Chile - Primera DivisiónEstadio Municipal Alcaldesa Ester Roa RebolledoData current as of 13 August 2026

Univ. Concepción vs La Serena: match statistics

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Univ. Concepción vs La Serena: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Univ. Concepción play La Serena in Primera División (Chile). The match date is 14 August 2026. Venue: Estadio Municipal Alcaldesa Ester Roa Rebolledo.

Current form

Univ. Concepción: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. La Serena: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Univ. Concepción scores 0.76 and concedes 1.65 goals per match. La Serena scores 1.44 and concedes 1.72. League average: 2.85 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Univ. Concepción 41%, La Serena 61%. Over 2.5: Univ. Concepción 47%, La Serena 56%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 55%.

xG, shots and style

Univ. Concepción has higher xG: 1.41 vs 1.30. Univ. Concepción: 13.1 shots per match, La Serena: 11.9.

Match halves

Univ. Concepción: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.41. La Serena: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.72.

Goals by minute

Univ. Concepción: 31-45+ (3 goals). La Serena: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Primera División: 2.85 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 55%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.26)
(3.35)
(2.85)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Univ. ConcepciónLa Serena
0.76Goals scored / match1.44
Univ. ConcepciónLa Serena
1.65Goals conceded / match1.72
Univ. ConcepciónLa Serena
50%Average possession48%
Univ. ConcepciónLa Serena
3.88Shots on target / match4.33
Univ. ConcepciónLa Serena

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.12Shots per match11.89
Univ. ConcepciónLa Serena
3.88Shots on target4.33
Univ. ConcepciónLa Serena
5.8%Shot conversion12.1%
Univ. ConcepciónLa Serena
50%Possession48%
Univ. ConcepciónLa Serena
1.41xG for1.3
Univ. ConcepciónLa Serena
1.57xG against1.5
Univ. ConcepciónLa Serena

Shooting quality

Univ. Concepción: BalancedLa Serena: Balanced
Univ. ConcepciónLa Serena
Accuracy (shots on target)30%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.200.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

La Serena is 50% better for: last-5 form.

0.4 pts / match - Univ. Concepción · 0.6 pts / match - La Serena

Univ. Concepción
DDLLL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
29% W24% R47% P
Season (W-D-L)
5-4-8
1.12 pts / match · goal difference -15
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-1-3
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
WWLDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.56Opponent xG: 1.15BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
La Serena
LDDLD
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
22% W44% R33% P
Season (W-D-L)
4-8-6
1.11 pts / match · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-3-2
0.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-5-3
Last 5 away
0-4-1
DLDDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 1.43Opponent xG: 1.64BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

La Serena is 89% better for: goals scored per match.

0.76 goals / match - Univ. Concepción · 1.44 goals / match - La Serena

Univ. Concepción scoring profile: strong

Univ. Concepción scores in 65% of matches (11 of 17 matches), while La Serena keeps a clean sheet in 22% (4 of 18 matches).

La Serena scoring profile: very strong

La Serena scores in 78% of matches (14 of 18 matches), while Univ. Concepción keeps a clean sheet in 29% (5 of 17 matches).

13Goals scored (season)26
Univ. ConcepciónLa Serena
28Goals conceded (season)31
Univ. ConcepciónLa Serena
2.41Average goals in match3.17
Univ. ConcepciónLa Serena
3Goals scored (last 5)8
Univ. ConcepciónLa Serena
9Goals conceded (last 5)11
Univ. ConcepciónLa Serena

How often they score at least...

65%1 goal78%
Univ. ConcepciónLa Serena
12%2 goals39%
Univ. ConcepciónLa Serena
0%3 goals22%
Univ. ConcepciónLa Serena
0%4 goals6%
Univ. ConcepciónLa Serena

How often they concede at least...

71%1 goal78%
Univ. ConcepciónLa Serena
41%2 goals44%
Univ. ConcepciónLa Serena
29%3 goals28%
Univ. ConcepciónLa Serena
12%4 goals17%
Univ. ConcepciónLa Serena

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

41%
Univ. Concepción - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.7 of 17 matches
51%
League average

Goal patterns

18%BTTS at half-time22%
Univ. ConcepciónLa Serena
0%BTTS in both halves6%
Univ. ConcepciónLa Serena
0%Scored in both halves17%
Univ. ConcepciónLa Serena

BTTS and goal count

29%Min. 3 goals and BTTS44%
Univ. ConcepciónLa Serena
18%Min. 3 goals without BTTS11%
Univ. ConcepciónLa Serena
40%BTTS - last 5100%
Univ. ConcepciónLa Serena

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

82%Min. 1 goal before half-time67%
Univ. ConcepciónLa Serena
35%Min. 2 goals before half-time39%
Univ. ConcepciónLa Serena
6%Min. 3 goals before half-time17%
Univ. ConcepciónLa Serena

2nd half

65%Min. 1 goal after half-time78%
Univ. ConcepciónLa Serena
35%Min. 2 goals after half-time56%
Univ. ConcepciónLa Serena
12%Min. 3 goals after half-time33%
Univ. ConcepciónLa Serena

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

La Serena is 96% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.82 pts / match - Univ. Concepción · 1.61 pts / match - La Serena

Univ. Concepción - half-time state
18% leading29% draw53% trailing
La Serena - half-time state
39% leading44% draw17% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.82Points per match (1st half)1.61
Univ. ConcepciónLa Serena
0.35Goals scored (1st half)0.72
Univ. ConcepciónLa Serena
0.88Goals conceded (1st half)0.56
Univ. ConcepciónLa Serena
1.24Average goals (1st half)1.28
Univ. ConcepciónLa Serena
35%Clean sheet before half-time61%
Univ. ConcepciónLa Serena
65%No goal before half-time50%
Univ. ConcepciónLa Serena

After half-time (2nd half)

1.12Points per match (2nd half)1
Univ. ConcepciónLa Serena
0.41Goals scored (2nd half)0.72
Univ. ConcepciónLa Serena
0.76Goals conceded (2nd half)1.17
Univ. ConcepciónLa Serena
1.18Average goals (2nd half)1.89
Univ. ConcepciónLa Serena
59%Clean sheet after half-time28%
Univ. ConcepciónLa Serena
71%No goal after half-time56%
Univ. ConcepciónLa Serena

Univ. Concepción - second-half results

24% W41% R35% P
14
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
-9
Goal difference (1st half)
19
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.82
PPG before half-time
Lead holding161%

Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

La Serena - second-half results

22% W33% R44% P
29
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
18
Second-half points
-8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.61
PPG before half-time
Lead holding56%

Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 22%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.6

Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Univ. Concepción - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.201.20
Goals scored / match0.20.4
Goals conceded / match1.20.6
Average goals in match1.41.0
1 goal80%40%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet20%80%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference-5-1
Half-time: 0% leading - 20% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
La Serena - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.00
Goals scored / match0.41.2
Goals conceded / match0.61.6
Average goals in match1.02.8
1 goal60%100%
2 goals40%100%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%0%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference-1-2
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Univ. Concepción
ScoredConceded
1
4
0-15
2
6
16-30
3
5
31-45
2
3
46-60
3
4
61-75
2
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

La Serena
ScoredConceded
2
2
0-15
4
2
16-30
7
6
31-45
5
5
46-60
3
5
61-75
5
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.79
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
98%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
51%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-28%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
51%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
8%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 13 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Univ. Concepción

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.16
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.73
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+10.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.65
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.08
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
45%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
140%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.72
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

La Serena

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.20
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.08
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.14
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.22
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
122%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
102%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.51
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).

Teams vs league

Univ. ConcepciónLigaLa Serena
Average goals in match 2.412.85 3.17
Both teams scored 41%51% 61%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 47%55% 56%
Clean sheets 29%27% 22%
Goal before half-time 82%73% 67%
Goal after half-time 65%77% 78%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.85
Average goals per match
51%
Both teams scored
55%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.68
Home goals / match
1.18
Away goals / match
+42%
Home attack advantage
+30%
Home defence advantage
+18%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
37%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
21%
3 goals
12%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Univ. Concepción 0 - 1 - 0 La Serena. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

When do Univ. Concepción and La Serena play?

Univ. Concepción face La Serena on 14 August 2026 in Primera División at Estadio Municipal Alcaldesa Ester Roa Rebolledo. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Univ. Concepción vs La Serena?

Univ. Concepción score 0.76 goals per game on average and La Serena 1.44. The Primera División average is 2.85 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Univ. Concepción's matches and 61% of La Serena's.

What form are Univ. Concepción and La Serena in?

Over the last 5 games Univ. Concepción have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and La Serena 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Univ. Concepción vs La Serena?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Univ. Concepción vs La Serena: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.