuven scores in 57% of matches (4 of 7 matches), while Union Saint-Gilloise keeps a clean sheet in 71% (5 of 7 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Union Saint-Gilloise
Over / Under - OH Leuven
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Union Saint-Gilloise is 44% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.86 pts / match - Union Saint-Gilloise · 1.29 pts / match - OH Leuven
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Union Saint-Gilloise - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 86%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
OH Leuven - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 14%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 20% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +9 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Union Saint-Gilloise
OH Leuven
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Pro League).
Teams vs league
| Union Saint-Gilloise | Liga | OH Leuven | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.43 | 2.94 | ▼ 2.57 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 29% | 41% | ▲ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 71% | 61% | ▼ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 71% | 32% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 71% | 78% | ▼ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | • 86% | 86% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Union Saint-Gilloise 1 - 1 - 0 OH Leuven. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Union Saint-Gilloise vs OH Leuven?
The Pro League match finished Union Saint-Gilloise 1:1 OH Leuven. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Union Saint-Gilloise and OH Leuven?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Union Saint-Gilloise won 1, OH Leuven won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Union Saint-Gilloise vs OH Leuven?
Union Saint-Gilloise score 3.00 goals per game on average and OH Leuven 0.71. The Pro League average is 2.94 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 29% of Union Saint-Gilloise's matches and 43% of OH Leuven's.
What form are Union Saint-Gilloise and OH Leuven in?
Over the last 5 games Union Saint-Gilloise have a 5-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and OH Leuven 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Union Saint-Gilloise vs OH Leuven?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.