Univ. Concepción vs La Serena: match statistics
Univ. Concepción vs La Serena: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Univ. Concepción played La Serena in Primera División (Chile). The match was played on 14 August 2026. Venue: Estadio Municipal Alcaldesa Ester Roa Rebolledo. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Univ. Concepción: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. La Serena: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Univ. Concepción scores 0.76 and concedes 1.65 goals per match. La Serena scores 1.44 and concedes 1.72. League average: 2.85 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Univ. Concepción 41%, La Serena 61%. Over 2.5: Univ. Concepción 47%, La Serena 56%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Univ. Concepción has higher xG: 1.41 vs 1.30. Univ. Concepción: 13.1 shots per match, La Serena: 11.9.
Match halves
Univ. Concepción: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.41. La Serena: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.72.
Goals by minute
Univ. Concepción: 31-45+ (3 goals). La Serena: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.85 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Univ. Concepción have a clearly superior home record: they win 50% of their matches, while La Serena win only 11% of their away fixtures. The hosts concede just 0.88 goals per game at home and keep a clean sheet in 50% of their appearances, whereas the visitors allow opponents an average of 2.22 goals away from home and have conceded in eight of their nine away matches. La Serena score 1.33 goals per away game, but their average xG is 1.30, while the hosts create chances worth 1.49 xG at home and should be able to exploit the weaknesses of a defence with an average xG against of 1.67. Both teams are in concerning form, with Univ. Concepción losing 4 of their last 5 matches and La Serena failing to win any of their last five. However, home advantage and the hosts’ more stable defence favour Univ. Concepción. A draw remains a realistic outcome, as 56% of La Serena’s away matches end level.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal BTTS indicators lean slightly toward goals at both ends: they stand at 56% for Univ. Concepción and 67% for La Serena, compared with the league average of 51%. The hosts should have a good chance of scoring, as they average 1.56 goals at home, while La Serena concede as many as 2.22 goals per match and have kept a clean sheet in only 11% of their games. The visitors also have a solid foundation for scoring, averaging 1.30 xG this season; over their last five matches, that figure has risen to 1.68 xG, while they have scored an average of 1.4 goals. The main warning sign is the hosts’ poor recent attacking form: they have scored just 3 goals in their last five fixtures and recorded BTTS in only 20% of matches. Despite this, La Serena’s defensive weakness—having conceded 11 goals over the same period—clearly increases the likelihood that both teams will find the net.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Univ. Concepción average 1.56 goals at home, while La Serena concede as many as 2.22 goals per away match, which clearly favors the hosts scoring at least once. The visitors generate average xG of 1.30, while the hosts allow opponents xG of 1.32, so La Serena also have a realistic chance of adding a goal. Over the course of the season, matches with at least 2 goals accounted for 67% of the hosts’ games and 78% of the visitors’ games. Caution around the 2.5 line is warranted due to Concepción’s recent form: they have scored just 3 goals in their last five matches, with only 20% of those games going Over 2.5 goals. The strongest signal therefore remains Over 1.5 goals, supported by a projected total of 2.35 goals and La Serena’s particularly weak away defense.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Univ. Concepción have a clear first-half advantage: they led at the break in 56% of matches, averaging 1.00 goals scored and conceding just 0.33, while La Serena scored only 0.44 goals before half-time. The visitors failed to score in 78% of first halves and went into the break trailing in 33%, reinforcing the scenario of a home lead. Across the season, the hosts average 1.56 goals per match, whereas La Serena concede as many as 2.22, with an xGA of 1.67 compared with the hosts’ 1.29 xG. Both teams are in poor form, but La Serena have failed to win any of their last five matches, collecting just 0.4 points per game during that run. Although the visitors are more dangerous after the break and average 0.89 goals in the second half, their defensive weakness—particularly the eight goals conceded between minutes 76 and 90—favours Univ. Concepción maintaining or extending their lead.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Univ. Concepción | La Serena | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.20 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
La Serena is 50% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Univ. Concepción · 0.6 pts / match - La Serena
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
La Serena is 89% better for: goals scored per match.
0.76 goals / match - Univ. Concepción · 1.44 goals / match - La Serena
Univ. Concepción scores in 65% of matches (11 of 17 matches), while La Serena keeps a clean sheet in 22% (4 of 18 matches).
La Serena scores in 78% of matches (14 of 18 matches), while Univ. Concepción keeps a clean sheet in 29% (5 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Univ. Concepción
Over / Under - La Serena
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
La Serena is 96% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.82 pts / match - Univ. Concepción · 1.61 pts / match - La Serena
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Univ. Concepción - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
La Serena - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 22%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Univ. Concepción
La Serena
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Univ. Concepción | Liga | La Serena | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.41 | 2.85 | ▲ 3.17 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 41% | 51% | ▲ 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 47% | 55% | • 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 27% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 82% | 73% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 65% | 77% | • 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Univ. Concepción 0 - 1 - 0 La Serena. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Univ. Concepción vs La Serena?
The Primera División match finished Univ. Concepción 0:2 La Serena. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Univ. Concepción vs La Serena?
Univ. Concepción score 0.76 goals per game on average and La Serena 1.44. The Primera División average is 2.85 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Univ. Concepción's matches and 61% of La Serena's.
What form are Univ. Concepción and La Serena in?
Over the last 5 games Univ. Concepción have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and La Serena 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Univ. Concepción vs La Serena?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Univ. Concepción vs La Serena: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.