Chile - Primera DivisiónEstadio Municipal Alcaldesa Ester Roa RebolledoData current as of 18 September 2026

Univ. Concepción vs Huachipato: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Univ. Concepción vs Huachipato: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Univ. Concepción play Huachipato in Primera División (Chile). The match date is 2 October 2026. Venue: Estadio Municipal Alcaldesa Ester Roa Rebolledo.

Current form

Univ. Concepción: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Huachipato: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Univ. Concepción scores 0.77 and concedes 1.68 goals per match. Huachipato scores 1.38 and concedes 1.86. League average: 2.85 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Univ. Concepción 45%, Huachipato 52%. Over 2.5: Univ. Concepción 50%, Huachipato 67%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 55%.

xG, shots and style

Huachipato has higher xG: 1.38 vs 1.36. Univ. Concepción: 12.4 shots per match, Huachipato: 12.2.

Match halves

Univ. Concepción: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.32. Huachipato: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 1.00.

Goals by minute

Univ. Concepción: 31-45+ (4 goals). Huachipato: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Primera División: 2.85 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 55%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 6.00, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.05)
(3.40)
(3.26)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Univ. ConcepciónHuachipato
0.77Goals scored / match1.38
Univ. ConcepciónHuachipato
1.68Goals conceded / match1.86
Univ. ConcepciónHuachipato
48%Average possession46%
Univ. ConcepciónHuachipato
3.91Shots on target / match4.43
Univ. ConcepciónHuachipato

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.45Shots per match12.24
Univ. ConcepciónHuachipato
3.91Shots on target4.43
Univ. ConcepciónHuachipato
6.2%Shot conversion11.3%
Univ. ConcepciónHuachipato
48%Possession46%
Univ. ConcepciónHuachipato
1.36xG for1.38
Univ. ConcepciónHuachipato
1.66xG against1.87
Univ. ConcepciónHuachipato

Shooting quality

Univ. Concepción: BalancedHuachipato: Balanced
Univ. ConcepciónHuachipato
Accuracy (shots on target)31%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.200.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Univ. Concepción is 200% better for: last-5 form.

0.6 pts / match - Univ. Concepción · 0.2 pts / match - Huachipato

Univ. Concepción
LLWLL
Season result split
27% W18% D55% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-4-12
1.00 pts / match · goal difference -20
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-1-4
Last 5 at home
1-1-3
LDLLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.17Opponent xG: 1.97BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Huachipato
LLLLD
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
33% W19% D48% L
Season (W-D-L)
7-4-10
1.19 pts / match · goal difference -10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-1-4
0.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-2-6
Last 5 away
0-2-3
DLDLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 2.8xG: 0.93Opponent xG: 2.69BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Huachipato is 79% better for: goals scored per match.

0.77 goals / match - Univ. Concepción · 1.38 goals / match - Huachipato

Univ. Concepción is 11% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.68 goals / match - Univ. Concepción · 1.86 goals / match - Huachipato

Univ. Concepción scoring profile: very strong

Univ. Concepción scores in 64% of matches (14 of 22 matches), while Huachipato keeps a clean sheet in 19% (4 of 21 matches).

Huachipato scoring profile: strong

Huachipato scores in 62% of matches (13 of 21 matches), while Univ. Concepción keeps a clean sheet in 23% (5 of 22 matches).

17Goals scored (season)29
Univ. ConcepciónHuachipato
37Goals conceded (season)39
Univ. ConcepciónHuachipato
2.45Average goals in match3.24
Univ. ConcepciónHuachipato
4Goals scored (last 5)3
Univ. ConcepciónHuachipato
9Goals conceded (last 5)14
Univ. ConcepciónHuachipato

How often they score at least...

64%1 goal62%
Univ. ConcepciónHuachipato
14%2 goals43%
Univ. ConcepciónHuachipato
0%3 goals24%
Univ. ConcepciónHuachipato
0%4 goals5%
Univ. ConcepciónHuachipato

How often they concede at least...

77%1 goal81%
Univ. ConcepciónHuachipato
45%2 goals57%
Univ. ConcepciónHuachipato
27%3 goals33%
Univ. ConcepciónHuachipato
9%4 goals10%
Univ. ConcepciónHuachipato

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

45%
Univ. Concepción - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.10 of 22 matches
53%
League average

Goal patterns

18%BTTS at half-time24%
Univ. ConcepciónHuachipato
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Univ. ConcepciónHuachipato
0%Scored in both halves19%
Univ. ConcepciónHuachipato

BTTS and goal count

36%Min. 3 goals and BTTS52%
Univ. ConcepciónHuachipato
14%Min. 3 goals without BTTS14%
Univ. ConcepciónHuachipato
60%BTTS - last 560%
Univ. ConcepciónHuachipato

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

82%Min. 1 goal before half-time76%
Univ. ConcepciónHuachipato
36%Min. 2 goals before half-time29%
Univ. ConcepciónHuachipato
9%Min. 3 goals before half-time14%
Univ. ConcepciónHuachipato

2nd half

68%Min. 1 goal after half-time86%
Univ. ConcepciónHuachipato
32%Min. 2 goals after half-time52%
Univ. ConcepciónHuachipato
9%Min. 3 goals after half-time38%
Univ. ConcepciónHuachipato

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Univ. Concepción is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.95 pts / match - Univ. Concepción · 0.81 pts / match - Huachipato

Univ. Concepción - half-time state
23% leading27% draw50% trailing
Huachipato - half-time state
14% leading38% draw48% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.95Points per match (1st half)0.81
Univ. ConcepciónHuachipato
0.45Goals scored (1st half)0.38
Univ. ConcepciónHuachipato
0.86Goals conceded (1st half)0.86
Univ. ConcepciónHuachipato
1.32Average goals (1st half)1.24
Univ. ConcepciónHuachipato
41%Clean sheet before half-time33%
Univ. ConcepciónHuachipato
59%No goal before half-time67%
Univ. ConcepciónHuachipato

After half-time (2nd half)

0.91Points per match (2nd half)1.29
Univ. ConcepciónHuachipato
0.32Goals scored (2nd half)1
Univ. ConcepciónHuachipato
0.82Goals conceded (2nd half)1
Univ. ConcepciónHuachipato
1.14Average goals (2nd half)2
Univ. ConcepciónHuachipato
50%Clean sheet after half-time48%
Univ. ConcepciónHuachipato
77%No goal after half-time52%
Univ. ConcepciónHuachipato

Univ. Concepción - second-half results

18% W36% D45% L
21
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
-9
Goal difference (1st half)
20
Second-half points
-11
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.95
PPG before half-time
Lead holding117%

Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Huachipato - second-half results

38% W14% D48% L
17
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
-10
Goal difference (1st half)
27
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.81
PPG before half-time
Lead holding236%

Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Univ. Concepción - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.400.20
Goals scored / match0.80.0
Goals conceded / match0.81.0
Average goals in match1.61.0
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal40%100%
Goal difference0-5
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 20% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4
Huachipato - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.600.80
Goals scored / match0.40.2
Goals conceded / match1.41.4
Average goals in match1.81.6
1 goal60%80%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference-5-6
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Univ. Concepción
ScoredConceded
3
5
0-15
3
8
16-30
4
6
31-45
2
4
46-60
3
5
61-75
2
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.

Huachipato
ScoredConceded
4
5
0-15
0
3
16-30
4
10
31-45
4
9
46-60
5
4
61-75
12
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.84
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
100%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
49%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+111%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
40%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
14%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 7 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Univ. Concepción

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.30
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.61
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+10.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.59
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.02
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
47%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
138%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.40
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
12% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 18% come in the first quarter-hour.
12%

Huachipato

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.49
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.01
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
0.00
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.01
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
113%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
114%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.99
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.6
Late goals
41% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
41%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).

Teams vs league

Univ. ConcepciónLigaHuachipato
Average goals in match 2.452.85 3.24
Both teams scored 45%53% 52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 50%55% 67%
Clean sheets 23%26% 19%
Goal before half-time 82%74% 76%
Goal after half-time 68%77% 86%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.85
Average goals per match
53%
Both teams scored
55%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.63
Home goals / match
1.22
Away goals / match
+34%
Home attack advantage
+25%
Home defence advantage
+15%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
37%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
21%
3 goals
12%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Univ. Concepción 0 - 0 - 1 Huachipato. Average goals 6.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

When do Univ. Concepción and Huachipato play?

Univ. Concepción face Huachipato on 2 October 2026 in Primera División at Estadio Municipal Alcaldesa Ester Roa Rebolledo. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Univ. Concepción vs Huachipato?

Univ. Concepción score 0.77 goals per game on average and Huachipato 1.38. The Primera División average is 2.85 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Univ. Concepción's matches and 52% of Huachipato's.

What form are Univ. Concepción and Huachipato in?

Over the last 5 games Univ. Concepción have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Huachipato 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Univ. Concepción vs Huachipato?

The statistical background for Univ. Concepción vs Huachipato — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.